Pau vs Nantes – Match preview
Pau-:-
NantesStade Du Hameau Idron 1Round 12
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
53%
22%
PauDraw 25%Nantes
1.6 – 0.9
Expected score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
44%
28%
PauDraw 28%Nantes
First Half Result
32%
21%
PauDraw 47%Nantes
Team to Score First
53%
39%
PauNo goal 8%Nantes
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
Pau Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Pau Over 1.5 Goals
41%
Nantes Over 0.5 Goals
63%
Pau Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Match Result
Pau
48%–
model 2.08–
Last 1055%11/20
Draw
26%–
model 3.84–
Last 1025%5/20
Nantes
26%–
model 3.87–
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Pau
65%–
model 1.54–
Last 1073%11/15
Nantes
35%–
model 2.86–
Last 1027%4/15
Double chance
Pau or draw
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1080%16/20
Pau or Nantes
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Nantes
52%–
model 1.93–
Last 1045%9/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1060%12/20
Pau clean sheet
27%
model chance
Nantes clean sheet
21%
model chance
Pau goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Nantes goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Pau corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Nantes corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Pau cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 68%O2.5 41%O3.5 21%
Nantes cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026PauNantes
- 3
- League position
- 15
- WWWWW
- Last 5
- DLLDW
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 12
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 4.02
- xG for (L5)
- 1.23
- 2.67
- xG against (L5)
- 1.17
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
Pau wins
0
Draws
1
Nantes wins
Last 1 meetings
5.0
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
05 Jan 2024
Last meeting
Pau in the last 1 meetings
L
Key Players
Ligue 2, this seasonPau
Top scorer
Babacar Leye
4 goals
Most assists
Jessy Benet
3 assists
Best rated
Anthony Briançon
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice MaubleuGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Gaëtan PaquiezDefender | 11 (10) | 922 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | ×4 |
| Jessy BenetMidfielder | 10 (10) | 840 | 1 | 3 | 0.83 | 7.15 | – |
| Tom PouillyDefender | 10 (10) | 835 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Cheikh FallMidfielder | 11 (9) | 833 | 3 | 0 | 0.41 | 7.04 | |
| Hacène BenaliAttacker | 10 (9) | 769 | 3 | 0 | 1.65 | 7.14 | ×3 |
| Axel BambaDefender | 9 (9) | 766 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 6.73 | ×4 |
| Anthony BriançonDefender | 9 (8) | 618 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | 7.19 | ×2 |
| Babacar LeyeAttacker | 10 (7) | 606 | 4 | 1 | 0.27 | 7.06 | – |
| Lorenzo RajotMidfielder | 11 (7) | 600 | 2 | 3 | 0.44 | 6.92 | |
| Akim AbdallahDefender | 8 (6) | 457 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | ×2 |
| Mathys TourraineDefender | 8 (4) | 383 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.59 | |
| Jérémy SebasAttacker | 6 (2) | 260 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 6.75 | |
| Tom SaettelAttacker | 6 (3) | 239 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Alexis LefebvreAttacker | 6 (2) | 204 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
Nantes
Top scorer
Killian Corredor
2 goals
Most assists
Ryad Hachem
2 assists
Best rated
Ryad Hachem
7.02
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas PerrinDefender | 10 (9) | 884 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.96 | |
| Kelvin AmianDefender | 10 (9) | 837 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.64 | ×3 |
| Johann LepenantMidfielder | 11 (9) | 775 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | |
| Saïdou SowDefender | 9 (9) | 736 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | |
| Ibrahima SissokoMidfielder | 11 (8) | 680 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | 6.75 | |
| Frédéric GuilbertDefender | 8 (8) | 674 | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.96 | ×3 |
| Maxime DupéGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Ryad HachemMidfielder | 8 (7) | 568 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.02 | |
| Ignatius GanagoAttacker | 9 (6) | 554 | 1 | 0 | 0.49 | 6.63 | – |
| Fodé DoucouréDefender | 7 (5) | 466 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.75 | |
| Mathieu CafaroMidfielder | 9 (6) | 463 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.84 | |
| Killian CorredorAttacker | 7 (5) | 462 | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.93 | – |
| Wilitty YounoussaMidfielder | 8 (7) | 455 | 2 | 2 | 0.04 | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Thomas RobinetAttacker | 6 (6) | 442 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Balthazar PierretMidfielder | 7 (4) | 399 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
More on Pau vs Nantes
- Pau stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Nantes stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ligue 2 (France) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture