Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse – Match preview

Sunday, 01 November 2026 · 20:45

Olympique Marseille

-:-

Toulouse

Stade VélodromeRound 9

Match Preview

Updated 21 Oct 2026

FootyPulse model

32%

50%

Olympique MarseilleDraw 18%Toulouse

Bookmaker implied

51%

25%

Olympique MarseilleDraw 24%Toulouse

2.1 – 2.7

Expected score

86%

Over 2.5 goals

82%

Both teams to score

Match Result

Olympique Marseille

49%1.83

fair 2.02-9%

Last 1025%5/20

Draw

24%3.98

fair 4.10-3%

Last 1020%4/20

Toulouse

26%3.91

fair 3.83+2%

Last 1055%11/20

Draw no bet

Olympique Marseille

65%1.37

fair 1.53-10%

Last 1031%5/16

Toulouse

35%2.93

fair 2.89+1%

Last 1069%11/16

Double chance

Olympique Marseille or draw

74%1.25

fair 1.35-8%

Last 1045%9/20

Olympique Marseille or Toulouse

76%1.25

fair 1.32-5%

Last 1080%16/20

Draw or Toulouse

51%1.97

fair 1.980%

Last 1075%15/20

Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 0.5	95%	5%	–	100%20/20	–
Over/under 1.5	81%	19%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 2.5	60%	40%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	37%	63%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 4.5	20%	80%	–	20%4/20	–

Both teams to score

60%Yes 1.57

Last 1055%11/20

Olympique Marseille clean sheet

21%

model chance

Toulouse clean sheet

21%

model chance

Olympique Marseille goals

O0.5 79%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%

Toulouse goals

O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%

Corners

Expected 9.0 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 7.5	68%	32%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 8.5	55%	45%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	42%	58%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 10.5	30%	70%	–	25%5/20	–
Over/under 11.5	20%	80%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 12.5	13%	87%	–	10%2/20	–
Over/under 13.5	8%	92%	–	5%1/20	–

Olympique Marseille corners

O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%

Toulouse corners

O2.5 78%O3.5 59%O4.5 40%O5.5 24%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%

Cards

Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 2.5	77%	23%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 3.5	58%	42%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	38%	62%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 5.5	22%	78%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 6.5	12%	88%	–	10%2/20	–

Olympique Marseille cards

O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%

Toulouse cards

O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Amine Harit Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72	1.72	41%	80%4/5	60%6/10	-29%
Niklas Schmidt Toulouse	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33	1.33	52%	40%2/5	60%6/10	-31%
Casper Tengstedt Toulouse	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.62	2.62	42%	80%4/5	50%5/10	+11%
Derek Cornelius Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57	1.57	16%	20%1/5	50%5/10	-75%
Casper Tengstedt Toulouse	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.25	3.25	32%	80%4/5	40%4/10	+3%
Jacen Russell-Rowe Toulouse	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	53%	80%4/5	40%4/10	-26%
Amine Gouiri Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.80	1.80	34%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-38%
Timothy Weah Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72	1.72	35%	20%1/5	40%4/10	-40%
Christ Tapé Toulouse	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	39%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-45%
Amine Harit Olympique Marseille	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53	1.53	33%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-49%
Keyliane Abdallah Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44	1.44	34%	20%1/5	40%4/10	-51%
Keyliane Abdallah Olympique Marseille	Over 2.5 Shots · 1.80	1.80	19%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-66%

Player prop screener

Key Players

Ligue 1, this season