Hibernian vs Celtic – Match preview
Hibernian-:-
CelticEaster Road StadiumRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
1%
93%
HibernianDraw 6%Celtic
Bookmaker implied
22%
55%
HibernianDraw 23%Celtic
0.3 – 3.4
Expected score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Hibernian
39%–
fair 2.58–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
25%–
fair 3.94–
Last 1010%2/20
Celtic
36%–
fair 2.79–
Last 1065%13/20
Draw no bet
Hibernian
52%–
fair 1.93–
Last 1028%5/18
Celtic
48%–
fair 2.08–
Last 1072%13/18
Double chance
Hibernian or draw
64%–
fair 1.56–
Last 1035%7/20
Hibernian or Celtic
75%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Celtic
61%–
fair 1.63–
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.6 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
64%
Last 1065%13/20
Hibernian clean sheet
17%
model chance
Celtic clean sheet
23%
model chance
Hibernian goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Celtic goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 52%O2.5 26%
Corners
Expected 10.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Hibernian corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Celtic corners
O2.5 93%O3.5 84%O4.5 70%O5.5 54%O6.5 38%O7.5 24%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cards · Referee Ryan Lee (3.8 cards a match, ×0.92)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 85% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Hibernian cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 19%
Celtic cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026HibernianCeltic
- 12
- League position
- 1
- LLDLL
- Last 5
- WWLWW
- 0.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
10
Hibernian wins
17
Draws
38
Celtic wins
Last 65 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
57%
Over 2.5 goals
03 May 2026
Last meeting
Hibernian in the last 5 meetings
LWLDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Hibernian
- Adam MayorGroin Injury
- Jamie McGrathCalf Injury
- Nicky CaddenCalf Injury
- Rocky BushiriAchilles tendon problems
Celtic
- Alistair JohnstonLeg Injury
Confirmed Line-ups
Hibernian
- 1Raphael SallingerGoalkeeper
- 25Felix PasslackMidfielder
- 6Jason KerrDefender
- 5Marko IvezicDefender
- 3Adam MayorMidfielder
- 8Josh MulliganMidfielder
- 14Miguel ChaiwaMidfielder
- 10Martin BoyleAttacker
- 17Jamie McGrathMidfielder
- 18Thibault KlidjéAttacker
- 7Owen EldingAttacker
Celtic
- 1Viljami SinisaloGoalkeeper
- 51Colby DonovanDefender
- 47Dane MurrayDefender
- 5Liam ScalesDefender
- 63Kieran TierneyDefender
- 42Callum McGregorMidfielder
- 22Mika Joel BaurMidfielder
- 23Haissem HassanMidfielder
- 8Benjamin NygrenAttacker
- 19Callum OsmandAttacker
- 11Camilo DuránAttacker
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonHibernian
Top scorer
Martin Boyle
3 goals
Most assists
Felix Passlack
2 assists
Best rated
Jason Kerr
7.09
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason KerrDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Raphael SallingerGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Josh MulliganMidfielder | 9 (9) | 795 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | |
| Felix PasslackDefender | 9 (8) | 734 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.84 | |
| Miguel ChaiwaMidfielder | 9 (6) | 572 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Adam MayorMidfielder | 7 (6) | 540 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.90 | |
| Martin BoyleAttacker | 8 (6) | 505 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Nathan LoweAttacker | 8 (4) | 436 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Grant HanleyDefender | 5 (4) | 413 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.04 | |
| Callum WrightMidfielder | 7 (5) | 411 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Owen EldingAttacker | 6 (4) | 344 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| Jamie McGrathMidfielder | 5 (3) | 332 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Jordan ObitaDefender | 4 (4) | 299 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Jack IredaleDefender | 4 (3) | 291 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Ante SutoAttacker | 9 (3) | 286 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 |
Celtic
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren
6 goals
Most assists
Camilo Durán
5 assists
Best rated
Benjamin Nygren
7.77
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viljami SinisaloGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Callum McGregorMidfielder | 8 (8) | 690 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | |
| Colby DonovanDefender | 9 (7) | 678 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.12 | ×3 |
| Benjamin NygrenMidfielder | 9 (8) | 654 | 6 | 3 | – | 7.77 | – |
| Liam ScalesDefender | 7 (7) | 626 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.52 | |
| Camilo DuránAttacker | 9 (8) | 591 | 5 | 5 | – | 7.58 | – |
| Auston TrustyDefender | 7 (6) | 560 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Mika BaurMidfielder | 7 (6) | 550 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.40 | ×2 |
| Cameron Carter-VickersDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.29 | |
| Kieran TierneyDefender | 7 (6) | 459 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.63 | |
| Kasper HøghAttacker | 6 (4) | 405 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.29 | – |
| Haissem HassanMidfielder | 7 (5) | 390 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Hyun-jun YangMidfielder | 5 (5) | 377 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Dane MurrayDefender | 4 (3) | 273 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.43 | – |
| Sebastian TounektiAttacker | 8 (2) | 247 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 |
Referee
Ryan Lee
Referee · Scotland
- Cards per game
- 3.78
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.56
- Red cards per game
- 0.22
- Fouls per game
- 25.3
- Penalties per game
- 0.28
- Home wins
- 53%
Averages across 18 completed matches officiated by Ryan Lee in our database.