Hull City vs Brentford – Match preview
-:-
MKM StadiumRound 8
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
49%
23%
Hull CityDraw 28%Brentford
Bookmaker implied
22%
53%
Hull CityDraw 25%Brentford
1.4 – 0.9
Expected score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Hull City
26%4.75
fair 3.92disputed
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
25%4.11
fair 4.01+3%
Last 1045%9/20
Brentford
50%1.72
fair 2.02-15%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Hull City
34%3.59
fair 2.94disputed
Last 1036%4/11
Brentford
66%1.30
fair 1.52-14%
Last 1064%7/11
Double chance
Hull City or draw
50%2.20
fair 1.98disputed
Last 1065%13/20
Hull City or Brentford
75%1.26
fair 1.33-5%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw or Brentford
74%1.21
fair 1.34-10%
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 54% | 46% | 1.68 / 2.27 | 50%10/20 | Under +4% |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | 2.67 / 1.50 | 25%5/20 | Under +2% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
55%Yes 1.66
Last 1060%12/20
Hull City clean sheet
23%
model chance
Brentford clean sheet
29%
model chance
Hull City goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Brentford goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 10.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Hull City corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Brentford corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 40%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.2 match cards · Referee Robert Jones (4.3 cards a match, ×0.98)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 42% | 58% | 2.20 / 1.61 | 45%9/20 | none |
| Over/under 5.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Hull City cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Brentford cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keane Lewis-Potter Brentford | Over 0.5 Fouls committed · 1.53 | 1.53 | 53% | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | -20% |
Mathias Jensen Brentford | Over 0.5 Fouls committed · 1.44 | 1.44 | 50% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -28% |
Kevin Schade Brentford | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Nobel Mendy Hull City | Over 0.5 Fouls committed · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Kevin Schade Brentford | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Lucas Gourna-Douath Hull City | Over 0.5 Fouls won · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 40%2/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Regan Slater Hull City | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 54% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -2% |
Jaidon Anthony Brentford | Over 0.5 Fouls committed · 1.80 | 1.80 | 53% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -4% |
Mohamed Belloumi Hull City | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 61% | 100%5/5 | 60%6/10 | -6% |
Keane Lewis-Potter Brentford | Over 0.5 Fouls won · 1.50 | 1.50 | 60% | 100%5/5 | 60%6/10 | -11% |
Mohamed Belloumi Hull City | Over 0.5 Fouls committed · 1.44 | 1.44 | 58% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -16% |
Michael Kayode Brentford | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 45% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -17% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Hull CityBrentford
- 9
- League position
- 6
- LDLDD
- Last 5
- LDWDD
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Injuries & Suspensions
Hull City
- Charlie HughesInguinal Hernia
- Darko GyabiGroin Injury
- Eliot MatazoCruciate Ligament Tear
- Jack ButlandElbow Injury
- Jens Hjertø-DahlBroken Toe
- Kieran DowellNo Eligibility
- Lucas Gourna-DouathCalf Injury
- Óscar ZambranoNo Eligibility
Brentford
- Antoni MilamboFitness
- Josh DasilvaHamstring Injury
- Kaye FuroFoot surgery
- Kevin SchadeShoulder Injury
Confirmed Line-ups
Hull City
- 19Konstantinos TzolakisGoalkeeper
- 2Lewie CoyleDefender
- 6Semi AjayiDefender
- 15John EganDefender
- 22Lucas HerringtonDefender
- 18Brooke Norton-CuffyMidfielder
- 10Mohamed BelloumiMidfielder
- 25Matt CrooksMidfielder
- 27Regan SlaterMidfielder
- 7Sorba ThomasMidfielder
- 9Oli McBurnieAttacker
Brentford
- 1Caoimhín KelleherGoalkeeper
- 33Michael KayodeDefender
- 20Kristoffer AjerDefender
- 4Sepp van den BergDefender
- 23Keane Lewis-PotterDefender
- 18Mamadou SangaréMidfielder
- 8Mathias JensenMidfielder
- 11Dango OuattaraMidfielder
- 24Mikkel DamsgaardMidfielder
- 19Jaidon AnthonyMidfielder
- 9Igor ThiagoAttacker
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonHull City
Top scorer
Mohamed Belloumi
3 goals
Most assists
Mohamed Belloumi
2 assists
Best rated
Mohamed Belloumi
7.33
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos TzolakisGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.24 | |
| Oliver McBurnieAttacker | 7 (7) | 622 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.79 | ×4 |
| John EganDefender | 7 (7) | 618 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | |
| Semi AjayiDefender | 7 (7) | 604 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Regan SlaterMidfielder | 7 (7) | 588 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Lewie CoyleDefender | 7 (7) | 532 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | |
| Ryan GilesDefender | 7 (6) | 531 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | |
| Mohamed BelloumiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 514 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.33 | |
| Nobel MendyDefender | 5 (5) | 343 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Matt CrooksMidfielder | 5 (5) | 338 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | ×4 |
| Elliot StroudMidfielder | 5 (4) | 279 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.60 | |
| Sorba ThomasMidfielder | 5 (3) | 274 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Lucas HerringtonDefender | 6 (2) | 243 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | |
| Lucas Gourna-DouathMidfielder | 3 (1) | 138 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Tim IroegbunamMidfielder | 4 (0) | 134 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 |
Brentford
Top scorer
Kevin Schade
3 goals
Most assists
Igor Thiago
1 assists
Best rated
Vitaly Janelt
7.11
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitaly JaneltMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.11 | ×5 |
| Caoimhín KelleherGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Kristoffer AjerDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Igor ThiagoAttacker | 7 (7) | 623 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×4 |
| Keane Lewis-PotterDefender | 7 (7) | 553 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Kevin SchadeMidfielder | 7 (6) | 544 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.01 | |
| Michael KayodeDefender | 7 (6) | 478 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Jaidon AnthonyMidfielder | 7 (5) | 431 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.71 | |
| Mamadou SangaréMidfielder | 7 (4) | 405 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Yegor YarmolyukMidfielder | 7 (4) | 329 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.60 | |
| Mikkel DamsgaardMidfielder | 6 (3) | 299 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Jannik SchusterDefender | 4 (3) | 299 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Dango OuattaraAttacker | 7 (3) | 250 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Aaron HickeyDefender | 7 (1) | 215 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Nathan CollinsDefender | 3 (3) | 197 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 |
Referee

Robert Jones
Referee · England
- Cards per game
- 3.92
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.92
- Red cards per game
- 0.00
- Fouls per game
- 23.1
- Penalties per game
- 0.29
- Home wins
- 64%
Averages across 38 completed matches officiated by Robert Jones in our database.
Odds Comparison
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 2.40 |