Lorient vs Brest – Match preview
Lorient-:-
BrestStade Yves Allainmat - Le MoustoirRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
37%
34%
LorientDraw 29%Brest
Bookmaker implied
38%
34%
LorientDraw 28%Brest
1.1 – 1.1
Expected score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
31%
24%
LorientDraw 45%Brest
Double Chance
46%
27%
LorientDraw 27%Brest
Half Time Result
51%
41%
LorientDraw 8%Brest
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
43%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
63%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
76%
Match Result
Lorient
40%2.52
fair 2.47+2%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
28%3.37
fair 3.53-4%
Last 1035%7/20
Brest
31%2.97
fair 3.21-7%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Lorient
56%1.77
fair 1.770%
Last 1062%8/13
Brest
44%2.09
fair 2.30-9%
Last 1038%5/13
Double chance
Lorient or draw
69%1.44
fair 1.45-1%
Last 1075%15/20
Lorient or Brest
72%1.36
fair 1.40-2%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Brest
60%1.58
fair 1.68-6%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | 1.32 / 3.51 | 70%14/20 | none |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | 2.06 / 1.84 | 55%11/20 | Over +2% |
| Over/under 3.5 | 28% | 72% | 3.58 / 1.31 | 25%5/20 | Over +1% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
55%Yes 1.75
Last 1060%12/20
Lorient clean sheet
27%
model chance
Brest clean sheet
24%
model chance
Lorient goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
Brest goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 59% | 41% | 1.63 / 2.22 | 60%12/20 | none |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | 2.04 / 1.76 | 40%8/20 | none |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Lorient corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 51%O5.5 33%O6.5 20%O7.5 10%
Brest corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cards · Referee Jérémie Pignard (4.5 cards a match, ×1.03)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 42% | 58% | 2.10 / 1.66 | 30%6/20 | none |
| Over/under 5.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Lorient cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Brest cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pathé Mboup Brest | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 53% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -20% |
Noah Doriann Cadiou Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 54% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -28% |
Ludovic Ajorque Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 47% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -21% |
Kamory Doumbia Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 37% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -38% |
Ludovic Ajorque Brest | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 50% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -28% |
Kamory Doumbia Brest | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 38% | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | -42% |
Théo Le Bris Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Hugo Magnetti Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.40 | 3.40 | 28% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -5% |
Mama Baldé Brest | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | 29% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -20% |
Kamory Doumbia Brest | Over 0.5 Booked · 3.10 | 3.10 | 25% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -21% |
Montassar Talbi Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | 39% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -31% |
Lucas Tousart Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.25 | 2.25 | 31% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -31% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026LorientBrest
- 9
- League position
- 13
- DWWLD
- Last 5
- LDWLL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 0.77
- xG for (L5)
- 1.77
- 0.38
- xG against (L5)
- 0.72
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
Lorient wins
2
Draws
6
Brest wins
Last 12 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
58%
Over 2.5 goals
07 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Lorient in the last 5 meetings
LDDLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Lorient
- Bandiougou FadigaHamstring Injury
- Noah MbambaHamstring Injury
Brest
- Brendan ChardonnetCalf Injury
- R. Le GuenBroken Fibula
Confirmed Line-ups
Lorient
3-4-2-1- 38Yvon MvogoGoalkeeper
- 32Nathaniel AdjeiDefender
- 3Montassar TalbiDefender
- 95Isaak TouréDefender
- 20Dembo SyllaMidfielder
- 8Noah CadiouMidfielder
- 62Arthur AvomMidfielder
- 43Arsène KouassiMidfielder
- 17Jean-Victor MakengoAttacker
- 19Souleymane FayeAttacker
- 18Ibrahima BaldéAttacker
Brest
4-2-3-1- 1Egil SelvikGoalkeeper
- 77Kenny LalaDefender
- 24Lucas TousartMidfielder
- 4Gautier LlorisDefender
- 2Bradley LockoDefender
- 13Joris ChotardMidfielder
- 8Hugo MagnettiMidfielder
- 17Mama BaldéAttacker
- 23Kamory DoumbiaMidfielder
- 9Pathé MboupMidfielder
- 19Ludovic AjorqueAttacker
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonLorient
Top scorer
Noah Doriann Cadiou
1 goals
Most assists
Panos Katseris
3 assists
Best rated
Isaak Touré
7.37
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsène KouassiMidfielder | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Yvon MvogoGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Montassar TalbiDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 7.08 | |
| Noah Doriann CadiouMidfielder | 8 (8) | 714 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| Nathaniel AdjeiDefender | 8 (8) | 705 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Dembo SyllaDefender | 8 (8) | 700 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Jean-Victor MakengoAttacker | 8 (8) | 686 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 7.09 | |
| Arthur AvomMidfielder | 8 (5) | 506 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 7.14 | |
| Gabin BernardeauAttacker | 8 (6) | 467 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Ibrahima BaldéAttacker | 6 (4) | 311 | 1 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.67 | – |
| Théo Le BrisMidfielder | 5 (2) | 273 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Isaak TouréDefender | 3 (3) | 267 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 7.37 | – |
| Panos KatserisDefender | 5 (3) | 177 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.96 | |
| Isak JensenAttacker | 6 (1) | 157 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Noah MbambaMidfielder | 3 (2) | 142 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
Brest
Top scorer
Kamory Doumbia
4 goals
Most assists
Joris Chotard
2 assists
Best rated
Ludovic Ajorque
7.37
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egil SelvikGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Bradley LockoDefender | 8 (8) | 718 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Ludovic AjorqueAttacker | 8 (8) | 712 | 3 | 1 | 0.20 | 7.37 | ×3 |
| Joris ChotardMidfielder | 8 (8) | 683 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.24 | – |
| Kenny LalaDefender | 8 (8) | 652 | 1 | 0 | 0.81 | 6.75 | |
| Kamory DoumbiaMidfielder | 8 (8) | 648 | 4 | 1 | 0.29 | 7.10 | ×4 |
| Pathé MboupMidfielder | 8 (8) | 629 | 2 | 1 | 0.23 | 6.85 | |
| Gautier LlorisDefender | 7 (7) | 611 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.78 | – |
| Hugo MagnettiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 537 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 7.15 | – |
| R. Le GuenDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Lucas TousartDefender | 8 (4) | 406 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.73 | – |
| Mama BaldéMidfielder | 7 (4) | 308 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Joseph NongeMidfielder | 8 (1) | 214 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Giovani VersiniMidfielder | 3 (2) | 149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Romain Del CastilloMidfielder | 2 (2) | 138 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
Referee
Jérémie Pignard
Referee · France
- Cards per game
- 4.48
- Yellow cards per game
- 4.13
- Red cards per game
- 0.35
- Fouls per game
- 21.8
- Penalties per game
- 0.42
- Home wins
- 52%
Averages across 31 completed matches officiated by Jérémie Pignard in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.81 | 2.17 | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 4.50 | 1.04 | — |
| BetVictor | 2.32 | 2.01 | — |
| Dafabet | 1.76 | 2.09 | — |
| Macauslot | 2.08 | 1.76 | — |
| MansionBet | 1.77 | 2.12 | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 1.00 | — |
| MelBet | 1.74 | 2.09 | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 1.22 | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.96 | 1.04 |
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano.dk | 1.01 | 1.08 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 1.29 |
| BetVictor | 2.66 | 1.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 1.99 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 1.40 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Home/Away | Away/Away | Away/Draw | Away/Home | Draw/Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 14.50 | 3.82 | 4.90 | 6.65 | 33.00 | 4.80 | 14.50 | 29.00 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 31.00 | 5.00 | 13.00 | 26.00 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 14.50 | 3.82 | 4.90 | 6.65 | 33.00 | 4.80 | 14.50 | 29.00 | 5.70 |