Hearts vs Falkirk – Match preview
Hearts-:-
FalkirkTynecastle ParkRound 13
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
63%
13%
HeartsDraw 24%Falkirk
Bookmaker implied
62%
16%
HeartsDraw 22%Falkirk
1.7 – 0.6
Expected score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
48%
27%
HeartsDraw 25%Falkirk
First Half Result
35%
24%
HeartsDraw 41%Falkirk
Team to Score First
55%
38%
HeartsNo goal 7%Falkirk
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
Hearts Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Hearts Over 1.5 Goals
46%
Falkirk Over 0.5 Goals
63%
Hearts Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Match Result
Hearts
58%1.47
model 1.72-15%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
22%4.75
model 4.59+4%
Last 1025%5/20
Falkirk
20%6.03
model 4.95disputed
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Hearts
74%1.16
model 1.35-14%
Last 1047%7/15
Falkirk
26%4.76
model 3.87disputed
Last 1053%8/15
Double chance
Hearts or draw
80%1.12
model 1.25-11%
Last 1060%12/20
Hearts or Falkirk
78%1.18
model 1.28-8%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Falkirk
42%2.66
model 2.38disputed
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 35% | 65% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%Yes 1.75
Last 1070%14/20
Hearts clean sheet
22%
model chance
Falkirk clean sheet
22%
model chance
Hearts goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Falkirk goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 10.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Hearts corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 82%O4.5 67%O5.5 50%O6.5 35%O7.5 22%
Falkirk corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 21%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Hearts cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Falkirk cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 44%O3.5 23%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. McPake Hearts | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Cláudio Braga Hearts | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jacob Murrell Falkirk | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Cláudio Braga Hearts | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jacob Murrell Falkirk | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.00 | 4.00 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
J. McPake Hearts | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.50 | 5.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Calvin Miller Hearts | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Owen Eames Falkirk | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.50 | 4.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Calvin Miller Hearts | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Malachi Fagan-Walcott Hearts | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.50 | 3.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Sabah Kerjota Hearts | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Ben Krauhaus Falkirk | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.75 | 4.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Rogers Mato Hearts | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Blair Spittal Hearts | Over 0.5 Assists · 3.75 | 3.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Owen Eames Falkirk | Over 0.5 Assists · 8.00 | 8.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Jamie McCart Hearts | Over 0.5 Assists · 12.00 | 12.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Jamie McCart Hearts | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 7.50 | 7.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Stephen Kingsley Hearts | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.75 | 4.75 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Malachi Fagan-Walcott Hearts | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50 | 6.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Ben Krauhaus Falkirk | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Blair Spittal Hearts | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Stephen Kingsley Hearts | Over 0.5 Assists · 9.00 | 9.00 | – | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | – |
Oisin McEntee Hearts | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | – | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | – |
Stephen Kingsley Hearts | Over 0.5 Goals · 8.00 | 8.00 | – | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026HeartsFalkirk
- 3
- League position
- 6
- DWLWD
- Last 5
- WWWLD
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 2.57
- xG for (L5)
- 3.10
- 3.89
- xG against (L5)
- 3.46
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
5
Hearts wins
0
Draws
1
Falkirk wins
Last 6 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
17%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
15 Sept 2026
Last meeting
Hearts in the last 5 meetings
LWWWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Hearts
- AgeuMuscle Injury
- Blair SpittalAnkle Injury
- Christian BorchgrevinkUnknown Injury
- Craig HalkettAchilles tendon rupture
- Harry MilneKnee Injury
- Oisin McEnteeCalf Problems
- Stuart FindlayGroin Injury
- Tom RenaudAnkle Injury
Falkirk
No reported absences
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonHearts
Top scorer
Cláudio Braga
5 goals
Most assists
J. McPake
5 assists
Best rated
J. McPake
7.34
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau ReusGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Cláudio BragaAttacker | 11 (11) | 892 | 5 | 2 | 1.27 | 7.11 | |
| Jordi AltenaDefender | 10 (10) | 853 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Jamie McCartDefender | 10 (9) | 822 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.83 | ×2 |
| J. McPakeMidfielder | 10 (10) | 788 | 3 | 5 | 0.20 | 7.34 | |
| Laurent MendyMidfielder | 10 (9) | 788 | 3 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.87 | – |
| Calvin MillerMidfielder | 11 (9) | 692 | 5 | 1 | 0.15 | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Sabah KerjotaAttacker | 11 (5) | 550 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | 6.92 | ×3 |
| James WilsonAttacker | 10 (7) | 515 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.85 | – |
| Tómas Bent MagnússonMidfielder | 9 (5) | 492 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.69 | – |
| Oisin McEnteeDefender | 7 (6) | 486 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Stuart FindlayDefender | 7 (6) | 480 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | |
| Malachi Fagan-WalcottDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.94 | |
| Harry MilneDefender | 6 (3) | 358 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | |
| Stephen KingsleyDefender | 5 (3) | 344 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.92 |
Falkirk
Top scorer
Jacob Murrell
5 goals
Most assists
Ryan Strain
5 assists
Best rated
Ryan Strain
7.31
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan StrainDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 5 | 0.14 | 7.31 | ×2 |
| Scott BainGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Liam HendersonDefender | 11 (11) | 957 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.84 | – |
| Finley BarbrookMidfielder | 10 (10) | 851 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.82 | ×2 |
| Lewis NeilsonDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.87 | |
| Ethan RossMidfielder | 11 (10) | 809 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 6.91 | |
| Brad SpencerMidfielder | 9 (9) | 798 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 7.01 | ×3 |
| Leon McCannDefender | 11 (9) | 792 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.62 | |
| Ben KrauhausMidfielder | 9 (8) | 629 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Jacob MurrellAttacker | 9 (8) | 619 | 5 | 0 | 1.31 | 6.99 | – |
| Owen EamesMidfielder | 7 (7) | 575 | 1 | 1 | 0.32 | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Deniss MelniksMidfielder | 9 (4) | 420 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.76 | – |
| Ben ParkinsonAttacker | 8 (2) | 239 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| CJ FodreyAttacker | 8 (2) | 217 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Aodhan DohertyAttacker | 6 (1) | 203 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.02 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.73 | 2.02 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.16 | 1.56 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.04 | 1.81 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 | 2.20 |
More on Hearts vs Falkirk
- Hearts stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Falkirk stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premiership (Scotland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture