Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin – Match preview
-:-
Shahr-e Qods StadiumRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
63%
7%
EsteghlalDraw 30%Shams Azar Qazvin
1.2 – 0.2
Expected score
18%
Over 2.5 goals
15%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Esteghlal
45%–
fair 2.23–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
31%–
fair 3.18–
Last 1030%6/20
Shams Azar Qazvin
24%–
fair 4.21–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Esteghlal
65%–
fair 1.53–
Last 1064%9/14
Shams Azar Qazvin
35%–
fair 2.89–
Last 1036%5/14
Double chance
Esteghlal or draw
76%–
fair 1.31–
Last 1075%15/20
Esteghlal or Shams Azar Qazvin
69%–
fair 1.46–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Shams Azar Qazvin
55%–
fair 1.81–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.3–0.9 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 88% | 12% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 35% | 65% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 6% | 94% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
42%
Last 1030%6/20
Esteghlal clean sheet
39%
model chance
Shams Azar Qazvin clean sheet
32%
model chance
Esteghlal goals
O0.5 68%O1.5 32%O2.5 11%
Shams Azar Qazvin goals
O0.5 61%O1.5 25%O2.5 7%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 53%10/19 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 47%9/19 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 42%8/19 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 26%5/19 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 26%5/19 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 26%5/19 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 21%4/19 | – |
Esteghlal corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Shams Azar Qazvin corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 64%O4.5 44%O5.5 28%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.2 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Esteghlal cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Shams Azar Qazvin cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026EsteghlalShams Azar Qazvin
- 2
- League position
- 14
- WDWDD
- Last 5
- DDLLD
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Esteghlal wins
2
Draws
1
Shams Azar Qazvin wins
Last 5 meetings
3.4
Goals per game
80%
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
05 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Esteghlal in the last 5 meetings
WDLWD
Key Players
Persian Gulf Pro League, this seasonEsteghlal
Top scorer
Jasir Asani
3 goals
Most assists
Saeed Saharkhizan
2 assists
Best rated
—
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Far AbbasiGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Jasir AsaniMidfielder | 9 (9) | 810 | 3 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Hossein GoudarziDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | – | |
| S. FallahDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Esmaeil GholizadehMidfielder | 9 (9) | 770 | 3 | 0 | – | – | |
| Rustam AshurmatovDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Amirmohammad RazzaghiniaMidfielder | 8 (8) | 711 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×3 |
| Saeed SaharkhizanAttacker | 9 (8) | 710 | 3 | 2 | – | – | – |
| Aaref Aghasi KolahsorkhiMidfielder | 8 (8) | 675 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Saleh HardaniDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | – | ×3 |
| Alireza KoushkiAttacker | 8 (6) | 480 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Mohammad Hossein EslamiMidfielder | 7 (3) | 344 | 0 | 1 | – | – | – |
| Roozbeh CheshmiDefender | 6 (3) | 298 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| S. TouranianDefender | 3 (2) | 181 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Jaloliddin MasharipovMidfielder | 3 (1) | 135 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
Shams Azar Qazvin
Top scorer
Mohammad Milad Sourgi
2 goals
Most assists
Amirmohammad Mohkamkar
1 assists
Best rated
—
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad NejadmahdiDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Adib ZareiGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Mohammad Milad SourgiAttacker | 6 (6) | 516 | 2 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Amir TaherDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Amirmohammad MohkamkarMidfielder | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 1 | – | – | – |
| Mehdi MamizadehAttacker | 5 (5) | 421 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| M. RezaeiDefender | 5 (5) | 373 | 2 | 0 | – | – | |
| Sina MoazemitabarAttacker | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Mohammadmehdi MansouriAttacker | 3 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Ahmad NasiriMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Ali HosseinzadehMidfielder | 1 (0) | 21 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |