Atlético Progreso vs Defensor Sporting – Match preview

Sunday, 01 November 2026 · 14:00

Atlético Progreso

-:-

Defensor Sporting

Parque Abraham Paladino

Match Result

Atlético Progreso

42%–

fair 2.40–

Last 1040%8/20

Draw

30%–

fair 3.38–

Last 1025%5/20

Defensor Sporting

29%–

fair 3.48–

Last 1035%7/20

Draw no bet

Atlético Progreso

59%–

fair 1.69–

Last 1053%8/15

Defensor Sporting

41%–

fair 2.45–

Last 1047%7/15

Double chance

Atlético Progreso or draw

71%–

fair 1.40–

Last 1065%13/20

Atlético Progreso or Defensor Sporting

70%–

fair 1.42–

Last 1075%15/20

Draw or Defensor Sporting

58%–

fair 1.71–

Last 1060%12/20

Expected goals 1.4–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 2.4 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 0.5	91%	9%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 1.5	70%	30%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 2.5main	44%	56%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 3.5	23%	77%	–	5%1/20	–
Over/under 4.5	10%	90%	–	5%1/20	–

Both teams to score

50%

Last 1060%12/20

Atlético Progreso clean sheet

30%

model chance

Defensor Sporting clean sheet

29%

model chance

Atlético Progreso goals

O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%

Defensor Sporting goals

O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%

Corners

Expected 8.9 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 7.5	67%	33%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 8.5main	54%	46%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 9.5	40%	60%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 10.5	29%	71%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 11.5	19%	81%	–	20%4/20	–
Over/under 12.5	12%	88%	–	5%1/20	–
Over/under 13.5	7%	93%	–	5%1/20	–

Atlético Progreso corners

O2.5 81%O3.5 64%O4.5 45%O5.5 28%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%

Defensor Sporting corners

O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 48%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%

Cards

Expected 5.8 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 2.5	93%	7%	–	90%18/20	–
Over/under 3.5	83%	17%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 4.5	69%	31%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 5.5main	52%	48%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 6.5	36%	64%	–	50%10/20	–

Atlético Progreso cards

O0.5 96%O1.5 83%O2.5 62%O3.5 40%

Defensor Sporting cards

O0.5 93%O1.5 73%O2.5 48%O3.5 26%

Key Players

Primera Division, this season