Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg – Match preview
-:-
Samara ArenaRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
19%
52%
Krylya SovetovDraw 29%Orenburg
Bookmaker implied
41%
32%
Krylya SovetovDraw 27%Orenburg
0.7 – 1.3
Expected score
32%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
46%
27%
Krylya SovetovDraw 27%Orenburg
First Half Result
36%
23%
Krylya SovetovDraw 41%Orenburg
Team to Score First
57%
34%
Krylya SovetovNo goal 9%Orenburg
Probability
Both Teams to Score
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
Krylya Sovetov Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Krylya Sovetov Over 1.5 Goals
40%
Orenburg Over 0.5 Goals
61%
Krylya Sovetov Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Match Result
Krylya Sovetov
37%–
model 2.70–
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
29%–
model 3.46–
Last 1050%10/20
Orenburg
34%–
model 2.94–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Krylya Sovetov
52%–
model 1.92–
Last 1040%4/10
Orenburg
48%–
model 2.09–
Last 1060%6/10
Double chance
Krylya Sovetov or draw
66%–
model 1.52–
Last 1070%14/20
Krylya Sovetov or Orenburg
71%–
model 1.41–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw or Orenburg
63%–
model 1.59–
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1055%11/20
Krylya Sovetov clean sheet
25%
model chance
Orenburg clean sheet
30%
model chance
Krylya Sovetov goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Orenburg goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Corners
Expected 9.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Krylya Sovetov corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Orenburg corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 64%O4.5 44%O5.5 28%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 5.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 90% | 10% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Krylya Sovetov cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 16%
Orenburg cards
O0.5 96%O1.5 83%O2.5 62%O3.5 40%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Krylya SovetovOrenburg
- 7
- League position
- 6
- WLDDW
- Last 5
- WDWDL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 1.15
- xG for (L5)
- 0.75
- 0.29
- xG against (L5)
- 2.11
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
3
Krylya Sovetov wins
4
Draws
4
Orenburg wins
Last 11 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
36%
Over 2.5 goals
10 May 2026
Last meeting
Krylya Sovetov in the last 5 meetings
LWDWD
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonKrylya Sovetov
Top scorer
A. Rahmanović
4 goals
Most assists
Yuriy Gorshkov
3 assists
Best rated
I. Oleynikov
7.34
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergey BozhinDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.82 | ×2 |
| Kirill PecheninDefender | 12 (12) | 1056 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Fernando CostanzaMidfielder | 11 (11) | 941 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | ×3 |
| N. RasskazovDefender | 12 (12) | 902 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Nikita ChernovDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.08 | ×3 |
| M. VityugovMidfielder | 12 (12) | 875 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.81 | ×3 |
| Yuriy GorshkovMidfielder | 9 (8) | 743 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 7.20 | – |
| A. RahmanovićAttacker | 12 (9) | 696 | 4 | 0 | 0.79 | 6.85 | ×3 |
| Martin KramaricMidfielder | 11 (8) | 678 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.69 | – |
| S. PesyakovGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| I. OleynikovMidfielder | 7 (7) | 603 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.34 | – |
| Nikita KokarevGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| D. OrozDefender | 11 (3) | 337 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×3 |
| S. BabkinMidfielder | 4 (4) | 332 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| Nikita SaltykovMidfielder | 5 (3) | 302 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | – |
Orenburg
Top scorer
G. Guzina
3 goals
Most assists
Ruslan Kul
3 assists
Best rated
J. Thompson
7.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. OvsyannikovGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 996 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | |
| Maxime SivisDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Jhon Alex PalaciosDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×4 |
| E. BolotovMidfielder | 11 (11) | 956 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.78 | ×5 |
| Emil TsenovDefender | 11 (10) | 919 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
| G. GuzinaAttacker | 12 (11) | 910 | 3 | 1 | 0.07 | 7.11 | ×2 |
| Ruslan KulMidfielder | 11 (10) | 882 | 2 | 3 | 0.03 | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Damián PueblaMidfielder | 12 (11) | 851 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.61 | ×2 |
| A. TataevDefender | 11 (10) | 835 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×6 |
| D. RybchinskiyMidfielder | 12 (12) | 833 | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | 6.83 | ×2 |
| Egor NazarenkoMidfielder | 11 (5) | 555 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | ×2 |
| J. ThompsonMidfielder | 5 (4) | 320 | 3 | 3 | 0.18 | 7.54 | |
| Renat GolybinMidfielder | 10 (3) | 315 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.60 | – |
| D. KhotulevDefender | 5 (3) | 312 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Danila VedernikovDefender | 7 (3) | 282 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 2.17 |
| MelBet | 1.69 | 2.16 |
More on Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg
- Krylya Sovetov stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Orenburg stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premier League (Russia) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture