Celtic vs Kilmarnock – Match preview
Celtic-:-
KilmarnockCeltic ParkRound 13
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
89%
4%
CelticDraw 7%Kilmarnock
Bookmaker implied
81%
6%
CelticDraw 13%Kilmarnock
3.6 – 0.6
Expected score
79%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
69%
14%
CelticDraw 17%Kilmarnock
First Half Result
55%
15%
CelticDraw 30%Kilmarnock
Team to Score First
73%
23%
CelticNo goal 4%Kilmarnock
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
Celtic Over 3.5 Goals
22%
Celtic Over 1.5 Goals
68%
Kilmarnock Over 0.5 Goals
49%
Celtic Over 0.5 Goals
90%
Match Result
Celtic
72%1.17
model 1.40-16%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
15%8.26
model 6.62disputed
Last 1020%4/20
Kilmarnock
13%11.50
model 7.51disputed
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Celtic
84%1.03
model 1.19-13%
Last 1056%9/16
Kilmarnock
16%10.11
model 6.37disputed
Last 1044%7/16
Double chance
Celtic or draw
87%1.02
model 1.15-12%
Last 1065%13/20
Celtic or Kilmarnock
85%1.06
model 1.18-10%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Kilmarnock
28%4.81
model 3.52disputed
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 2.0–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%Yes 1.61
Last 1055%11/20
Celtic clean sheet
23%
model chance
Kilmarnock clean sheet
17%
model chance
Celtic goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 27%
Kilmarnock goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 11.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 87% | 13% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Celtic corners
O2.5 96%O3.5 89%O4.5 77%O5.5 63%O6.5 47%O7.5 32%
Kilmarnock corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Celtic cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
Kilmarnock cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyreece John-Jules Kilmarnock | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 100%5/5 | 90%9/10 | – |
Joe Hugill Kilmarnock | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Mika Baur Celtic | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Nicky Clescenco Kilmarnock | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Aaron Tshibola Kilmarnock | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Greg Kiltie Kilmarnock | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Colby Donovan Celtic | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Tom Lowery Kilmarnock | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Joe Hugill Kilmarnock | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
James Forrest Celtic | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Liam Scales Celtic | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Camilo Durán Celtic | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Camilo Durán Celtic | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Erik Ring Kilmarnock | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Ethan Schilte-Brown Kilmarnock | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Nicky Clescenco Kilmarnock | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Camilo Durán Celtic | Over 3.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Tyreece John-Jules Kilmarnock | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Camilo Durán Celtic | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Hyun-jun Yang Celtic | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Hyun-jun Yang Celtic | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Callum McGregor Celtic | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Greg Kiltie Kilmarnock | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
George Stanger Kilmarnock | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.62 | 2.62 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026CelticKilmarnock
- 1
- League position
- 11
- DWWWL
- Last 5
- DLLWL
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 13
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 13
- 3.11
- xG for (L5)
- 7.80
- 1.98
- xG against (L5)
- 4.71
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
11
Celtic wins
2
Draws
1
Kilmarnock wins
Last 14 meetings
3.7
Goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
71%
Over 2.5 goals
09 Aug 2026
Last meeting
Celtic in the last 5 meetings
WWWWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Celtic
- Alistair JohnstonLeg Injury
Kilmarnock
- Maksymilian StryjekKnee Injury
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonCeltic
Top scorer
Camilo Durán
7 goals
Most assists
Camilo Durán
5 assists
Best rated
Benjamin Nygren
7.68
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum McGregorMidfielder | 10 (10) | 870 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 7.15 | |
| Benjamin NygrenMidfielder | 11 (10) | 825 | 6 | 3 | 0.33 | 7.68 | – |
| Colby DonovanDefender | 11 (9) | 820 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 7.00 | ×4 |
| Liam ScalesDefender | 9 (9) | 806 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 7.57 | |
| Camilo DuránAttacker | 11 (10) | 748 | 7 | 5 | 0.97 | 7.56 | – |
| Mika BaurMidfielder | 9 (8) | 730 | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 7.36 | ×2 |
| Viljami SinisaloGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Kieran TierneyDefender | 9 (8) | 630 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.41 | ×2 |
| Auston TrustyDefender | 7 (6) | 560 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Cameron Carter-VickersDefender | 7 (6) | 557 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.23 | |
| Kasper HøghAttacker | 8 (6) | 514 | 3 | 3 | 0.48 | 7.12 | ×2 |
| Haissem HassanMidfielder | 9 (5) | 461 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 7.09 | – |
| Dane MurrayDefender | 6 (5) | 453 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 7.33 | – |
| Hyun-jun YangMidfielder | 5 (5) | 377 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Sam JohnstoneGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
Kilmarnock
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie
3 goals
Most assists
Joe Hugill
2 assists
Best rated
Greg Kiltie
7.11
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe HugillAttacker | 12 (12) | 1066 | 2 | 2 | 1.27 | 6.71 | ×2 |
| George StangerDefender | 12 (11) | 1061 | 1 | 0 | 1.31 | 6.85 | ×3 |
| Tom LoweryMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1044 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 6.73 | |
| Greg KiltieMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1003 | 3 | 0 | 0.92 | 7.11 | |
| Michael Schjönning-LarsenDefender | 12 (11) | 993 | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.50 | ×2 |
| Cathal McCarthyDefender | 10 (10) | 885 | 1 | 0 | 0.31 | 6.72 | ×3 |
| Tyreece John-JulesAttacker | 12 (10) | 762 | 1 | 0 | 1.56 | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Jamie BrandonDefender | 12 (6) | 750 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.49 | ×3 |
| Erik RingMidfielder | 10 (10) | 748 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.53 | – |
| Aaron TshibolaMidfielder | 10 (7) | 690 | 0 | 0 | 0.68 | 6.59 | ×2 |
| Maksymilian StryjekGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Callum FerieGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Djenairo DanielsAttacker | 9 (2) | 264 | 1 | 1 | 0.32 | 6.71 | |
| Bailey RiceMidfielder | 7 (3) | 252 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×2 |
| Mark O'HaraMidfielder | 8 (2) | 236 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.95 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.71 | 2.04 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.04 | 1.63 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.97 | 1.86 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.28 | 3.75 |
| Betano.dk | 15.50 | 1.02 |
More on Celtic vs Kilmarnock
- Celtic stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Kilmarnock stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premiership (Scotland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture