Montpellier vs Metz – Match preview
Montpellier-:-
MetzStade de la MossonRound 12
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
63%
7%
MontpellierDraw 30%Metz
1.2 – 0.2
Expected score
19%
Over 2.5 goals
15%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
41%
19%
MontpellierDraw 40%Metz
Double Chance
52%
22%
MontpellierDraw 26%Metz
Half Time Result
58%
34%
MontpellierDraw 8%Metz
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
Over 0.5 Goals
49%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
57%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
80%
Match Result
Montpellier
50%–
fair 1.99–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
26%–
fair 3.82–
Last 1040%8/20
Metz
24%–
fair 4.23–
Last 1015%3/20
Draw no bet
Montpellier
68%–
fair 1.47–
Last 1075%9/12
Metz
32%–
fair 3.12–
Last 1025%3/12
Double chance
Montpellier or draw
76%–
fair 1.31–
Last 1085%17/20
Montpellier or Metz
74%–
fair 1.35–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Metz
50%–
fair 2.01–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
56%
Last 1060%12/20
Montpellier clean sheet
29%
model chance
Metz clean sheet
21%
model chance
Montpellier goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Metz goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Montpellier corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Metz corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Montpellier cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Metz cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026MontpellierMetz
- 2
- League position
- 9
- WWWDW
- Last 5
- LDWLD
- 2.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 12
- 0.73
- xG for (L5)
- 3.70
- 1.16
- xG against (L5)
- 4.14
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
Montpellier wins
2
Draws
2
Metz wins
Last 8 meetings
2.6
Goals per game
38%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
11 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Montpellier in the last 5 meetings
WWWDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Montpellier
- Axel GuéguinCruciate Ligament Tear
Metz
- Giorgi AbuashviliCalf Injury
- Joseph MangondoKnee Problems
- Nampalys MendyTendon Rupture
Key Players
Ligue 2, this seasonMontpellier
Top scorer
Nicolas Pays
3 goals
Most assists
Nordan Mukiele
2 assists
Best rated
Florian Tardieu
7.26
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien LaporteDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.23 | ×2 |
| Simon NgapandouetnbuGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Nicolas PaysMidfielder | 10 (10) | 887 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Théo Sainte-LuceDefender | 9 (9) | 790 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.21 | |
| Florian TardieuMidfielder | 8 (8) | 710 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.26 | |
| Yaël MouangaDefender | 8 (7) | 639 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×3 |
| Daylam MeddahMidfielder | 9 (8) | 635 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.07 | ×4 |
| Nordan MukieleMidfielder | 9 (8) | 609 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Naoufel El HannachDefender | 9 (7) | 596 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Mamadou CamaraAttacker | 7 (6) | 546 | 2 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.98 | |
| Théo ChennahiMidfielder | 8 (5) | 462 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.85 | |
| Yanis ZouaouiDefender | 3 (2) | 200 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 7.16 | |
| Enzo TchatoDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Yanis IssoufouAttacker | 4 (0) | 103 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Alpha SissokoDefender | 1 (1) | 80 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.18 |
Metz
Top scorer
Pape Moussa Fall
8 goals
Most assists
Jessy Deminguet
3 assists
Best rated
Pape Sy
7.77
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian David Castro DevenishDefender | 11 (11) | 979 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.87 | ×3 |
| Jessy DeminguetMidfielder | 11 (11) | 937 | 2 | 3 | 0.40 | 7.20 | ×2 |
| Jonathan FischerGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Pape Moussa FallAttacker | 10 (10) | 843 | 8 | 0 | 0.26 | 7.34 | |
| Giorgi AbuashviliMidfielder | 10 (10) | 785 | 2 | 0 | 0.40 | 6.76 | |
| Bouna SarrDefender | 9 (9) | 758 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 6.62 | |
| Florian MiguelDefender | 11 (8) | 729 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.69 | ×2 |
| Jean RuizDefender | 8 (8) | 669 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Téji SavanierMidfielder | 8 (7) | 592 | 3 | 2 | 1.18 | 7.63 | ×2 |
| Believe MunongoMidfielder | 8 (7) | 533 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Idris MohamedMidfielder | 7 (6) | 507 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Michel MboulaDefender | 6 (4) | 380 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 6.91 | – |
| Maxime ColinDefender | 6 (3) | 281 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Ibou SanéAttacker | 6 (0) | 160 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.83 | – |
| Nampalys MendyMidfielder | 6 (1) | 133 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 |
More on Montpellier vs Metz
- Montpellier stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Metz stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ligue 2 (France) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture