Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes Prediction & Odds (7 Nov)

Match Preview

Updated 31 Oct 2026

FootyPulse model

67%

8%

Paris Saint GermainDraw 25%Troyes

Bookmaker implied

84%

5%

Paris Saint GermainDraw 11%Troyes

1.5 – 0.4

Expected score

29%

Over 2.5 goals

24%

Both teams to score

Predictions

Full Time Result

73%

9%

Paris Saint GermainDraw 18%Troyes

First Half Result

57%

13%

Paris Saint GermainDraw 30%Troyes

Team to Score First

70%

24%

Paris Saint GermainNo goal 6%Troyes

Probability

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 1.5 Goals

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

57%

Over 3.5 Goals

37%

Paris Saint Germain Over 3.5 Goals

20%

Paris Saint Germain Over 1.5 Goals

65%

Troyes Over 0.5 Goals

39%

Paris Saint Germain Over 0.5 Goals

89%

Match Result

Paris Saint Germain

76%1.12

model 1.31-14%

Last 1075%15/20

Draw

13%9.97

model 7.51disputed

Last 1010%2/20

Troyes

10%14.06

model 9.67disputed

Last 1015%3/20

Draw no bet

Paris Saint Germain

88%1.01

model 1.14-11%

Last 1083%15/18

Troyes

12%12.65

model 8.38disputed

Last 1017%3/18

Double chance

Paris Saint Germain or draw

90%1.01

model 1.12-9%

Last 1085%17/20

Paris Saint Germain or Troyes

87%1.04

model 1.15-10%

Last 1090%18/20

Draw or Troyes

24%5.83

model 4.23disputed

Last 1025%5/20

Expected goals 2.1–1.1 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	96%	4%	–	90%18/20	–
Over/under 1.5	83%	17%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 2.5	61%	39%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	39%	61%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 4.5	21%	79%	–	25%5/20	–

Both teams to score

54%Yes 1.95

Last 1055%11/20

Paris Saint Germain clean sheet

29%

model chance

Troyes clean sheet

15%

model chance

Paris Saint Germain goals

O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%

Troyes goals

O0.5 71%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%

Corners

Expected 9.0 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	68%	32%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 8.5	55%	45%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	42%	58%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 10.5	30%	70%	–	25%5/20	–
Over/under 11.5	20%	80%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 12.5	13%	87%	–	10%2/20	–
Over/under 13.5	8%	92%	–	0%0/20	–

Paris Saint Germain corners

O2.5 79%O3.5 60%O4.5 41%O5.5 25%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%

Troyes corners

O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 12%

Cards

Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	74%	26%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	54%	46%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 4.5	34%	66%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 5.5	19%	81%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 6.5	10%	90%	–	15%3/20	–

Paris Saint Germain cards

O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%O3.5 10%

Troyes cards

O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Antoine Mille Troyes	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83	1.83	–	100%5/5	90%9/10	–
Achraf Hakimi Paris Saint Germain	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57	1.57	–	60%3/5	70%7/10	–
Jérémy Le Douaron Troyes	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33	1.33	–	60%3/5	70%7/10	–
Achraf Hakimi Paris Saint Germain	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint Germain	Over 3.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Renaud Ripart Troyes	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83	1.83	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Fabián Ruiz Paris Saint Germain	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66	1.66	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Timothé Nkada Troyes	Over 1.5 Shots · 2.10	2.10	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Adrien Monfray Troyes	Over 0.5 Shots · 2.75	2.75	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Ferran Torres Paris Saint Germain	Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.57	1.57	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Fabián Ruiz Paris Saint Germain	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.44	1.44	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Lucas Digne Paris Saint Germain	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–

Player prop screener

Form Guide

Updated 31 Oct 2026

Paris Saint GermainTroyes

1
League position: 17; WWWWW
Last 5: DLLLL; 3.00
Points per game (L5): 0.20; 15
Goals scored (L5): 1; 4
Goals conceded (L5): 9; 3.51
xG for (L5): 0.54; 2.31
xG against (L5): 0.64; 1
Clean sheets (L5): 1

Head to Head

3

Paris Saint Germain wins

1

Draws

0

Troyes wins

Last 4 meetings

4.5

Goals per game

100%

Both teams scored

100%

Over 2.5 goals

07 May 2023

Last meeting

Paris Saint Germain in the last 4 meetings

WWDW

Injuries & Suspensions