Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City – Match preview
Nottingham Forest-:-
Manchester CityThe City GroundRound 10
Predictions
Full Time Result
24%
53%
Nottingham ForestDraw 23%Manchester City
First Half Result
21%
34%
Nottingham ForestDraw 45%Manchester City
Team to Score First
41%
52%
Nottingham ForestNo goal 7%Manchester City
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Nottingham Forest Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Nottingham Forest Over 1.5 Goals
27%
Manchester City Over 0.5 Goals
80%
Nottingham Forest Over 0.5 Goals
59%
Match Result
Nottingham Forest
23%4.70
model 4.29disputed
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
24%4.01
model 4.09-2%
Last 1020%4/20
Manchester City
52%1.68
model 1.91-12%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
Nottingham Forest
31%3.53
model 3.24disputed
Last 1025%4/16
Manchester City
69%1.26
model 1.45-13%
Last 1075%12/16
Double chance
Nottingham Forest or draw
48%2.16
model 2.09+3%
Last 1040%8/20
Nottingham Forest or Manchester City
76%1.24
model 1.32-6%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Manchester City
77%1.18
model 1.30-9%
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 36% | 64% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.61
Last 1050%10/20
Nottingham Forest clean sheet
17%
model chance
Manchester City clean sheet
29%
model chance
Nottingham Forest goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Manchester City goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 27%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Nottingham Forest corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 64%O4.5 45%O5.5 28%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Manchester City corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Nottingham Forest cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Manchester City cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Erling Haaland Manchester City | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Erling Haaland Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Rayan Cherki Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.80 | 1.80 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Dan Ndoye Nottingham Forest | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Phil Foden Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Ryan McAidoo Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Antoine Semenyo Manchester City | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.50 | 5.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Elliot Anderson Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.00 | 3.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Rayan Cherki Manchester City | Over 0.5 Assists · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Rayan Aït-Nouri Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Antoine Semenyo Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Phil Foden Manchester City | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.50 | 4.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026Nottingham ForestManchester City
- 18
- League position
- 1
- DLLLW
- Last 5
- LWWWW
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 13
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 2.47
- xG for (L5)
- 1.79
- 0.64
- xG against (L5)
- 0.66
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Nottingham Forest wins
2
Draws
6
Manchester City wins
Last 10 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
30%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
04 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Nottingham Forest in the last 5 meetings
DLLWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Nottingham Forest
No reported absences
Manchester City
- Antoine SemenyoKnee Injury
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonNottingham Forest
Top scorer
Dan Ndoye
2 goals
Most assists
Morgan Gibbs-White
2 assists
Best rated
Morgan Gibbs-White
7.38
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MurilloDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 7.03 | ×3 |
| Matz SelsGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Neco WilliamsMidfielder | 8 (8) | 714 | 1 | 0 | 0.46 | 7.21 | |
| James McAteeMidfielder | 8 (8) | 684 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.11 | ×2 |
| Morgan Gibbs-WhiteAttacker | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 2 | 0.56 | 7.38 | – |
| Xaver SchlagerMidfielder | 8 (7) | 622 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.02 | |
| Jair CunhaDefender | 6 (6) | 535 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Dan NdoyeAttacker | 8 (8) | 535 | 2 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.76 | |
| Liam DelapAttacker | 7 (6) | 529 | 1 | 0 | 0.54 | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Daniel MuñozMidfielder | 6 (5) | 474 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.95 | – |
| Ola AinaDefender | 5 (5) | 392 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×3 |
| Nikola MilenkovićDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.73 | |
| Ousmane DiomandeDefender | 5 (4) | 344 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Igor JesusAttacker | 5 (2) | 257 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Ibrahim SangaréMidfielder | 5 (1) | 145 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
Manchester City
Top scorer
Erling Haaland
9 goals
Most assists
Josko Gvardiol
4 assists
Best rated
Rayan Cherki
7.59
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi DonnarummaGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Rúben DiasDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Erling HaalandAttacker | 8 (8) | 710 | 9 | 0 | 0.54 | 7.53 | – |
| Marc GuéhiDefender | 8 (8) | 675 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.99 | |
| Elliot AndersonMidfielder | 8 (7) | 608 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.27 | ×2 |
| Josko GvardiolDefender | 8 (6) | 578 | 1 | 4 | 0.62 | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Antoine SemenyoMidfielder | 7 (6) | 553 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Enzo FernándezMidfielder | 6 (5) | 458 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 7.09 | |
| Rayan CherkiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 441 | 4 | 2 | 0.19 | 7.59 | ×2 |
| Iliman NdiayeMidfielder | 6 (5) | 421 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 6.78 | – |
| Matheus NunesDefender | 5 (4) | 379 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Abdukodir KhusanovDefender | 5 (4) | 373 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 7.03 | |
| Phil FodenMidfielder | 6 (4) | 341 | 1 | 2 | 0.04 | 6.98 | |
| Nico O'ReillyDefender | 6 (4) | 292 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | |
| Jérémy DokuMidfielder | 4 (2) | 216 | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | 7.10 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.92 | 1.92 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.71 | 2.17 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.44 | 2.79 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.96 | 1.89 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.90 | 2.00 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 | 2.30 |
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |
More on Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
- Nottingham Forest stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Manchester City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premier League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture