Manchester United vs Aston Villa – Match preview

Sunday, 08 November 2026 · 17:30

Manchester United

-:-

Aston Villa

Old TraffordRound 10

Match Preview

Updated 01 Nov 2026

FootyPulse model

38%

37%

Manchester UnitedDraw 25%Aston Villa

Bookmaker implied

42%

32%

Manchester UnitedDraw 26%Aston Villa

1.5 – 1.5

Expected score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

Both teams to score

Predictions

Full Time Result

43%

34%

Manchester UnitedDraw 23%Aston Villa

First Half Result

32%

29%

Manchester UnitedDraw 39%Aston Villa

Team to Score First

50%

46%

Manchester UnitedNo goal 4%Aston Villa

Probability

Both Teams to Score

65%

Over 1.5 Goals

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

64%

Over 3.5 Goals

41%

Manchester United Over 3.5 Goals

10%

Manchester United Over 1.5 Goals

49%

Aston Villa Over 0.5 Goals

71%

Manchester United Over 0.5 Goals

77%

Match Result

Manchester United

40%2.26

model 2.49-9%

Last 1015%3/20

Draw

25%3.82

model 3.95-3%

Last 1025%5/20

Aston Villa

35%2.89

model 2.900%

Last 1060%12/20

Draw no bet

Manchester United

54%1.67

model 1.86-10%

Last 1020%3/15

Aston Villa

46%2.13

model 2.16-2%

Last 1080%12/15

Double chance

Manchester United or draw

65%1.42

model 1.53-7%

Last 1040%8/20

Manchester United or Aston Villa

75%1.27

model 1.34-5%

Last 1075%15/20

Draw or Aston Villa

60%1.65

model 1.67-1%

Last 1085%17/20

Expected goals 1.5–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	95%	5%	–	100%20/20	–
Over/under 1.5	81%	19%	–	90%18/20	–
Over/under 2.5	60%	40%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	37%	63%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 4.5	20%	80%	–	20%4/20	–

Both teams to score

62%Yes 1.50

Last 1060%12/20

Manchester United clean sheet

18%

model chance

Aston Villa clean sheet

26%

model chance

Manchester United goals

O0.5 74%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%

Aston Villa goals

O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%

Corners

Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	75%	25%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 8.5	63%	37%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	50%	50%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 10.5	37%	63%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 11.5	26%	74%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 12.5	18%	82%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 13.5	11%	89%	–	25%5/20	–

Manchester United corners

O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%

Aston Villa corners

O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%

Cards

Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	84%	16%	–	90%18/20	–
Over/under 3.5	68%	32%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	50%	50%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 5.5	32%	68%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 6.5	19%	81%	–	30%6/20	–

Manchester United cards

O0.5 93%O1.5 73%O2.5 48%O3.5 26%

Aston Villa cards

O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 16%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Nicolas Jackson Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20	2.20	–	60%3/5	70%7/10	–
Nicolas Jackson Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75	2.75	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Johan Manzambi Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10	2.10	–	80%4/5	60%6/10	–
Ibrahim Mbaye Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87	2.87	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Benjamin Sesko Manchester United	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10	2.10	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Benjamin Sesko Manchester United	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.50	2.50	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Johan Manzambi Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.10	3.10	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Ibrahim Mbaye Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Assists · 6.00	6.00	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05	2.05	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
Ross Barkley Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Goals · 6.00	6.00	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
Matheus Cunha Manchester United	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05	2.05	–	0%0/5	30%3/10	–
Youri Tielemans Manchester United	Over 0.5 Assists · 7.00	7.00	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
Ross Barkley Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.25	3.25	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
John McGinn Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10	3.10	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
Youri Tielemans Manchester United	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.75	3.75	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
Johan Manzambi Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Assists · 4.50	4.50	–	40%2/5	30%3/10	–
Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.62	2.62	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 8.00	8.00	–	0%0/5	20%2/10	–
Boubacar Kamara Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.50	5.50	–	20%1/5	20%2/10	–
Boubacar Kamara Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Assists · 9.00	9.00	–	20%1/5	20%2/10	–
Joshua Zirkzee Manchester United	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.25	3.25	–	20%1/5	20%2/10	–
Emiliano Buendía Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.40	3.40	–	20%1/5	20%2/10	–
Matheus Cunha Manchester United	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.00	3.00	–	0%0/5	20%2/10	–
Tammy Abraham Aston Villa	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.00	3.00	–	20%1/5	20%2/10	–

Player prop screener

Key Players

Premier League, this season