New England vs Inter Miami – Match preview
-:-
Gillette Stadium
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
39%
38%
New EnglandDraw 23%Inter Miami
1.6 – 1.6
Expected score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
Match Result
New England
36%–
fair 2.79–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
25%–
fair 4.01–
Last 1010%2/20
Inter Miami
39%–
fair 2.54–
Last 1055%11/20
Draw no bet
New England
48%–
fair 2.10–
Last 1039%7/18
Inter Miami
52%–
fair 1.91–
Last 1061%11/18
Double chance
New England or draw
61%–
fair 1.65–
Last 1045%9/20
New England or Inter Miami
75%–
fair 1.33–
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Inter Miami
64%–
fair 1.56–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.7 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
65%
Last 1055%11/20
New England clean sheet
15%
model chance
Inter Miami clean sheet
23%
model chance
New England goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Inter Miami goals
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
New England corners
O2.5 77%O3.5 58%O4.5 39%O5.5 23%O6.5 12%O7.5 6%
Inter Miami corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 66%O5.5 50%O6.5 34%O7.5 21%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
New England cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Inter Miami cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 47%O3.5 25%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026New EnglandInter Miami
- 4
- League position
- 3
- WWLLW
- Last 5
- WWWLD
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
New England wins
1
Draws
7
Inter Miami wins
Last 11 meetings
3.9
Goals per game
73%
Both teams scored
73%
Over 2.5 goals
26 Apr 2026
Last meeting
New England in the last 5 meetings
DLLLL
Key Players
Major League Soccer, this seasonNew England
Top scorer
Carles Gil
12 goals
Most assists
Dor Turgeman
8 assists
Best rated
Carles Gil
7.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt TurnerGoalkeeper | 30 (30) | 2699 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.18 | |
| Carles GilMidfielder | 30 (30) | 2680 | 12 | 6 | – | 7.54 | ×4 |
| Will SandsDefender | 30 (30) | 2604 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.70 | ×5 |
| Brooklyn RainesMidfielder | 27 (27) | 2395 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×10 |
| Dor TurgemanAttacker | 29 (29) | 2389 | 9 | 8 | – | 7.00 | |
| Mamadou FofanaDefender | 26 (26) | 2339 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.02 | ×4 |
| Ethan KohlerDefender | 26 (25) | 2248 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Peyton MillerAttacker | 27 (21) | 1958 | 6 | 6 | – | 7.09 | ×3 |
| Alhassan YusufMidfielder | 24 (21) | 1845 | 5 | 1 | – | 7.06 | ×4 |
| Matt PolsterDefender | 25 (23) | 1816 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.78 | ×5 |
| Luca LangoniAttacker | 21 (13) | 1122 | 3 | 6 | – | 6.90 | |
| Ilay FeingoldDefender | 17 (10) | 904 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Griffin YowAttacker | 22 (9) | 870 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.55 | ×3 |
| Jackson YueillMidfielder | 19 (6) | 637 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Brayan CeballosDefender | 9 (8) | 636 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.16 | ×3 |
Inter Miami
Top scorer
Lionel Messi
25 goals
Most assists
Lionel Messi
13 assists
Best rated
Lionel Messi
8.13
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel MessiAttacker | 27 (26) | 2360 | 25 | 13 | – | 8.13 | ×4 |
| Rodrigo De PaulMidfielder | 25 (25) | 2238 | 5 | 9 | – | 7.44 | ×5 |
| Dayne St. ClairGoalkeeper | 24 (24) | 2160 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×4 |
| Germán BerterameAttacker | 26 (23) | 2088 | 9 | 7 | – | 7.16 | ×4 |
| Luis SuárezAttacker | 26 (22) | 1912 | 15 | 8 | – | 7.45 | |
| Telasco SegoviaMidfielder | 26 (22) | 1888 | 3 | 8 | – | 6.92 | ×9 |
| Yannick BrightMidfielder | 24 (23) | 1887 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.03 | ×4 |
| MicaelDefender | 21 (21) | 1870 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×5 |
| Maximiliano FalcónDefender | 19 (16) | 1488 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.57 | ×6 |
| Ian FrayDefender | 22 (18) | 1450 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.62 | ×7 |
| Gonzalo LujánDefender | 20 (16) | 1413 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×4 |
| Facundo MuraDefender | 25 (13) | 1304 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| CasemiroDefender | 14 (14) | 1228 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.23 | ×4 |
| Sergio ReguilónDefender | 16 (14) | 1063 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.56 | ×3 |
| Noah AllenDefender | 19 (12) | 1037 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.66 | ×2 |