Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford – Match preview
Brighton & Hove Albion-:-
BrentfordThe American Express Community StadiumRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
91%
2%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDraw 7%Brentford
Bookmaker implied
49%
26%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDraw 25%Brentford
3.2 – 0.3
Expected score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
56%
19%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDraw 25%Brentford
First Half Result
46%
18%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDraw 36%Brentford
Team to Score First
64%
29%
Brighton & Hove AlbionNo goal 7%Brentford
Probability
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
Brighton & Hove Albion Over 3.5 Goals
10%
Brighton & Hove Albion Over 1.5 Goals
51%
Brentford Over 0.5 Goals
55%
Brighton & Hove Albion Over 0.5 Goals
81%
Match Result
Brighton & Hove Albion
50%1.93
model 2.02-4%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
25%3.86
model 4.06-5%
Last 1035%7/20
Brentford
26%3.62
model 3.87-7%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Brighton & Hove Albion
66%1.43
model 1.52-6%
Last 1069%9/13
Brentford
34%2.68
model 2.92-8%
Last 1031%4/13
Double chance
Brighton & Hove Albion or draw
74%1.29
model 1.35-4%
Last 1080%16/20
Brighton & Hove Albion or Brentford
75%1.26
model 1.33-5%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Brentford
50%1.87
model 1.98-6%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
60%Yes 1.57
Last 1050%10/20
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet
25%
model chance
Brentford clean sheet
19%
model chance
Brighton & Hove Albion goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Brentford goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Brighton & Hove Albion corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 61%O5.5 44%O6.5 28%O7.5 17%
Brentford corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Brighton & Hove Albion cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Brentford cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Igor Thiago Brentford | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Jack Hinshelwood Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.00 | 4.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jaouen Hadjam Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.40 | 3.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Georginio Rutter Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.50 | 4.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Pascal Groß Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.30 | 2.30 | – | 0%0/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jack Hinshelwood Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Charalampos Kostoulas Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Georginio Rutter Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Charalampos Kostoulas Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Yasin Ayari Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Pascal Groß Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.40 | 3.40 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Pascal Groß Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.50 | 5.50 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Jaidon Anthony Brentford | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Igor Thiago Brentford | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Callum Wilson Brentford | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.50 | 3.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Charalampos Kostoulas Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.50 | 5.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Yasin Ayari Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.75 | 4.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Callum Wilson Brentford | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Yegor Yarmolyuk Brentford | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.00 | 5.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Igor Thiago Brentford | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50 | 6.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Maxim De Cuyper Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Georginio Rutter Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.40 | 3.40 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Kevin Schade Brentford | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Kristoffer Ajer Brentford | Over 0.5 Goals · 13.00 | 13.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Brighton & Hove AlbionBrentford
- 3
- League position
- 6
- WLWWW
- Last 5
- WDLDW
- 2.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 2.64
- xG for (L5)
- 2.48
- 3.11
- xG against (L5)
- 2.94
- 4
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
5
Brighton & Hove Albion wins
3
Draws
2
Brentford wins
Last 10 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
21 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Brighton & Hove Albion in the last 5 meetings
WWLDD
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonBrighton & Hove Albion
Top scorer
Pascal Groß
3 goals
Most assists
Pascal Groß
4 assists
Best rated
Pascal Groß
7.47
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart VerbruggenGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.16 | – |
| Luka VuskovicDefender | 9 (9) | 798 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 7.30 | – |
| Diego GómezMidfielder | 9 (9) | 792 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | 6.97 | – |
| Pascal GroßMidfielder | 9 (9) | 791 | 3 | 4 | – | 7.47 | ×4 |
| Maxim De CuyperMidfielder | 9 (9) | 745 | 2 | 3 | 0.34 | 7.21 | ×3 |
| Olivier BoscagliDefender | 9 (9) | 696 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.95 | ×3 |
| Yasin AyariMidfielder | 8 (8) | 668 | 3 | 1 | 0.57 | 7.10 | |
| Lewis DunkDefender | 8 (7) | 660 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Charalampos KostoulasAttacker | 9 (8) | 649 | 3 | 2 | 0.74 | 6.98 | |
| Ferdi KadıoğluDefender | 7 (7) | 520 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Chema AndrésMidfielder | 6 (5) | 409 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Malick YalcouyéMidfielder | 9 (3) | 322 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| CostinhaDefender | 8 (1) | 264 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.55 | ×2 |
| Mats WiefferDefender | 3 (2) | 184 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Pascal StruijkDefender | 4 (2) | 156 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 |
Brentford
Top scorer
Kevin Schade
3 goals
Most assists
Igor Thiago
2 assists
Best rated
Vitaly Janelt
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caoimhín KelleherGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Kristoffer AjerDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×2 |
| Igor ThiagoAttacker | 9 (9) | 803 | 2 | 2 | 0.59 | 6.84 | ×4 |
| Keane Lewis-PotterDefender | 9 (9) | 721 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Vitaly JaneltMidfielder | 8 (8) | 720 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.12 | ×5 |
| Kevin SchadeMidfielder | 9 (8) | 690 | 3 | 1 | 0.23 | 6.83 | |
| Michael KayodeDefender | 9 (8) | 658 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Mamadou SangaréMidfielder | 9 (6) | 557 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Jaidon AnthonyMidfielder | 9 (5) | 477 | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | 6.76 | |
| Dango OuattaraAttacker | 9 (5) | 400 | 1 | 0 | 0.88 | 6.79 | – |
| Mikkel DamsgaardMidfielder | 8 (3) | 355 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.84 | – |
| Yegor YarmolyukMidfielder | 7 (4) | 329 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.60 | |
| Aaron HickeyDefender | 9 (2) | 305 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.62 | |
| Jannik SchusterDefender | 4 (3) | 299 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Mathias JensenMidfielder | 5 (4) | 288 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.73 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.95 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.91 | 1.97 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.62 | 1.50 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.47 | 2.69 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.94 | 1.90 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.91 | 1.99 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 | 2.30 |
| Betano.dk | 17.00 | 1.01 |
More on Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford
- Brighton & Hove Albion stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Brentford stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premier League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture