Sunderland vs Chelsea – Match preview
Sunderland-:-
ChelseaStadium of LightRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
9%
61%
SunderlandDraw 30%Chelsea
Bookmaker implied
27%
46%
SunderlandDraw 27%Chelsea
0.3 – 1.3
Expected score
20%
Over 2.5 goals
18%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
32%
43%
SunderlandDraw 25%Chelsea
First Half Result
27%
29%
SunderlandDraw 44%Chelsea
Team to Score First
46%
49%
SunderlandNo goal 5%Chelsea
Probability
Both Teams to Score
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
Sunderland Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Sunderland Over 1.5 Goals
37%
Chelsea Over 0.5 Goals
77%
Sunderland Over 0.5 Goals
69%
Match Result
Sunderland
30%3.48
model 3.34+4%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
26%3.67
model 3.84-4%
Last 1020%4/20
Chelsea
44%2.04
model 2.27-10%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Sunderland
41%2.53
model 2.47+3%
Last 1038%6/16
Chelsea
59%1.48
model 1.68-12%
Last 1063%10/16
Double chance
Sunderland or draw
56%1.79
model 1.780%
Last 1050%10/20
Sunderland or Chelsea
74%1.29
model 1.35-5%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Chelsea
70%1.31
model 1.43-8%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.5 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 36% | 64% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%Yes 1.75
Last 1055%11/20
Sunderland clean sheet
18%
model chance
Chelsea clean sheet
26%
model chance
Sunderland goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 16%
Chelsea goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Corners
Expected 10.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Sunderland corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Chelsea corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Sunderland cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 46%O3.5 25%
Chelsea cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morgan Rogers Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Cole Palmer Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Morgan Rogers Chelsea | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.40 | 3.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Enzo Le Fée Sunderland | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Enzo Le Fée Sunderland | Over 0.5 Goals · 6.00 | 6.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Cole Palmer Chelsea | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Jorrel Hato Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.00 | 5.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Chemsdine Talbi Sunderland | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.20 | 3.20 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Dayann Methalie Sunderland | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.50 | 5.50 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Jorrel Hato Chelsea | Over 0.5 Assists · 7.50 | 7.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Valentín Barco Chelsea | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.00 | 5.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Brian Brobbey Sunderland | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.62 | 2.62 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Wilson Isidor Sunderland | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Nilson Angulo Sunderland | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.40 | 3.40 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Valentín Barco Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Roméo Lavia Chelsea | Over 0.5 Assists · 7.50 | 7.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Thomas Meunier Sunderland | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.50 | 5.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Roméo Lavia Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.50 | 4.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Thomas Meunier Sunderland | Over 0.5 Assists · 9.00 | 9.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Danny Welbeck Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Malo Gusto Chelsea | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50 | 6.50 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Malo Gusto Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.50 | 4.50 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Danny Welbeck Chelsea | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Cole Palmer Chelsea | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.33 | 4.33 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026SunderlandChelsea
- 20
- League position
- 4
- LDLLL
- Last 5
- WLWWL
- 0.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 12
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 3.01
- xG for (L5)
- 2.81
- 1.54
- xG against (L5)
- 1.95
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Sunderland wins
0
Draws
0
Chelsea wins
Last 2 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
24 May 2026
Last meeting
Sunderland in the last 2 meetings
WW
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonSunderland
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey
3 goals
Most assists
Enzo Le Fée
1 assists
Best rated
Granit Xhaka
7.32
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granit XhakaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.32 | ×2 |
| Robin RoefsGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Enzo Le FéeMidfielder | 9 (9) | 780 | 2 | 1 | 1.03 | 6.98 | – |
| Noah SadikiMidfielder | 9 (9) | 757 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| Reinildo MandavaDefender | 8 (8) | 703 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Nordi MukieleDefender | 7 (7) | 592 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.01 | |
| Brian BrobbeyAttacker | 7 (7) | 556 | 3 | 0 | 0.33 | 7.10 | |
| Trai HumeDefender | 8 (6) | 552 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.71 | – |
| Nilson AnguloMidfielder | 8 (8) | 527 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.59 | |
| Dan BallardDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Thomas MeunierMidfielder | 7 (6) | 448 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Kevin DansoDefender | 5 (5) | 377 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.73 | |
| Luke O'NienMidfielder | 4 (3) | 278 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 6.63 | |
| Wilson IsidorAttacker | 7 (1) | 240 | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.70 | – |
| Chris RiggMidfielder | 5 (3) | 229 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.61 |
Chelsea
Top scorer
Morgan Rogers
5 goals
Most assists
Cole Palmer
3 assists
Best rated
João Pedro
7.60
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan RogersAttacker | 9 (9) | 793 | 5 | 1 | 0.38 | 7.33 | ×3 |
| Cole PalmerAttacker | 9 (9) | 790 | 3 | 3 | 1.04 | 7.40 | ×3 |
| Levi ColwillDefender | 8 (8) | 702 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Pedro NetoMidfielder | 9 (8) | 672 | 3 | 1 | 0.41 | 7.11 | ×2 |
| Maxence LacroixDefender | 8 (7) | 634 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | |
| Josh AcheampongDefender | 8 (6) | 581 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.66 | |
| Emiliano MartínezGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 525 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.23 | – |
| João PedroAttacker | 6 (6) | 522 | 5 | 3 | – | 7.60 | |
| Jorrel HatoMidfielder | 6 (6) | 416 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Wesley FofanaDefender | 5 (5) | 405 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 7.14 | |
| Roméo LaviaMidfielder | 7 (5) | 368 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.96 | |
| Jordan HendersonMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 7.38 | – |
| Moisés CaicedoMidfielder | 5 (4) | 341 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Pep ChavarríaDefender | 7 (2) | 313 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Reece JamesMidfielder | 4 (3) | 292 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 2.02 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.87 | 2.01 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.38 | 3.10 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.47 | 1.54 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.81 | 2.04 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.16 | 1.76 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano.dk | 15.00 | 1.02 |
More on Sunderland vs Chelsea
- Sunderland stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Chelsea stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premier League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture