Dundee vs Kilmarnock – Match preview
Dundee-:-
KilmarnockKilmac Stadium at Dens ParkRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
57%
21%
DundeeDraw 22%Kilmarnock
Bookmaker implied
49%
25%
DundeeDraw 26%Kilmarnock
2.0 – 1.1
Expected score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Dundee
40%–
fair 2.50–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
25%–
fair 4.01–
Last 1020%4/20
Kilmarnock
35%–
fair 2.85–
Last 1055%11/20
Draw no bet
Dundee
53%–
fair 1.88–
Last 1031%5/16
Kilmarnock
47%–
fair 2.14–
Last 1069%11/16
Double chance
Dundee or draw
65%–
fair 1.54–
Last 1045%9/20
Dundee or Kilmarnock
75%–
fair 1.33–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Kilmarnock
60%–
fair 1.67–
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.6 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
65%
Last 1050%10/20
Dundee clean sheet
17%
model chance
Kilmarnock clean sheet
21%
model chance
Dundee goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%
Kilmarnock goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%
Corners
Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Dundee corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Kilmarnock corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 64%O4.5 45%O5.5 28%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Dundee cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Kilmarnock cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026DundeeKilmarnock
- 4
- League position
- 11
- DWWLD
- Last 5
- WLDWD
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
9
Dundee wins
17
Draws
9
Kilmarnock wins
Last 35 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
74%
Both teams scored
57%
Over 2.5 goals
12 May 2026
Last meeting
Dundee in the last 5 meetings
LDWDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Dundee
No reported absences
Kilmarnock
- Maksymilian StryjekKnee Injury
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonDundee
Top scorer
Joe Westley
3 goals
Most assists
Ethan Hamilton
1 assists
Best rated
Ryan Astley
7.32
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen BevanDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.15 | |
| Ethan HamiltonMidfielder | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Ryan AstleyDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.32 | – |
| Owen GoodmanGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.12 | |
| Drey WrightDefender | 9 (8) | 727 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.65 | |
| Joe BevanMidfielder | 9 (7) | 587 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Joe WestleyAttacker | 7 (7) | 537 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Alan ForrestMidfielder | 9 (6) | 531 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Ryan FinniganMidfielder | 6 (6) | 472 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
| I. OdutayoDefender | 6 (5) | 454 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Bradley FinkAttacker | 7 (5) | 427 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Imari SamuelsDefender | 4 (4) | 357 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | |
| Callum JonesMidfielder | 3 (3) | 251 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.24 | – |
| Charlie ReillyMidfielder | 6 (4) | 248 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Ashley HayAttacker | 4 (2) | 235 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
Kilmarnock
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie
3 goals
Most assists
Tom Lowery
2 assists
Best rated
Greg Kiltie
7.05
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe HugillAttacker | 9 (9) | 810 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.66 | ×2 |
| Michael Schjönning-LarsenDefender | 9 (9) | 794 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.54 | ×2 |
| George StangerDefender | 9 (8) | 791 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | |
| Greg KiltieMidfielder | 9 (9) | 775 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.05 | |
| Tom LoweryMidfielder | 9 (9) | 774 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.66 | |
| Cathal McCarthyDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Erik RingMidfielder | 8 (8) | 623 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Tyreece John-JulesAttacker | 9 (8) | 550 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×2 |
| Maksymilian StryjekGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Jamie BrandonDefender | 9 (3) | 494 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.58 | |
| Aaron TshibolaMidfielder | 7 (4) | 443 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | |
| Callum FerieGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Bailey RiceMidfielder | 7 (3) | 252 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×2 |
| Mark O'HaraMidfielder | 7 (2) | 213 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Djenairo DanielsAttacker | 6 (1) | 191 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 |