Motherwell vs Hearts – Match preview
Motherwell-:-
HeartsFir ParkRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
33%
43%
MotherwellDraw 24%Hearts
Bookmaker implied
30%
44%
MotherwellDraw 26%Hearts
1.4 – 1.6
Expected score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Motherwell
42%–
fair 2.39–
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
25%–
fair 3.94–
Last 1020%4/20
Hearts
33%–
fair 3.06–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
Motherwell
56%–
fair 1.78–
Last 1025%4/16
Hearts
44%–
fair 2.28–
Last 1075%12/16
Double chance
Motherwell or draw
67%–
fair 1.49–
Last 1040%8/20
Motherwell or Hearts
75%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Hearts
58%–
fair 1.72–
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.5 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
63%
Last 1080%16/20
Motherwell clean sheet
19%
model chance
Hearts clean sheet
22%
model chance
Motherwell goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Hearts goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Motherwell corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
Hearts corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 5.1 match cards · Referee Duncan Nicolson (4.4 cards a match, ×1.01)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 88% | 12% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Motherwell cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 76%O2.5 52%O3.5 30%
Hearts cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026MotherwellHearts
- 10
- League position
- 3
- LLLLL
- Last 5
- LWDLW
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 12
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
17
Motherwell wins
10
Draws
20
Hearts wins
Last 47 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
47%
Over 2.5 goals
09 May 2026
Last meeting
Motherwell in the last 5 meetings
DLDDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Motherwell
- Paul McGinnKnee Surgery
Hearts
- Blair SpittalAnkle Injury
- Christian BorchgrevinkUnknown Injury
- Craig HalkettAchilles tendon rupture
- Tom RenaudAnkle Injury
Confirmed Line-ups
Motherwell
- 1Alex PaulsenGoalkeeper
- 7Tom SparrowDefender
- 2Stephen O'DonnellDefender
- 5Martin MoormannDefender
- 45Emmanuel LongeloDefender
- 8Lukas FadingerMidfielder
- 71Joe HodgeMidfielder
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseAttacker
- 11Alex LowryMidfielder
- 19Ibrahim SaidMidfielder
- 47S. Palmer-HouldenAttacker
Hearts
- 1Beau ReusGoalkeeper
- 23Jordi AltenaDefender
- 64Malachi Fagan-WalcottDefender
- 5Jamie McCartDefender
- 3Stephen KingsleyDefender
- 6Oisin McEnteeDefender
- 78Laurent MendyMidfielder
- 7Calvin MillerMidfielder
- 19Severin Sabri GuendouzAttacker
- 15Josh McPakeMidfielder
- 10Cláudio BragaAttacker
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonMotherwell
Top scorer
Alex Lowry
3 goals
Most assists
Tom Sparrow
2 assists
Best rated
Alex Lowry
7.15
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex PaulsenGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Lukas FadingerMidfielder | 9 (9) | 764 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.03 | ×2 |
| Martin MoormannDefender | 9 (9) | 763 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | ×2 |
| Emmanuel LongeloDefender | 9 (9) | 746 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | |
| Tom SparrowDefender | 9 (9) | 709 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Alex LowryMidfielder | 9 (7) | 602 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Joe HodgeMidfielder | 7 (7) | 589 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | |
| Tawanda MaswanhiseMidfielder | 9 (7) | 581 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Ibrahim SaidMidfielder | 8 (6) | 532 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Jake Girdwood-ReichDefender | 8 (4) | 434 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| S. Palmer-HouldenAttacker | 7 (4) | 370 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Regan Charles-CookAttacker | 6 (4) | 291 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Jardell KangaMidfielder | 7 (2) | 274 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Willy VogtAttacker | 6 (3) | 251 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Jamie Knight-LebelDefender | 4 (3) | 250 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.10 | – |
Hearts
Top scorer
Cláudio Braga
3 goals
Most assists
J. McPake
5 assists
Best rated
J. McPake
7.43
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau ReusGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Cláudio BragaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 726 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.01 | |
| Jordi AltenaDefender | 8 (8) | 673 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Laurent MendyMidfielder | 8 (8) | 672 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Jamie McCartDefender | 8 (7) | 642 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | |
| J. McPakeMidfielder | 8 (8) | 610 | 3 | 5 | – | 7.43 | |
| Calvin MillerMidfielder | 9 (8) | 589 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Oisin McEnteeDefender | 7 (6) | 486 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Stuart FindlayDefender | 7 (6) | 480 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | |
| James WilsonAttacker | 8 (6) | 416 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Sabah KerjotaAttacker | 9 (3) | 395 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.91 | |
| Harry MilneDefender | 6 (3) | 358 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | |
| Tómas Bent MagnússonMidfielder | 7 (3) | 338 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Blair SpittalMidfielder | 4 (3) | 274 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Christian BorchgrevinkDefender | 5 (2) | 237 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 |
Referee
Duncan Nicolson
Referee · Scotland
- Cards per game
- 4.41
- Yellow cards per game
- 4.18
- Red cards per game
- 0.24
- Fouls per game
- 23.9
- Penalties per game
- 0.28
- Home wins
- 38%
Averages across 18 completed matches officiated by Duncan Nicolson in our database.