Metz vs Pau – Match preview
Metz-:-
PauStade Saint-SymphorienRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
46%
30%
MetzDraw 24%Pau
1.7 – 1.3
Expected score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Metz
42%–
fair 2.41–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
24%–
fair 4.12–
Last 1025%5/20
Pau
34%–
fair 2.93–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Metz
55%–
fair 1.82–
Last 1033%5/15
Pau
45%–
fair 2.22–
Last 1067%10/15
Double chance
Metz or draw
66%–
fair 1.52–
Last 1050%10/20
Metz or Pau
76%–
fair 1.32–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Pau
58%–
fair 1.71–
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.6 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
67%
Last 1060%12/20
Metz clean sheet
16%
model chance
Pau clean sheet
20%
model chance
Metz goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Pau goals
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%
Corners
Expected 9.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Metz corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Pau corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Metz cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Pau cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026MetzPau
- 7
- League position
- 6
- WLDLW
- Last 5
- WWWLD
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
Metz wins
1
Draws
1
Pau wins
Last 2 meetings
1.5
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
26 Apr 2025
Last meeting
Metz in the last 2 meetings
LD
Key Players
Ligue 2, this seasonMetz
Top scorer
Pape Moussa Fall
7 goals
Most assists
Jessy Deminguet
3 assists
Best rated
Pape Sy
7.77
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian David Castro DevenishDefender | 9 (9) | 799 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | |
| Jessy DeminguetMidfielder | 9 (9) | 757 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.19 | ×2 |
| Pape Moussa FallAttacker | 9 (9) | 753 | 7 | 0 | – | 7.29 | |
| Jonathan FischerGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Giorgi AbuashviliMidfielder | 9 (9) | 704 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Florian MiguelDefender | 9 (7) | 611 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Bouna SarrDefender | 7 (7) | 587 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 | |
| Jean RuizDefender | 7 (7) | 579 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×2 |
| Believe MunongoMidfielder | 8 (7) | 533 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Téji SavanierMidfielder | 6 (5) | 412 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.56 | |
| Idris MohamedDefender | 5 (4) | 350 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Maxime ColinDefender | 6 (3) | 281 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Michel MboulaDefender | 4 (2) | 228 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Nampalys MendyMidfielder | 6 (1) | 133 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Ibou SanéAttacker | 5 (0) | 115 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
Pau
Top scorer
Babacar Leye
4 goals
Most assists
Lorenzo Rajot
3 assists
Best rated
Jessy Benet
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice MaubleuGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Tom PouillyDefender | 9 (9) | 779 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Gaëtan PaquiezDefender | 9 (8) | 742 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×3 |
| Cheikh FallMidfielder | 9 (7) | 687 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.97 | |
| Jessy BenetMidfielder | 8 (8) | 660 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Hacène BenaliAttacker | 8 (7) | 603 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Axel BambaDefender | 7 (7) | 586 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | ×3 |
| Babacar LeyeAttacker | 8 (7) | 532 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Lorenzo RajotMidfielder | 9 (6) | 487 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.89 | |
| Anthony BriançonDefender | 7 (6) | 438 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.17 | ×2 |
| Akim AbdallahDefender | 6 (5) | 362 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | ×2 |
| Tom SaettelAttacker | 6 (3) | 239 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Mathys TourraineDefender | 6 (2) | 203 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.61 | |
| Alexis LefebvreAttacker | 5 (2) | 190 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Jérémy SebasAttacker | 4 (1) | 165 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.65 |