Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre — Preview & Prediction

Match Preview

Updated 21 Oct 2026

FootyPulse model

64%

17%

Olympique MarseilleDraw 19%Le Havre

Bookmaker implied

61%

18%

Olympique MarseilleDraw 21%Le Havre

2.4 – 1.2

Expected score

69%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

Both teams to score

Match Result

Olympique Marseille

57%1.59

fair 1.76-10%

Last 1050%10/20

Draw

22%4.89

fair 4.62+6%

Last 1015%3/20

Le Havre

22%4.88

fair 4.63+5%

Last 1035%7/20

Draw no bet

Olympique Marseille

72%1.26

fair 1.38-9%

Last 1059%10/17

Le Havre

28%3.88

fair 3.63+7%

Last 1041%7/17

Double chance

Olympique Marseille or draw

78%1.20

fair 1.28-6%

Last 1065%13/20

Olympique Marseille or Le Havre

78%1.20

fair 1.28-6%

Last 1085%17/20

Draw or Le Havre

43%2.44

fair 2.31+6%

Last 1050%10/20

Expected goals 1.7–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 0.5	94%	6%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 1.5	78%	22%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 2.5main	58%	42%	1.56 / 2.55	45%9/20	Under +6%
Over/under 3.5	36%	64%	2.41 / 1.61	35%7/20	Under +3%
Over/under 4.5	16%	84%	–	20%4/20	–

Both teams to score

58%Yes 1.61

Last 1050%10/20

Olympique Marseille clean sheet

26%

model chance

Le Havre clean sheet

22%

model chance

Olympique Marseille goals

O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%

Le Havre goals

O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%

Corners

Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 7.5	74%	26%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 8.5	62%	38%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	51%	49%	1.75 / 2.05	55%11/20	none
Over/under 10.5	40%	60%	2.21 / 1.65	30%6/20	none
Over/under 11.5	26%	74%	–	20%4/20	–
Over/under 12.5	17%	83%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 13.5	11%	89%	–	10%2/20	–

Olympique Marseille corners

O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%

Le Havre corners

O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 18%O7.5 10%

Cards

Expected 3.5 match cards · Referee Clément Turpin (3.7 cards a match, ×0.88)Card screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 2.5	68%	32%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	51%	49%	1.66 / 2.10	60%12/20	Under +2%
Over/under 4.5	28%	72%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 5.5	15%	85%	–	10%2/20	–
Over/under 6.5	7%	93%	–	5%1/20	–

Olympique Marseille cards

O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%

Le Havre cards

O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Amine Harit Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30	1.30	73%	80%4/5	80%8/10	-4%
Derek Cornelius Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72	1.72	–	20%1/5	50%5/10	–
Rayan Fofana Le Havre	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53	1.53	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Amir Richardson Le Havre	Over 1.5 Shots · 2.75	2.75	38%	60%3/5	40%4/10	+6%
Sota Nakamura Le Havre	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83	1.83	51%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-6%
Amine Gouiri Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66	1.66	37%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-38%
Angel Gomes Olympique Marseille	Over 1.5 Shots · 2.00	2.00	24%	20%1/5	40%4/10	-51%
Bamo Meïté Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Booked · 3.75	3.75	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Vincent Sasso Le Havre	Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00	2.00	–	20%1/5	40%4/10	–
Bamo Meïté Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50	1.50	–	60%3/5	40%4/10	–
Ulisses Garcia Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53	1.53	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Ayumu Seko Le Havre	Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00	2.00	–	80%4/5	40%4/10	–

Player prop screener

Form Guide

Updated 21 Oct 2026

Olympique MarseilleLe Havre

9
League position: 18; WWLLL
Last 5: LLLDL; 1.20
Points per game (L5): 0.20; 10
Goals scored (L5): 4; 8
Goals conceded (L5): 9; —
xG for (L5): —; —
xG against (L5): —; 1
Clean sheets (L5): 1

Head to Head

6

Olympique Marseille wins

0

Draws

0

Le Havre wins

Last 6 meetings

4.2

Goals per game

67%

Both teams scored

83%

Over 2.5 goals

10 May 2026

Last meeting

Olympique Marseille in the last 5 meetings

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Injuries & Suspensions