Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio – Match preview
Deportivo Maldonado-:-
DanubioEstadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
76%
6%
Deportivo MaldonadoDraw 18%Danubio
Bookmaker implied
48%
25%
Deportivo MaldonadoDraw 27%Danubio
2.0 – 0.4
Expected score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
28%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Deportivo Maldonado
50%1.90
fair 1.99-5%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
27%3.46
fair 3.72-7%
Last 1030%6/20
Danubio
23%4.01
fair 4.35-8%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Deportivo Maldonado
69%1.35
fair 1.46-7%
Last 1071%10/14
Danubio
31%2.85
fair 3.18-10%
Last 1029%4/14
Double chance
Deportivo Maldonado or draw
77%1.23
fair 1.30-5%
Last 1080%16/20
Deportivo Maldonado or Danubio
73%1.29
fair 1.37-6%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Danubio
50%1.86
fair 2.01-7%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.1 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | 1.33 / 3.20 | 75%15/20 | none |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | 2.04 / 1.76 | 50%10/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | 3.58 / 1.27 | 20%4/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
51%Yes 1.90
Last 1065%13/20
Deportivo Maldonado clean sheet
31%
model chance
Danubio clean sheet
21%
model chance
Deportivo Maldonado goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%
Danubio goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 32%O2.5 11%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Deportivo Maldonado corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 14%
Danubio corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Cards
Expected 6.5 match cards · Referee José Burgos (5.6 cards a match, ×1.23)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 89% | 11% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Deportivo Maldonado cards
O0.5 97%O1.5 86%O2.5 66%O3.5 45%
Danubio cards
O0.5 95%O1.5 81%O2.5 59%O3.5 37%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
- 2
- League position
- 15
- LDWWW
- Last 5
- WLWLD
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Deportivo Maldonado wins
5
Draws
2
Danubio wins
Last 9 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
78%
Both teams scored
56%
Over 2.5 goals
18 May 2026
Last meeting
Deportivo Maldonado in the last 5 meetings
WDWDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Deportivo Maldonado
No reported absences
Danubio
- Facundo BalattiRed Card Suspension
Key Players
Primera Division, this seasonDeportivo Maldonado
Top scorer
Christian Tabó
10 goals
Most assists
Christian Tabó
3 assists
Best rated
Renato César
6.55
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe AguilarDefender | 32 (30) | 2611 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.33 | ×4 |
| Maximiliano GonzálezMidfielder | 31 (31) | 2576 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.47 | ×11 |
| Christian TabóAttacker | 30 (30) | 2388 | 10 | 3 | – | 6.54 | ×11 |
| Renato CésarAttacker | 30 (30) | 2286 | 8 | 0 | – | 6.55 | ×5 |
| Diego SegoviaGoalkeeper | 27 (27) | 2216 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.28 | ×2 |
| Facundo TealdeDefender | 25 (24) | 2063 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.34 | ×7 |
| Santiago RamírezMidfielder | 29 (25) | 1961 | 5 | 3 | – | 6.43 | ×6 |
| Juan RamosDefender | 25 (23) | 1956 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.34 | ×4 |
| Maximiliano NobleMidfielder | 24 (21) | 1836 | 7 | 1 | – | 6.52 | ×4 |
| Nicolas FuicaDefender | 21 (15) | 1528 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.39 | ×4 |
| Hernán MenosseDefender | 22 (19) | 1507 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | ×12 |
| Santiago CartagenaMidfielder | 21 (20) | 1387 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.47 | ×5 |
| Matías EspíndolaMidfielder | 17 (17) | 1356 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.47 | ×4 |
| Joaquín FernándezDefender | 19 (9) | 902 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Gonzalo LarrazabalMidfielder | 14 (10) | 809 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.48 | ×2 |
Danubio
Top scorer
Mateo Gabriel Peralta Píriz
6 goals
Most assists
Maicol Ferreira
3 assists
Best rated
Maicol Ferreira
6.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro GoicoecheaGoalkeeper | 33 (33) | 2880 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.23 | – |
| Mateo Gabriel Peralta PírizMidfielder | 32 (32) | 2608 | 6 | 0 | – | 6.44 | ×4 |
| Sebastián RodríguezMidfielder | 28 (27) | 2151 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.45 | ×6 |
| Emiliano VelázquezDefender | 27 (26) | 2072 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.31 | ×4 |
| Iván RossiMidfielder | 27 (25) | 2035 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | ×7 |
| Tomás CavanaghDefender | 26 (25) | 1991 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | ×7 |
| Camilo MayadaMidfielder | 18 (18) | 1497 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | ×3 |
| Leandro SosaDefender | 23 (16) | 1413 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.25 | ×4 |
| M. RinaldiDefender | 18 (16) | 1368 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.25 | ×3 |
| Maicol FerreiraAttacker | 25 (16) | 1328 | 4 | 3 | – | 6.54 | ×3 |
| Facundo BalattiDefender | 20 (16) | 1256 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.27 | |
| Sebastián FernándezAttacker | 24 (14) | 1117 | 6 | 0 | – | 6.48 | |
| Nicolás Ezequiel Azambuja VargasAttacker | 17 (13) | 1113 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.48 | ×4 |
| Mauro Alejandro Brasil AlcaireDefender | 12 (12) | 1028 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | ×6 |
| Joaquín PereyraDefender | 14 (9) | 976 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.41 | ×2 |
Referee
José Burgos
Referee · Uruguay
- Cards per game
- 5.56
- Yellow cards per game
- 5.28
- Red cards per game
- 0.28
- Fouls per game
- 25.0
- Penalties per game
- 0.28
- Home wins
- 53%
Averages across 39 completed matches officiated by José Burgos in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.70 | 3.08 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Betinia | — | — | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| Betsonic | — | — | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 1.61 | 1.35 | — | — |
| Campobet | — | — | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 1.89 | — | — |
| Macauslot | 1.84 | 1.86 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.90 | 1.90 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 2.74 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 3.96 | 2.76 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.90 | 1.92 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.92 | 1.79 |
| bet365 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| Betano.dk | 1.03 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 1.33 |
| Betinia | 1.68 | 2.00 |
| Betsonic | 1.68 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 1.99 |
| Campobet | 1.68 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.04 | 6.40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20 | 1.33 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Draw/Away | Home/Draw | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away | Home/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 8.30 | 15.00 | 4.70 | 2.88 | 4.60 | 28.00 | 15.50 | 6.55 | 41.00 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 13.00 | 5.00 | 3.00 | 4.50 | 21.00 | 13.00 | 6.50 | 34.00 |
| Marathonbet | 8.30 | 15.25 | 4.70 | 2.88 | 4.60 | 28.00 | 15.50 | 6.55 | 41.00 |