Fakel vs Dinamo Moskva – Match preview
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Central'nyi Stadion ProfsoyuzovRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
10%
63%
FakelDraw 27%Dinamo Moskva
Bookmaker implied
17%
58%
FakelDraw 25%Dinamo Moskva
0.4 – 1.4
Expected score
27%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
21%
53%
FakelDraw 26%Dinamo Moskva
First Half Result
22%
33%
FakelDraw 45%Dinamo Moskva
Team to Score First
35%
56%
FakelNo goal 9%Dinamo Moskva
Probability
Both Teams to Score
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
Fakel Over 3.5 Goals
1%
Fakel Over 1.5 Goals
21%
Dinamo Moskva Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Fakel Over 0.5 Goals
54%
Match Result
Fakel
31%–
model 3.23–
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
29%–
model 3.40–
Last 1015%3/20
Dinamo Moskva
40%–
model 2.52–
Last 1065%13/20
Draw no bet
Fakel
44%–
model 2.28–
Last 1024%4/17
Dinamo Moskva
56%–
model 1.78–
Last 1076%13/17
Double chance
Fakel or draw
60%–
model 1.66–
Last 1035%7/20
Fakel or Dinamo Moskva
71%–
model 1.42–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Dinamo Moskva
69%–
model 1.45–
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.2–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
50%
Last 1045%9/20
Fakel clean sheet
23%
model chance
Dinamo Moskva clean sheet
35%
model chance
Fakel goals
O0.5 65%O1.5 29%O2.5 9%
Dinamo Moskva goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Fakel corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 61%O4.5 41%O5.5 25%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%
Dinamo Moskva corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Fakel cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 47%O3.5 25%
Dinamo Moskva cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026FakelDinamo Moskva
- 16
- League position
- 3
- LWLLD
- Last 5
- LWWWW
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 0.67
- xG for (L5)
- 2.60
- 1.20
- xG against (L5)
- 0.77
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
0
Fakel wins
3
Draws
2
Dinamo Moskva wins
Last 5 meetings
1.8
Goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
20%
Over 2.5 goals
05 Aug 2026
Last meeting
Fakel in the last 5 meetings
LDLDD
Injuries & Suspensions
Fakel
No reported absences
Dinamo Moskva
- A. KutitskiyHamstring Muscle Injury
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonFakel
Top scorer
Albert Gabaraev
1 goals
Most assists
Ilnur Alshin
2 assists
Best rated
Matvey Bardachev
7.02
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert GabaraevDefender | 12 (12) | 1064 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×4 |
| Vyacheslav YakimovMidfielder | 12 (11) | 921 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Darko TodorovicDefender | 12 (11) | 904 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.45 | ×2 |
| Daniil FrolkinGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Matvey BardachevDefender | 9 (9) | 780 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.02 | |
| R. NetfullinMidfielder | 11 (8) | 771 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Butta MagomedovMidfielder | 11 (7) | 714 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Ilnur AlshinDefender | 9 (8) | 651 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 6.72 | |
| ClaytonDefender | 6 (6) | 534 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Aleksey SutorminMidfielder | 9 (8) | 527 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.69 | |
| Axel Aymeric Gnapi DableAttacker | 11 (6) | 512 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | ×2 |
| Nikolay GiorgobianiMidfielder | 10 (5) | 497 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Igor YurganovDefender | 7 (5) | 474 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Yuriy ZhuravlevDefender | 6 (5) | 447 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | – |
| Belajdi PusiAttacker | 10 (3) | 390 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.60 |
Dinamo Moskva
Top scorer
K. Tyukavin
5 goals
Most assists
Bitello
3 assists
Best rated
Bitello
7.53
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David RicardoDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 7.05 | ×3 |
| BitelloMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1076 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 7.53 | – |
| Maksim OsipenkoDefender | 11 (10) | 921 | 1 | 1 | 0.58 | 7.27 | – |
| Y. GladyshevAttacker | 12 (12) | 870 | 2 | 2 | 0.30 | 6.95 | |
| K. TyukavinAttacker | 10 (10) | 855 | 5 | 1 | 0.78 | 7.24 | |
| Arthur GomesAttacker | 12 (12) | 841 | 2 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.76 | |
| Danil GlebovMidfielder | 11 (9) | 837 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.87 | |
| RubensDefender | 11 (8) | 710 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 7.01 | |
| Juan José CáceresDefender | 10 (7) | 645 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.63 | ×4 |
| Daniil FominMidfielder | 10 (7) | 587 | 0 | 1 | 0.27 | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Kurban RasulovGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Andrey LunevGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 484 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | |
| Dmitri SkopintsevDefender | 8 (4) | 349 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Ivan SergeevAttacker | 12 (2) | 345 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 6.71 | |
| Luis ChávezMidfielder | 5 (3) | 295 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 2.15 |
| MelBet | 1.40 | 2.96 |
More on Fakel vs Dinamo Moskva
- Fakel stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Dinamo Moskva stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premier League (Russia) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture