Aston Villa vs Fulham – Match preview
Aston Villa-:-
FulhamVilla ParkRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
34%
21%
Aston VillaDraw 45%Fulham
Bookmaker implied
46%
28%
Aston VillaDraw 26%Fulham
0.6 – 0.4
Expected score
9%
Over 2.5 goals
16%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Aston Villa
48%2.06
fair 2.10-2%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
26%3.67
fair 3.88-5%
Last 1020%4/20
Fulham
27%3.41
fair 3.75-9%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Aston Villa
64%1.50
fair 1.56-4%
Last 1063%10/16
Fulham
36%2.48
fair 2.79-11%
Last 1038%6/16
Double chance
Aston Villa or draw
73%1.32
fair 1.36-3%
Last 1070%14/20
Aston Villa or Fulham
74%1.28
fair 1.35-5%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Fulham
52%1.77
fair 1.91-7%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.61
Last 1055%11/20
Aston Villa clean sheet
27%
model chance
Fulham clean sheet
20%
model chance
Aston Villa goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Fulham goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Aston Villa corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Fulham corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Aston Villa cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%O3.5 11%
Fulham cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 41%O3.5 20%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Johan Manzambi Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.37 | 2.37 | 34% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -19% |
Johan Manzambi Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.60 | 3.60 | 21% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -25% |
John McGinn Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | 26% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -26% |
Johan Manzambi Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.00 | 5.00 | 17% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -16% |
Nicolas Jackson Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.50 | 2.50 | 29% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -27% |
Nicolas Jackson Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.00 | 2.00 | 36% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -28% |
Ibrahim Mbaye Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.62 | 2.62 | 21% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -45% |
John McGinn Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.50 | 5.50 | 15% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -18% |
Alex Iwobi Fulham | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -24% |
Ibrahim Mbaye Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.50 | 5.50 | 11% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -38% |
Ross Barkley Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Goals · 5.50 | 5.50 | 11% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -41% |
Ross Barkley Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | 16% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -49% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Aston VillaFulham
- 12
- League position
- 18
- WDWLD
- Last 5
- WLDDL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
8
Aston Villa wins
0
Draws
2
Fulham wins
Last 10 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
70%
Over 2.5 goals
25 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Aston Villa in the last 5 meetings
LWWWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Aston Villa
- Amadou OnanaCruciate Ligament Tear
Fulham
No reported absences
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonAston Villa
Top scorer
Nicolas Jackson
2 goals
Most assists
John McGinn
2 assists
Best rated
Johan Manzambi
7.40
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor LindelöfDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Boubacar KamaraMidfielder | 7 (7) | 624 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.97 | – |
| John McGinnMidfielder | 7 (6) | 570 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Emiliano BuendíaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 540 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | |
| Zion SuzukiGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Matty CashDefender | 6 (5) | 477 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×3 |
| Nicolas JacksonAttacker | 6 (6) | 470 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Tyrone MingsDefender | 6 (4) | 441 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Ross BarkleyMidfielder | 7 (4) | 333 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Ian MaatsenDefender | 4 (4) | 330 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | |
| George Lawrence HemmingsMidfielder | 5 (4) | 300 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | – |
| João GomesMidfielder | 4 (4) | 288 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.32 | ×2 |
| Aaron Wan-BissakaDefender | 6 (3) | 274 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Johan ManzambiMidfielder | 4 (3) | 257 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.40 | – |
| Pau TorresDefender | 4 (3) | 202 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.16 | – |
Fulham
Top scorer
Josh King
2 goals
Most assists
Sander Berge
1 assists
Best rated
Alex Iwobi
7.31
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernd LenoGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Calvin BasseyDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Gonzalo GarcíaAttacker | 7 (7) | 599 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Alex IwobiMidfielder | 7 (7) | 588 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.31 | – |
| Josh KingMidfielder | 7 (7) | 581 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.03 | ×3 |
| Sander BergeMidfielder | 7 (6) | 531 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.85 | |
| Antonee RobinsonDefender | 6 (6) | 521 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Oscar BobbMidfielder | 7 (7) | 502 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Timothy CastagneDefender | 6 (6) | 500 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Shea Emmanuel CharlesMidfielder | 7 (5) | 465 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| David AffengruberDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| César PalaciosMidfielder | 5 (3) | 236 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | |
| Joachim AndersenDefender | 3 (2) | 190 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Ryan SessegnonMidfielder | 5 (1) | 152 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.32 | |
| Kenny TeteDefender | 2 (1) | 117 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.05 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.82 | 2.03 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.83 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.54 | 2.52 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.80 | 2.06 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| Betano.dk | 3.95 | 5.10 |