Chelsea vs Manchester United – Match preview
Chelsea-:-
Manchester UnitedStamford BridgeRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
72%
14%
ChelseaDraw 14%Manchester United
Bookmaker implied
49%
26%
ChelseaDraw 25%Manchester United
3.4 – 1.6
Expected score
87%
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Chelsea
52%1.81
fair 1.93-6%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
24%4.01
fair 4.23-5%
Last 1025%5/20
Manchester United
25%3.94
fair 4.08-4%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Chelsea
68%1.36
fair 1.47-8%
Last 1067%10/15
Manchester United
32%2.96
fair 3.12-5%
Last 1033%5/15
Double chance
Chelsea or draw
76%1.25
fair 1.32-6%
Last 1075%15/20
Chelsea or Manchester United
76%1.24
fair 1.31-5%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Manchester United
48%1.99
fair 2.08-4%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 2.0–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Both teams to score
64%Yes 1.50
Last 1070%14/20
Chelsea clean sheet
22%
model chance
Manchester United clean sheet
17%
model chance
Chelsea goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 27%
Manchester United goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Chelsea corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Manchester United corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 39%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Chelsea cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
Manchester United cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morgan Rogers Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83 | 1.83 | 41% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -25% |
Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.62 | 2.62 | 41% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | +9% |
Morgan Rogers Chelsea | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.87 | 2.87 | 22% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -36% |
Cole Palmer Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.61 | 1.61 | 33% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -46% |
Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.75 | 3.75 | 33% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | +24% |
Matheus Cunha Manchester United | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.50 | 2.50 | 23% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -43% |
Benjamin Sesko Manchester United | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.87 | 2.87 | 19% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -46% |
Benjamin Sesko Manchester United | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 22% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -47% |
Youri Tielemans Manchester United | Over 0.5 Assists · 8.00 | 8.00 | 15% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +18% |
Jorrel Hato Chelsea | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50 | 6.50 | 15% | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | -1% |
Youri Tielemans Manchester United | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.50 | 4.50 | 21% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -8% |
Valentín Barco Chelsea | Over 0.5 Goals · 6.00 | 6.00 | 14% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -14% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026ChelseaManchester United
- 4
- League position
- 13
- WWLDL
- Last 5
- DDDLD
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Chelsea wins
6
Draws
4
Manchester United wins
Last 12 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
18 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Chelsea in the last 5 meetings
LLWDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Chelsea
- Reece JamesKnee Surgery
Manchester United
- Manuel UgarteCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonChelsea
Top scorer
João Pedro
5 goals
Most assists
Cole Palmer
3 assists
Best rated
João Pedro
7.60
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole PalmerAttacker | 7 (7) | 621 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.46 | ×2 |
| Morgan RogersAttacker | 7 (7) | 613 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.41 | ×2 |
| Maxence LacroixDefender | 7 (6) | 544 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | |
| Emiliano MartínezGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 525 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Levi ColwillDefender | 6 (6) | 522 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| João PedroAttacker | 6 (6) | 522 | 5 | 3 | – | 7.60 | |
| Pedro NetoMidfielder | 7 (6) | 509 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.20 | |
| Josh AcheampongDefender | 6 (4) | 401 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Jorrel HatoDefender | 5 (5) | 351 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Wesley FofanaDefender | 4 (4) | 315 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Pep ChavarríaDefender | 6 (2) | 297 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Roméo LaviaMidfielder | 6 (4) | 293 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Reece JamesMidfielder | 4 (3) | 292 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Malo GustoDefender | 5 (3) | 276 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Jordan HendersonMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.60 | – |
Manchester United
Top scorer
Bryan Mbeumo
4 goals
Most assists
Matheus Cunha
2 assists
Best rated
Bruno Fernandes
7.41
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno FernandesMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.41 | ×2 |
| Senne LammensGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Harry MaguireDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×2 |
| Bryan MbeumoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.07 | |
| Youri TielemansMidfielder | 7 (7) | 547 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.16 | – |
| Matheus CunhaAttacker | 7 (6) | 506 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Lisandro MartínezDefender | 6 (6) | 496 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | |
| Diogo DalotDefender | 7 (5) | 469 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Kobbie MainooMidfielder | 6 (5) | 447 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Luke ShawDefender | 5 (5) | 427 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Marcus RashfordMidfielder | 6 (4) | 355 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Andrey SantosMidfielder | 4 (2) | 173 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | |
| Patrick DorguDefender | 5 (2) | 172 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.55 | |
| Leny YoroDefender | 4 (2) | 171 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Amad DialloMidfielder | 2 (2) | 149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 2.02 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.81 | 2.04 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.82 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.41 | 2.96 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.40 | 2.94 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.82 | 2.04 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.85 | 2.05 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| Betano.dk | 2.55 | 1.17 |