Toulouse vs Strasbourg – Match preview
Toulouse-:-
StrasbourgStadium de ToulouseRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
31%
43%
ToulouseDraw 26%Strasbourg
Bookmaker implied
46%
29%
ToulouseDraw 25%Strasbourg
1.2 – 1.4
Expected score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
38%
21%
ToulouseDraw 41%Strasbourg
Double Chance
48%
28%
ToulouseDraw 24%Strasbourg
Half Time Result
59%
35%
ToulouseDraw 6%Strasbourg
Probability
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
Over 0.5 Goals
48%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
65%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
79%
Match Result
Toulouse
46%2.08
fair 2.16-4%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
25%3.70
fair 3.94-6%
Last 1025%5/20
Strasbourg
28%3.34
fair 3.52-5%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Toulouse
62%1.52
fair 1.61-6%
Last 1060%9/15
Strasbourg
38%2.44
fair 2.63-7%
Last 1040%6/15
Double chance
Toulouse or draw
72%1.33
fair 1.40-5%
Last 1070%14/20
Toulouse or Strasbourg
75%1.28
fair 1.34-4%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Strasbourg
54%1.76
fair 1.86-5%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
63%Yes 1.53
Last 1070%14/20
Toulouse clean sheet
21%
model chance
Strasbourg clean sheet
18%
model chance
Toulouse goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 24%
Strasbourg goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 8.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 6% | 94% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Toulouse corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Strasbourg corners
O2.5 80%O3.5 62%O4.5 42%O5.5 26%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Toulouse cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Strasbourg cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Casper Tengstedt Toulouse | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 100%5/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Casper Tengstedt Toulouse | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Conrad Harder Strasbourg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Casper Tengstedt Toulouse | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Jacen Russell-Rowe Toulouse | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Gessime Yassine Strasbourg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Jacobo Ortega Strasbourg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Gessime Yassine Strasbourg | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Casper Tengstedt Toulouse | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jeyland Mitchell Strasbourg | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Aron Dønnum Toulouse | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Mateo Del Blanco Strasbourg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 0%0/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026ToulouseStrasbourg
- 11
- League position
- 16
- DWDWD
- Last 5
- LLLLD
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.20
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- 0.64
- xG for (L5)
- 0.85
- 0.54
- xG against (L5)
- 1.68
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
Toulouse wins
4
Draws
10
Strasbourg wins
Last 18 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
72%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
03 May 2026
Last meeting
Toulouse in the last 5 meetings
WWLLD
Injuries & Suspensions
Toulouse
- Rafik MessaliDead Leg
Strasbourg
- Fabio BaldéMuscle Injury
- Ismaël DoukouréUnknown Injury
- Joaquín PanichelliCruciate Ligament Tear
- Sebastian NanasiUnknown Injury
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonToulouse
Top scorer
Casper Tengstedt
5 goals
Most assists
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
5 assists
Best rated
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
7.89
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark McKenzieDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | |
| Christ TapéDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Cristian Cásseres Jr.Midfielder | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 5 | – | 7.89 | ×3 |
| Thomas JørgensenMidfielder | 8 (8) | 702 | 2 | 1 | 0.05 | 7.07 | – |
| Guillaume RestesGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 611 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Jacen Russell-RoweAttacker | 8 (7) | 548 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Rafik MessaliDefender | 8 (6) | 472 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Rasmus NicolaisenDefender | 5 (5) | 445 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.08 | |
| Casper TengstedtAttacker | 6 (4) | 405 | 5 | 1 | 0.38 | 7.25 | – |
| Niko SigurMidfielder | 5 (3) | 336 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Alexis VossahMidfielder | 7 (3) | 298 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Seny KoumbassaDefender | 5 (3) | 287 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | |
| Niklas SchmidtMidfielder | 5 (2) | 229 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Santiago HidalgoAttacker | 7 (3) | 221 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Julián VignoloAttacker | 4 (2) | 185 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
Strasbourg
Top scorer
Gessime Yassine
2 goals
Most assists
Gessime Yassine
2 assists
Best rated
Gessime Yassine
7.11
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip JørgensenGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Genesis AntwiDefender | 8 (8) | 709 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Gessime YassineMidfielder | 8 (8) | 679 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.11 | ×3 |
| Jeyland MitchellDefender | 7 (7) | 616 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | |
| Pape Demba DiopMidfielder | 8 (6) | 569 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.99 | ×3 |
| OsoDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | |
| Diogo SousaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 522 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 6.68 | |
| Giovanni ReynaMidfielder | 8 (6) | 509 | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.88 | |
| Sebastian NanasiAttacker | 5 (5) | 381 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Jacobo OrtegaAttacker | 8 (4) | 356 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 6.70 | – |
| Karim CoulibalyDefender | 6 (3) | 303 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Dário EssugoMidfielder | 6 (3) | 302 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.67 | |
| Conrad HarderAttacker | 6 (3) | 288 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.85 | |
| Ismaël DoukouréDefender | 3 (3) | 250 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Samuel Amo-AmeyawAttacker | 7 (2) | 244 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.81 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 6.88 | 1.06 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 2.02 | 1.82 |
| Betfair | 12.00 | 1.02 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 1.81 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 2.05 | 1.83 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 6.75 | 1.04 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.52 | 2.52 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 3.77 | 1.28 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 9.80 | 1.02 |
| bet365 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |
| Betfair | 1.01 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 7.70 | 1.02 |
| Pinnacle | 3.70 | 1.27 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 14.50 | 31.00 | 8.10 | 6.25 | 2.98 | 5.35 | 23.00 | 14.70 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 14.50 | 31.00 | 8.10 | 6.25 | 2.98 | 5.35 | 23.00 | 14.75 | 5.40 |
More on Toulouse vs Strasbourg
- Toulouse stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Strasbourg stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ligue 1 (France) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture