Liverpool vs Arsenal – Match preview
Liverpool-:-
ArsenalAnfieldRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
9%
62%
LiverpoolDraw 29%Arsenal
Bookmaker implied
29%
44%
LiverpoolDraw 27%Arsenal
0.3 – 1.3
Expected score
22%
Over 2.5 goals
19%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Liverpool
33%3.17
fair 3.01+5%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
26%3.63
fair 3.83-5%
Last 1015%3/20
Arsenal
41%2.18
fair 2.46-11%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Liverpool
45%2.30
fair 2.22+3%
Last 1047%8/17
Arsenal
55%1.58
fair 1.82-13%
Last 1053%9/17
Double chance
Liverpool or draw
59%1.69
fair 1.690%
Last 1055%11/20
Liverpool or Arsenal
74%1.29
fair 1.35-5%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Arsenal
67%1.36
fair 1.50-9%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.5 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
60%Yes 1.61
Last 1050%10/20
Liverpool clean sheet
19%
model chance
Arsenal clean sheet
22%
model chance
Liverpool goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Arsenal goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Liverpool corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Arsenal corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 4.2 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Liverpool cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Arsenal cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%O3.5 14%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cody Gakpo Liverpool | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.60 | 2.60 | 42% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | +10% |
Cody Gakpo Liverpool | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.00 | 6.00 | 24% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | +45% |
Declan Rice Arsenal | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.40 | 3.40 | 30% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | +4% |
Alexander Isak Liverpool | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.30 | 2.30 | 27% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -38% |
Declan Rice Arsenal | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.00 | 6.00 | 22% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | +30% |
Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.50 | 5.50 | 21% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | +14% |
Cody Gakpo Liverpool | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.75 | 3.75 | 24% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -10% |
Christos Tzolis Arsenal | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.33 | 4.33 | 19% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -16% |
Florian Wirtz Liverpool | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | 24% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -27% |
Christos Tzolis Arsenal | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10 | 2.10 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -33% |
Bukayo Saka Arsenal | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.25 | 3.25 | 20% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -33% |
Bukayo Saka Arsenal | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | 31% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -37% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026LiverpoolArsenal
- 5
- League position
- 2
- WLWDW
- Last 5
- WWLWW
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
8
Liverpool wins
7
Draws
2
Arsenal wins
Last 17 meetings
2.6
Goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
53%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Liverpool in the last 5 meetings
DWDDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Liverpool
- Conor BradleyKnee Surgery
- Giovanni LeoniCruciate Ligament Tear
- Hugo EkitikéAchilles tendon rupture
- Jeremie FrimpongMuscle Injury
Arsenal
No reported absences
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonLiverpool
Top scorer
Alexander Isak
5 goals
Most assists
Cody Gakpo
3 assists
Best rated
Dominik Szoboszlai
7.30
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgil van DijkDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | ×2 |
| AlissonGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Jérémy JacquetDefender | 7 (7) | 595 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.20 | ×2 |
| Milos KerkezDefender | 7 (6) | 566 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Florian WirtzMidfielder | 7 (7) | 560 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.04 | |
| Alexander IsakAttacker | 6 (6) | 494 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.11 | |
| Alexis Mac AllisterMidfielder | 7 (5) | 488 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.12 | ×2 |
| Dominik SzoboszlaiMidfielder | 6 (6) | 473 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.30 | |
| Víctor MuñozMidfielder | 7 (5) | 428 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.87 | |
| Ronald AraujoDefender | 7 (5) | 406 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Cody GakpoMidfielder | 5 (4) | 371 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Bradley BarcolaMidfielder | 5 (4) | 348 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.64 | |
| Ryan GravenberchMidfielder | 6 (3) | 254 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 | |
| Jeremie FrimpongDefender | 5 (2) | 200 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Rio NgumohaAttacker | 5 (1) | 153 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
Arsenal
Top scorer
Bukayo Saka
3 goals
Most assists
Declan Rice
4 assists
Best rated
Declan Rice
7.29
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David RayaGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Gabriel MagalhãesDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Bukayo SakaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 599 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.24 | – |
| Declan RiceMidfielder | 7 (7) | 594 | 0 | 4 | – | 7.29 | |
| Riccardo CalafioriDefender | 7 (7) | 590 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Kai HavertzAttacker | 7 (7) | 567 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Martin ØdegaardMidfielder | 7 (7) | 562 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.20 | |
| Ezri KonsaDefender | 6 (5) | 461 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Ben WhiteDefender | 6 (6) | 445 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Christos TzolisMidfielder | 5 (5) | 366 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.93 | ×2 |
| Myles Lewis-SkellyMidfielder | 5 (5) | 337 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Bruno GuimarãesMidfielder | 5 (2) | 216 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Cristhian MosqueraDefender | 2 (2) | 169 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Noni MaduekeAttacker | 4 (1) | 157 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.13 | |
| Jurriën TimberDefender | 4 (1) | 155 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.96 | 1.89 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.98 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.35 | 1.61 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.33 | 1.60 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.97 | 1.93 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| Betano.dk | 2.05 | 1.78 |