Nice vs Rennes – Match preview
Nice-:-
RennesAllianz RivieraRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
69%
13%
NiceDraw 18%Rennes
Bookmaker implied
35%
40%
NiceDraw 25%Rennes
2.3 – 0.9
Expected score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Nice
37%2.78
fair 2.74+2%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
26%3.79
fair 3.92-3%
Last 1030%6/20
Rennes
38%2.35
fair 2.64-11%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Nice
49%2.05
fair 2.04+1%
Last 1036%5/14
Rennes
51%1.73
fair 1.96-12%
Last 1064%9/14
Double chance
Nice or draw
62%1.60
fair 1.61-1%
Last 1055%11/20
Nice or Rennes
74%1.27
fair 1.34-5%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Rennes
63%1.45
fair 1.58-8%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 57% | 43% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%Yes 1.50
Last 1065%13/20
Nice clean sheet
22%
model chance
Rennes clean sheet
24%
model chance
Nice goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 18%
Rennes goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 10.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Nice corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 61%O5.5 44%O6.5 28%O7.5 17%
Rennes corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 61%O5.5 44%O6.5 28%O7.5 17%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Nice cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Rennes cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%O3.5 10%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Estéban Lepaul Rennes | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 42% | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | -44% |
Charlie Cresswell Rennes | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 57% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -22% |
Estéban Lepaul Rennes | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83 | 1.83 | 42% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -23% |
Estéban Lepaul Rennes | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 2.00 | 2.00 | 33% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -35% |
Mousa Tamari Rennes | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 38% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -50% |
Ludovic Blas Rennes | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 30% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -55% |
Arnaud Nordin Rennes | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 24% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -64% |
Valentin Rongier Rennes | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.50 | 2.50 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -19% |
Estéban Lepaul Rennes | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.30 | 2.30 | 35% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -20% |
Jonathan Clauss Nice | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.00 | 2.00 | 38% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -23% |
Mousa Tamari Rennes | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 45% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -33% |
Mahdi Camara Rennes | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 33% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -39% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026NiceRennes
- 13
- League position
- 6
- LWWLD
- Last 5
- LWLWW
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
18
Nice wins
13
Draws
14
Rennes wins
Last 45 meetings
2.4
Goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
49%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Nice in the last 5 meetings
LWLWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Nice
- Antoine MendyCruciate Ligament Tear
- Laurent AbergelCruciate Ligament Tear
- Moïse BombitoLower Leg Fracture
Rennes
No reported absences
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonNice
Top scorer
Elye Wahi
2 goals
Most assists
Sofiane Diop
2 assists
Best rated
Jonathan Clauss
7.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yehvann DioufGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Jonathan ClaussMidfielder | 7 (7) | 608 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.35 | – |
| Youssouf NdayishimiyeDefender | 7 (7) | 598 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Gauthier HeinAttacker | 7 (6) | 558 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Mohamed AbdelmonemDefender | 7 (6) | 512 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Axel WitselMidfielder | 6 (6) | 495 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Djibril CoulibalyMidfielder | 6 (6) | 470 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | |
| Elye WahiAttacker | 6 (5) | 440 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Niels NkounkouMidfielder | 5 (5) | 394 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Mohamed AmouraAttacker | 5 (4) | 368 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Sofiane DiopMidfielder | 7 (3) | 276 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.00 | |
| Melvin BardMidfielder | 2 (2) | 172 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Nathan NgoumouAttacker | 5 (2) | 154 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Hicham BoudaouiMidfielder | 3 (1) | 147 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Antoine MendyDefender | 3 (1) | 124 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
Rennes
Top scorer
Estéban Lepaul
7 goals
Most assists
Adrien Thomasson
2 assists
Best rated
Estéban Lepaul
7.57
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie CresswellDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | |
| Valentin RongierMidfielder | 7 (6) | 568 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.19 | |
| Estéban LepaulAttacker | 7 (6) | 543 | 7 | 0 | – | 7.57 | ×2 |
| Brice SambaGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Adrien ThomassonMidfielder | 7 (6) | 486 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.98 | ×3 |
| Przemyslaw FrankowskiDefender | 7 (6) | 460 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Mahdi CamaraMidfielder | 6 (4) | 418 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Mousa TamariAttacker | 7 (4) | 394 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | |
| Issa SoumaréAttacker | 6 (5) | 372 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.76 | |
| Anthony RouaultDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Mahamadou NagidaDefender | 7 (3) | 348 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Sebastian SzymanskiMidfielder | 5 (4) | 317 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Ludovic BlasAttacker | 7 (3) | 276 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Abdelhamid Ait BoudlalDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Quentin MerlinDefender | 4 (3) | 231 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.05 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 2.08 | 1.77 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.09 | 1.79 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.82 | 1.99 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.06 | 1.79 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.50 | 1.53 |