AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United – Match preview
AFC Bournemouth-:-
Leeds UnitedVitality StadiumRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
32%
32%
AFC BournemouthDraw 36%Leeds United
Bookmaker implied
43%
30%
AFC BournemouthDraw 27%Leeds United
0.8 – 0.8
Expected score
20%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
Both teams to score
Match Result
AFC Bournemouth
46%2.15
fair 2.18-2%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
28%3.37
fair 3.63-7%
Last 1035%7/20
Leeds United
27%3.48
fair 3.75-7%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
AFC Bournemouth
63%1.51
fair 1.58-5%
Last 1062%8/13
Leeds United
37%2.45
fair 2.72-10%
Last 1038%5/13
Double chance
AFC Bournemouth or draw
73%1.31
fair 1.36-4%
Last 1075%15/20
AFC Bournemouth or Leeds United
72%1.33
fair 1.38-4%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Leeds United
54%1.71
fair 1.84-7%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%Yes 1.66
Last 1055%11/20
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet
27%
model chance
Leeds United clean sheet
21%
model chance
AFC Bournemouth goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Leeds United goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 9.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
AFC Bournemouth corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Leeds United corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 43%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
AFC Bournemouth cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 68%O2.5 41%O3.5 21%
Leeds United cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Leeds United | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.30 | 2.30 | 37% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -15% |
Tarik Muharemović Leeds United | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 7.50 | 7.50 | 18% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | +33% |
Marcus Tavernier AFC Bournemouth | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.50 | 4.50 | 20% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -8% |
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Leeds United | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75 | 2.75 | 29% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -21% |
Marcus Tavernier AFC Bournemouth | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -24% |
James Justin Leeds United | Over 0.5 Goals · 12.00 | 12.00 | 11% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +34% |
Alex Scott AFC Bournemouth | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.00 | 4.00 | 22% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -10% |
James Justin Leeds United | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 6.50 | 6.50 | 13% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -13% |
Justin Kluivert AFC Bournemouth | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.00 | 4.00 | 12% | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | -53% |
Justin Kluivert AFC Bournemouth | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.50 | 2.50 | 16% | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | -61% |
Brenden Aaronson Leeds United | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.00 | 3.00 | 10% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -70% |
Tarik Muharemović Leeds United | Over 0.5 Assists · 12.00 | 12.00 | 10% | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | +22% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026AFC BournemouthLeeds United
- 15
- League position
- 7
- WLLDD
- Last 5
- DLDWD
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
AFC Bournemouth wins
2
Draws
1
Leeds United wins
Last 4 meetings
5.0
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
22 Apr 2026
Last meeting
AFC Bournemouth in the last 4 meetings
DDWL
Injuries & Suspensions
AFC Bournemouth
- Julián AraujoHamstring Injury
Leeds United
- Mateo JosephCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonAFC Bournemouth
Top scorer
Marcus Tavernier
4 goals
Most assists
Evanilson
4 assists
Best rated
Evanilson
7.31
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| António SilvaDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Djordje PetrovicGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| James HillDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Adrien TruffertDefender | 7 (7) | 624 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×2 |
| RayanMidfielder | 7 (7) | 617 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Adam SmithDefender | 7 (7) | 597 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | ×3 |
| EvanilsonAttacker | 7 (7) | 594 | 2 | 4 | – | 7.31 | |
| Marcus TavernierMidfielder | 7 (7) | 578 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.24 | ×3 |
| Tyler AdamsMidfielder | 7 (5) | 461 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | |
| Alex ScottMidfielder | 5 (5) | 449 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.12 | |
| Justin KluivertMidfielder | 5 (4) | 326 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Ryan ChristieMidfielder | 6 (3) | 266 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Lewis CookMidfielder | 7 (3) | 260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| David BrooksMidfielder | 5 (1) | 97 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | |
| Ben Gannon-DoakAttacker | 6 (0) | 57 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
Leeds United
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
3 goals
Most assists
Tarik Muharemović
2 assists
Best rated
Tarik Muharemović
7.20
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan AmpaduMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
| James TraffordGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Tarik MuharemovićDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.20 | |
| Anton StachMidfielder | 7 (7) | 628 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.17 | – |
| James JustinDefender | 7 (7) | 619 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.10 | |
| Dominic Calvert-LewinAttacker | 7 (7) | 601 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.93 | ×3 |
| Jayden BogleMidfielder | 7 (7) | 545 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Nico ElvediDefender | 6 (5) | 502 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Noah OkaforAttacker | 7 (6) | 448 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Gabriel GudmundssonMidfielder | 5 (5) | 432 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.89 | |
| Ao TanakaMidfielder | 6 (5) | 408 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Brenden AaronsonMidfielder | 6 (2) | 216 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Jaka BijolDefender | 4 (2) | 169 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Harry WilsonAttacker | 5 (1) | 164 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | |
| Joe RodonDefender | 2 (2) | 124 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.97 | 1.87 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.99 | 1.89 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.44 | 1.57 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.42 | 1.56 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.98 | 1.92 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Betano.dk | 9.00 | 10.00 |