Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion – Match preview
Manchester City-:-
Brighton & Hove AlbionEtihad StadiumRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
20%
66%
Manchester CityDraw 14%Brighton & Hove Albion
Bookmaker implied
57%
21%
Manchester CityDraw 22%Brighton & Hove Albion
2.3 – 3.9
Expected score
94%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Manchester City
52%1.67
fair 1.92-13%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
23%4.37
fair 4.43-1%
Last 1010%2/20
Brighton & Hove Albion
25%4.41
fair 3.96disputed
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Manchester City
67%1.29
fair 1.48-13%
Last 1056%10/18
Brighton & Hove Albion
33%3.40
fair 3.06disputed
Last 1044%8/18
Double chance
Manchester City or draw
75%1.21
fair 1.34-10%
Last 1060%12/20
Manchester City or Brighton & Hove Albion
77%1.21
fair 1.29-6%
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion
48%2.19
fair 2.09disputed
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
Both teams to score
64%Yes 1.50
Last 1040%8/20
Manchester City clean sheet
17%
model chance
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet
20%
model chance
Manchester City goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 22%
Brighton & Hove Albion goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Manchester City corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Brighton & Hove Albion corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 3.6 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Manchester City cards
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 23%O3.5 9%
Brighton & Hove Albion cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Erling Haaland Manchester City | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.66 | 1.66 | 47% | 100%5/5 | 80%8/10 | -22% |
Erling Haaland Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.44 | 1.44 | 50% | 100%5/5 | 80%8/10 | -28% |
Maxim De Cuyper Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | 18% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -47% |
Rayan Cherki Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.61 | 1.61 | 27% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -57% |
Charalampos Kostoulas Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 42% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | +1% |
Charalampos Kostoulas Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.25 | 3.25 | 27% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -14% |
Jack Hinshelwood Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Goals · 5.50 | 5.50 | 15% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -16% |
Pascal Groß Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | 27% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -26% |
Jack Hinshelwood Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.75 | 3.75 | 19% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -28% |
Josko Gvardiol Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.00 | 5.00 | 13% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -34% |
Rayan Cherki Manchester City | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75 | 2.75 | 21% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -44% |
Charalampos Kostoulas Brighton & Hove Albion | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50 | 6.50 | 21% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | +35% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Manchester CityBrighton & Hove Albion
- 1
- League position
- 3
- WWWWW
- Last 5
- WWWWD
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 13
- Goals scored (L5)
- 16
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 1
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 4
Head to Head
6
Manchester City wins
3
Draws
3
Brighton & Hove Albion wins
Last 12 meetings
3.3
Goals per game
75%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
07 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Manchester City in the last 5 meetings
DLDLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Manchester City
- Antoine SemenyoKnee Injury
Brighton & Hove Albion
No reported absences
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonManchester City
Top scorer
Erling Haaland
8 goals
Most assists
Josko Gvardiol
4 assists
Best rated
Rayan Cherki
7.79
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rúben DiasDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Marc GuéhiDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Gianluigi DonnarummaGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Erling HaalandAttacker | 7 (7) | 620 | 8 | 0 | – | 7.54 | – |
| Antoine SemenyoMidfielder | 7 (6) | 553 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Elliot AndersonMidfielder | 7 (6) | 518 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.26 | |
| Josko GvardiolDefender | 7 (5) | 488 | 1 | 4 | – | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Rayan CherkiMidfielder | 6 (5) | 396 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.79 | |
| Matheus NunesDefender | 5 (4) | 379 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Enzo FernándezMidfielder | 5 (4) | 368 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.13 | |
| Iliman NdiayeMidfielder | 5 (4) | 352 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Phil FodenMidfielder | 5 (4) | 296 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.07 | |
| Nico O'ReillyDefender | 6 (4) | 292 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | |
| Abdukodir KhusanovDefender | 4 (3) | 283 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Jérémy DokuAttacker | 3 (1) | 126 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.14 | – |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Top scorer
Pascal Groß
3 goals
Most assists
Pascal Groß
4 assists
Best rated
Pascal Groß
7.64
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart VerbruggenGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Luka VuskovicDefender | 7 (7) | 618 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.39 | – |
| Diego GómezMidfielder | 7 (7) | 613 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Pascal GroßMidfielder | 7 (7) | 611 | 3 | 4 | – | 7.64 | ×3 |
| Olivier BoscagliDefender | 7 (7) | 587 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.18 | ×2 |
| Maxim De CuyperMidfielder | 7 (7) | 583 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.25 | ×2 |
| Ferdi KadıoğluDefender | 6 (6) | 514 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | |
| Yasin AyariMidfielder | 6 (6) | 503 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.01 | |
| Charalampos KostoulasAttacker | 7 (6) | 487 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.05 | |
| Lewis DunkDefender | 6 (5) | 480 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.12 | |
| Chema AndrésMidfielder | 4 (3) | 291 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.92 | |
| Malick YalcouyéMidfielder | 7 (3) | 268 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Mats WiefferDefender | 2 (2) | 158 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.18 | – |
| Pascal StruijkDefender | 4 (2) | 156 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Georginio RutterAttacker | 4 (1) | 125 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.87 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.97 | 1.87 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.86 | 2.02 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.14 | 1.73 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.71 | 1.46 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.84 | 2.01 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.86 | 2.04 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| Betano.dk | 6.30 | 5.40 |