Motherwell vs St. Mirren – Match preview
Motherwell-:-
St. MirrenFir ParkRound 12
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
35%
33%
MotherwellDraw 32%St. Mirren
0.9 – 0.9
Expected score
28%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Motherwell
42%–
fair 2.36–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
27%–
fair 3.72–
Last 1015%3/20
St. Mirren
31%–
fair 3.26–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Motherwell
58%–
fair 1.72–
Last 1047%8/17
St. Mirren
42%–
fair 2.38–
Last 1053%9/17
Double chance
Motherwell or draw
69%–
fair 1.44–
Last 1055%11/20
Motherwell or St. Mirren
73%–
fair 1.37–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or St. Mirren
58%–
fair 1.74–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1050%10/20
Motherwell clean sheet
23%
model chance
St. Mirren clean sheet
24%
model chance
Motherwell goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
St. Mirren goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 9.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Motherwell corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
St. Mirren corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Motherwell cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%O3.5 15%
St. Mirren cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 16%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026MotherwellSt. Mirren
- 10
- League position
- 8
- LLLLL
- Last 5
- LLLLL
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.00
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 12
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 14
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
6
Motherwell wins
9
Draws
2
St. Mirren wins
Last 17 meetings
2.4
Goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
35%
Over 2.5 goals
30 Aug 2026
Last meeting
Motherwell in the last 5 meetings
DWWDD
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonMotherwell
Top scorer
Alex Lowry
3 goals
Most assists
Tom Sparrow
2 assists
Best rated
Alex Lowry
7.15
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex PaulsenGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Lukas FadingerMidfielder | 9 (9) | 764 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.03 | ×2 |
| Martin MoormannDefender | 9 (9) | 763 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | ×2 |
| Emmanuel LongeloDefender | 9 (9) | 746 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | |
| Tom SparrowDefender | 9 (9) | 709 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Alex LowryMidfielder | 9 (7) | 602 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Joe HodgeMidfielder | 7 (7) | 589 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | |
| Tawanda MaswanhiseMidfielder | 9 (7) | 581 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Ibrahim SaidMidfielder | 8 (6) | 532 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Jake Girdwood-ReichDefender | 8 (4) | 434 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| S. Palmer-HouldenAttacker | 7 (4) | 370 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Regan Charles-CookAttacker | 6 (4) | 291 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Jardell KangaMidfielder | 7 (2) | 274 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Willy VogtAttacker | 6 (3) | 251 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Jamie Knight-LebelDefender | 4 (3) | 250 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.10 | – |
St. Mirren
Top scorer
Killian Phillips
3 goals
Most assists
Samuel Ramos
2 assists
Best rated
Killian Phillips
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob ChapmanGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Alex GogicDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | |
| Ryan CarrMidfielder | 9 (9) | 745 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | ×5 |
| Declan JohnDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Paul NsioMidfielder | 8 (8) | 697 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Henry FieldsonDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.86 | |
| Calvin RamsayDefender | 7 (7) | 565 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Ismeal KabiaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 550 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | – |
| Chris MochrieMidfielder | 8 (7) | 475 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | |
| Killian PhillipsMidfielder | 5 (5) | 426 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.21 | ×2 |
| Eseosa SuleAttacker | 9 (4) | 381 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Fraser TaylorMidfielder | 7 (5) | 370 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Samuel RamosMidfielder | 5 (3) | 282 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.97 | |
| Nikolas AgrafiotisAttacker | 4 (4) | 267 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.81 | |
| Jayden RichardsonDefender | 5 (2) | 253 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 |