Paris vs Monaco – Match preview
Paris-:-
MonacoStade Jean BouinRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
42%
25%
ParisDraw 33%Monaco
Bookmaker implied
41%
33%
ParisDraw 26%Monaco
1.0 – 0.7
Expected score
25%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Paris
42%2.32
fair 2.39-3%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
26%3.60
fair 3.79-5%
Last 1020%4/20
Monaco
32%2.93
fair 3.15-7%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Paris
57%1.68
fair 1.76-4%
Last 1044%7/16
Monaco
43%2.12
fair 2.32-8%
Last 1056%9/16
Double chance
Paris or draw
68%1.41
fair 1.47-4%
Last 1055%11/20
Paris or Monaco
74%1.29
fair 1.36-5%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Monaco
58%1.62
fair 1.72-6%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 58% | 42% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%Yes 1.61
Last 1055%11/20
Paris clean sheet
22%
model chance
Monaco clean sheet
22%
model chance
Paris goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Monaco goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Paris corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 57%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Monaco corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 64%O4.5 45%O5.5 28%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Paris cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Monaco cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 12%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paris Brunner Monaco | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 43% | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | -31% |
Paris Brunner Monaco | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.60 | 2.60 | 37% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -4% |
Paris Brunner Monaco | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10 | 2.10 | 42% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -11% |
Ansu Fati Monaco | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | 53% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -19% |
Ilan Kebbal Paris | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | 49% | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | -25% |
Denis Zakaria Monaco | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 33% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -56% |
Folarin Balogun Monaco | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 17% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -74% |
Lassine Sinayoko Paris | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | 48% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -9% |
Edan Diop Monaco | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.50 | 3.50 | 23% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -20% |
Ansu Fati Monaco | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 40% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -47% |
Lassine Sinayoko Paris | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75 | 2.75 | 36% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -1% |
Edan Diop Monaco | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.25 | 2.25 | 36% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -20% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026ParisMonaco
- 3
- League position
- 5
- WLWDW
- Last 5
- LDWDW
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Paris wins
0
Draws
0
Monaco wins
Last 2 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
10 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Paris in the last 2 meetings
WW
Injuries & Suspensions
Paris
- Jonathan IkonéDead Leg
- Nhoa SanguiMuscle Injury
Monaco
No reported absences
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonParis
Top scorer
Lassine Sinayoko
6 goals
Most assists
Lassine Sinayoko
3 assists
Best rated
Lassine Sinayoko
7.84
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego CoppolaDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Kevin TrappGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Pierre Lees-MelouMidfielder | 7 (7) | 618 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Lassine SinayokoAttacker | 7 (7) | 612 | 6 | 3 | – | 7.84 | ×2 |
| Adama CamaraDefender | 7 (7) | 605 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Maxime LopezMidfielder | 7 (6) | 563 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.34 | ×2 |
| Ilan KebbalMidfielder | 7 (7) | 550 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.27 | |
| Pablo PagisMidfielder | 7 (7) | 524 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Luca KoleoshoMidfielder | 6 (6) | 469 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.79 | |
| Samir CherguiDefender | 5 (5) | 422 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×2 |
| Hamari TraoréDefender | 6 (5) | 410 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| OtávioDefender | 4 (2) | 208 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Rudy MatondoMidfielder | 7 (1) | 194 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | |
| Moustapha MbowDefender | 4 (2) | 185 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Moses SimonAttacker | 5 (1) | 141 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
Monaco
Top scorer
Paris Brunner
4 goals
Most assists
Aleksandr Golovin
3 assists
Best rated
Lamine Camara
7.39
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas HradeckyGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | |
| Lamine CamaraMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.39 | ×2 |
| Sadibou SanéDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| NazinhoDefender | 7 (7) | 620 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Aleksandr GolovinMidfielder | 7 (7) | 618 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.11 | ×3 |
| VandersonDefender | 7 (7) | 576 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.13 | |
| Denis ZakariaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 553 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Eric DierDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.27 | – |
| Paris BrunnerAttacker | 5 (5) | 391 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.22 | – |
| Stanis IdumboMidfielder | 5 (4) | 357 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Matthis AblineAttacker | 6 (3) | 320 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Mamadou CoulibalyMidfielder | 3 (3) | 211 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Edan DiopMidfielder | 3 (2) | 158 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Mathys DetourbetAttacker | 5 (1) | 133 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Ansu FatiMidfielder | 2 (1) | 81 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 2.02 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.81 | 2.04 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.83 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.15 | 1.72 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.13 | 1.71 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.83 | 2.03 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 | 2.20 |
| Betano.dk | 1.75 | 2.10 |