Toulouse vs Troyes – Match preview
Toulouse-:-
TroyesStadium de ToulouseRound 8
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
40%
28%
ToulouseDraw 32%Troyes
Bookmaker implied
58%
19%
ToulouseDraw 23%Troyes
1.0 – 0.8
Expected score
27%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Toulouse
56%1.61
fair 1.79-10%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
23%4.40
fair 4.390%
Last 1025%5/20
Troyes
21%5.15
fair 4.70+10%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Toulouse
72%1.24
fair 1.38-10%
Last 1067%10/15
Troyes
28%3.98
fair 3.63disputed
Last 1033%5/15
Double chance
Toulouse or draw
79%1.18
fair 1.27-7%
Last 1075%15/20
Toulouse or Troyes
77%1.23
fair 1.30-5%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Troyes
44%2.37
fair 2.27+4%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 1.62 / 2.36 | 65%13/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5main | 38% | 62% | 2.54 / 1.53 | 40%8/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.70
Last 1050%10/20
Toulouse clean sheet
23%
model chance
Troyes clean sheet
20%
model chance
Toulouse goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Troyes goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 9.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Toulouse corners
O2.5 73%O3.5 53%O4.5 33%O5.5 18%O6.5 9%O7.5 4%
Troyes corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 64%O5.5 47%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cards · Referee Geoffrey Kubler (4.7 cards a match, ×1.06)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 54% | 46% | 1.83 / 1.83 | 50%10/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Toulouse cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
Troyes cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Antoine Mille Troyes | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 72% | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | -6% |
Timothé Nkada Troyes | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 68% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -5% |
Casper Tengstedt Toulouse | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | 67% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -9% |
Thomas Jørgensen Toulouse | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 51% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -17% |
Thomas Jørgensen Toulouse | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 53% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -3% |
Casper Tengstedt Toulouse | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 53% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -28% |
Casper Tengstedt Toulouse | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | 50% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -4% |
Timothé Nkada Troyes | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 54% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -10% |
Mouhamed Diop Troyes | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 60% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -10% |
Renaud Ripart Troyes | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 66% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -15% |
Renaud Ripart Troyes | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | 55% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -16% |
Lucas Maronnier Troyes | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | 43% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -26% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026ToulouseTroyes
- 11
- League position
- 17
- WDWDL
- Last 5
- LLLLL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.00
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 15
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Toulouse wins
2
Draws
0
Troyes wins
Last 4 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
01 Feb 2023
Last meeting
Toulouse in the last 4 meetings
WWDD
Injuries & Suspensions
Toulouse
No reported absences
Troyes
- Anis OuzenadjiAnkle Injury
- Ismaël BouraHip Injury
- Yvann TitiDead Leg
Confirmed Line-ups
Toulouse
4-4-2- 16Guillaume RestesGoalkeeper
- 22Rafik MessaliMidfielder
- 5Seny KoumbassaDefender
- 3Mark McKenzieDefender
- 12Christ TapéDefender
- 15Aron DønnumMidfielder
- 14Niko SigurDefender
- 23Cristian Cásseres Jr.Midfielder
- 8Thomas JørgensenMidfielder
- 20Casper TengstedtAttacker
- 13Jacen Russell-RoweAttacker
Troyes
4-2-3-1- 33Patrick BeachGoalkeeper
- 2Lucas MaronnierDefender
- 6Adrien MonfrayDefender
- 4Junior DiazDefender
- 5Paolo GozziDefender
- 8Mouhamed DiopMidfielder
- 29Karim DermaneAttacker
- 10Merwan IfnaouiMidfielder
- 17Antoine MilleMidfielder
- 23Timothé NkadaAttacker
- 20Renaud RipartAttacker
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonToulouse
Top scorer
Casper Tengstedt
5 goals
Most assists
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
5 assists
Best rated
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
7.97
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Cásseres Jr.Midfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 5 | – | 7.97 | ×2 |
| Mark McKenzieDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Christ TapéDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Thomas JørgensenMidfielder | 7 (7) | 618 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.18 | – |
| Guillaume RestesGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 521 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Jacen Russell-RoweAttacker | 7 (6) | 464 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| Rafik MessaliDefender | 7 (5) | 414 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Rasmus NicolaisenDefender | 4 (4) | 355 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | |
| Casper TengstedtAttacker | 5 (3) | 315 | 5 | 1 | – | 7.33 | – |
| Seny KoumbassaDefender | 5 (3) | 287 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | |
| Alexis VossahMidfielder | 6 (3) | 266 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Niko SigurMidfielder | 4 (2) | 243 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | |
| Niklas SchmidtMidfielder | 4 (2) | 218 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Santiago HidalgoAttacker | 6 (3) | 210 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | |
| Julián VignoloAttacker | 4 (2) | 185 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
Troyes
Top scorer
Antoine Mille
1 goals
Most assists
Mouhamed Diop
1 assists
Best rated
Adrien Monfray
6.96
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior DiazDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×3 |
| Patrick BeachGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | |
| Adrien MonfrayDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Mouhamed DiopMidfielder | 7 (7) | 569 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.58 | |
| Antoine MilleMidfielder | 7 (6) | 533 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.93 | ×2 |
| Anis OuzenadjiDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Karim DermaneMidfielder | 6 (5) | 444 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | |
| Lucas MaronnierDefender | 6 (5) | 408 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Renaud RipartAttacker | 7 (4) | 394 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Iron GomisMidfielder | 7 (4) | 344 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Hugo PicardMidfielder | 6 (4) | 337 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Merwan IfnaouiMidfielder | 4 (4) | 326 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Kandet DiawaraAttacker | 7 (3) | 318 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Jérémy Le DouaronAttacker | 5 (3) | 285 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Noah Donkor ZnamenskyDefender | 5 (1) | 176 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
Referee
Geoffrey Kubler
Referee · France
- Cards per game
- 4.65
- Yellow cards per game
- 4.35
- Red cards per game
- 0.30
- Fouls per game
- 26.0
- Penalties per game
- 0.35
- Home wins
- 43%
Averages across 23 completed matches officiated by Geoffrey Kubler in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.27 | 3.89 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 2.63 | — | — |
| Betinia | — | — | 1.55 | 2.20 |
| Betsonic | — | — | 1.55 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.34 | 2.18 | — | — |
| Campobet | — | — | 1.55 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 2.02 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.85 | 2.03 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.08 | 5.45 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.52 | 2.53 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 2.95 | 1.43 | — | — |
| Sbo | 2.11 | 1.80 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 5.09 | 1.22 |
| bet365 | 1.61 | 2.30 |
| Betano.dk | 1.62 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| Betinia | 1.60 | 2.25 |
| Betsonic | 1.60 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.16 | 1.59 |
| Campobet | 1.60 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 1.16 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23 | 4.31 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Draw/Home | Home/Home | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Home/Draw | Away/Home | Away/Away | Away/Draw | Draw/Draw |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 4.45 | 2.29 | 41.00 | 11.70 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 9.00 | 16.50 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 4.50 | 2.40 | 41.00 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 8.50 | 15.00 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 2.29 | 41.00 | 11.75 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 9.00 | 16.75 | 6.50 |