St. Mirren vs Hibernian – Match preview
St. Mirren-:-
HibernianThe Smisa StadiumRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
22%
56%
St. MirrenDraw 22%Hibernian
Bookmaker implied
27%
47%
St. MirrenDraw 26%Hibernian
1.1 – 1.9
Expected score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Match Result
St. Mirren
37%–
fair 2.70–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
29%–
fair 3.42–
Last 1020%4/20
Hibernian
34%–
fair 2.97–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
St. Mirren
52%–
fair 1.91–
Last 1050%8/16
Hibernian
48%–
fair 2.10–
Last 1050%8/16
Double chance
St. Mirren or draw
66%–
fair 1.51–
Last 1060%12/20
St. Mirren or Hibernian
71%–
fair 1.41–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Hibernian
63%–
fair 1.59–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Both teams to score
52%
Last 1040%8/20
St. Mirren clean sheet
25%
model chance
Hibernian clean sheet
31%
model chance
St. Mirren goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 33%O2.5 12%
Hibernian goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 10.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
St. Mirren corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 64%O5.5 47%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%
Hibernian corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
St. Mirren cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Hibernian cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026St. MirrenHibernian
- 8
- League position
- 12
- LLLLL
- Last 5
- LLDLL
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.20
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 14
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
5
St. Mirren wins
6
Draws
6
Hibernian wins
Last 17 meetings
2.6
Goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
59%
Over 2.5 goals
14 Feb 2026
Last meeting
St. Mirren in the last 5 meetings
LLDDD
Injuries & Suspensions
St. Mirren
No reported absences
Hibernian
- Adam MayorGroin Injury
- Jamie McGrathCalf Injury
- Nicky CaddenCalf Injury
- Rocky BushiriAchilles tendon problems
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonSt. Mirren
Top scorer
Killian Phillips
3 goals
Most assists
Samuel Ramos
2 assists
Best rated
Killian Phillips
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob ChapmanGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Alex GogicDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | |
| Ryan CarrMidfielder | 9 (9) | 745 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | ×5 |
| Declan JohnDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Paul NsioMidfielder | 8 (8) | 697 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Henry FieldsonDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.86 | |
| Calvin RamsayDefender | 7 (7) | 565 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Ismeal KabiaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 550 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | – |
| Chris MochrieMidfielder | 8 (7) | 475 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | |
| Killian PhillipsMidfielder | 5 (5) | 426 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.21 | ×2 |
| Eseosa SuleAttacker | 9 (4) | 381 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Fraser TaylorMidfielder | 7 (5) | 370 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Samuel RamosMidfielder | 5 (3) | 282 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.97 | |
| Nikolas AgrafiotisAttacker | 4 (4) | 267 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.81 | |
| Jayden RichardsonDefender | 5 (2) | 253 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 |
Hibernian
Top scorer
Martin Boyle
3 goals
Most assists
Felix Passlack
2 assists
Best rated
Jason Kerr
7.09
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason KerrDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Raphael SallingerGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Josh MulliganMidfielder | 9 (9) | 795 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | |
| Felix PasslackDefender | 9 (8) | 734 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.84 | |
| Miguel ChaiwaMidfielder | 9 (6) | 572 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Adam MayorMidfielder | 7 (6) | 540 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.90 | |
| Martin BoyleAttacker | 8 (6) | 505 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Nathan LoweAttacker | 8 (4) | 436 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Grant HanleyDefender | 5 (4) | 413 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.04 | |
| Callum WrightMidfielder | 7 (5) | 411 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Owen EldingAttacker | 6 (4) | 344 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| Jamie McGrathMidfielder | 5 (3) | 332 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Jordan ObitaDefender | 4 (4) | 299 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Jack IredaleDefender | 4 (3) | 291 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Ante SutoAttacker | 9 (3) | 286 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 |