Brentford vs Nottingham Forest – Match preview
-:-
Gtech Community StadiumRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
70%
13%
BrentfordDraw 17%Nottingham Forest
Bookmaker implied
47%
27%
BrentfordDraw 26%Nottingham Forest
2.5 – 1.0
Expected score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Brentford
49%2.01
fair 2.06-2%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
25%3.81
fair 3.98-4%
Last 1040%8/20
Nottingham Forest
26%3.42
fair 3.82-10%
Last 1010%2/20
Draw no bet
Brentford
65%1.48
fair 1.54-4%
Last 1083%10/12
Nottingham Forest
35%2.52
fair 2.86-12%
Last 1017%2/12
Double chance
Brentford or draw
74%1.32
fair 1.36-3%
Last 1090%18/20
Brentford or Nottingham Forest
75%1.27
fair 1.34-5%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Nottingham Forest
51%1.80
fair 1.95-8%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.1 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%Yes 1.61
Last 1065%13/20
Brentford clean sheet
29%
model chance
Nottingham Forest clean sheet
20%
model chance
Brentford goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 22%
Nottingham Forest goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Brentford corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 51%O5.5 33%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Nottingham Forest corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Brentford cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Nottingham Forest cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin Schade Brentford | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.37 | 2.37 | 36% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -15% |
Kevin Schade Brentford | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.10 | 3.10 | 26% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -20% |
Keane Lewis-Potter Brentford | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.25 | 3.25 | 20% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -35% |
Igor Thiago Brentford | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66 | 1.66 | 34% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -43% |
Dan Ndoye Nottingham Forest | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.75 | 4.75 | 21% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -1% |
Jaidon Anthony Brentford | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.60 | 2.60 | 29% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -25% |
Dan Ndoye Nottingham Forest | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | 25% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -27% |
Keane Lewis-Potter Brentford | Over 0.5 Goals · 5.50 | 5.50 | 13% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -28% |
Yegor Yarmolyuk Brentford | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.00 | 4.00 | 17% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -32% |
Igor Thiago Brentford | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.05 | 2.05 | 24% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -51% |
Igor Jesus Nottingham Forest | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.50 | 3.50 | 14% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -52% |
Igor Jesus Nottingham Forest | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | 17% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -53% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026BrentfordNottingham Forest
- 6
- League position
- 19
- LDWDD
- Last 5
- LLLWD
- 1.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
Brentford wins
3
Draws
3
Nottingham Forest wins
Last 10 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
70%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
25 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Brentford in the last 5 meetings
LLWLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Brentford
- Kaye FuroFoot surgery
Nottingham Forest
No reported absences
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonBrentford
Top scorer
Kevin Schade
3 goals
Most assists
Igor Thiago
1 assists
Best rated
Vitaly Janelt
7.11
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caoimhín KelleherGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Vitaly JaneltMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.11 | ×5 |
| Kristoffer AjerDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Igor ThiagoAttacker | 7 (7) | 623 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×4 |
| Keane Lewis-PotterDefender | 7 (7) | 553 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Kevin SchadeMidfielder | 7 (6) | 544 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.01 | |
| Michael KayodeDefender | 7 (6) | 478 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Jaidon AnthonyMidfielder | 7 (5) | 431 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.71 | |
| Mamadou SangaréMidfielder | 7 (4) | 405 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Yegor YarmolyukMidfielder | 7 (4) | 329 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.60 | |
| Jannik SchusterDefender | 4 (3) | 299 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Mikkel DamsgaardMidfielder | 6 (3) | 299 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Dango OuattaraAttacker | 7 (3) | 250 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Aaron HickeyDefender | 7 (1) | 215 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Nathan CollinsDefender | 3 (3) | 197 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 |
Nottingham Forest
Top scorer
Dan Ndoye
2 goals
Most assists
Morgan Gibbs-White
2 assists
Best rated
Morgan Gibbs-White
7.46
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MurilloDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.07 | ×2 |
| Matz SelsGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Neco WilliamsMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.17 | |
| James McAteeMidfielder | 7 (7) | 594 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Morgan Gibbs-WhiteAttacker | 6 (6) | 540 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.46 | – |
| Xaver SchlagerMidfielder | 7 (6) | 532 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| Dan NdoyeAttacker | 7 (7) | 466 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| Jair CunhaDefender | 5 (5) | 445 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | ×2 |
| Liam DelapAttacker | 6 (5) | 440 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Ola AinaDefender | 5 (5) | 392 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×3 |
| Daniel MuñozMidfielder | 5 (4) | 384 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Ousmane DiomandeDefender | 5 (4) | 344 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Nikola MilenkovićDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Igor JesusAttacker | 5 (2) | 257 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Ibrahim SangaréMidfielder | 5 (1) | 145 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.02 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.84 | 2.01 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.86 | 2.02 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.62 | 1.50 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.61 | 1.49 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.84 | 2.02 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.88 | 2.02 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| Betano.dk | 1.18 | 1.72 |