Nacional vs Liverpool – Match preview
Nacional-:-
LiverpoolEstadio Gran Parque Central
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
37%
36%
NacionalDraw 27%Liverpool
Bookmaker implied
46%
26%
NacionalDraw 28%Liverpool
1.3 – 1.3
Expected score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Nacional
42%–
fair 2.36–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.53–
Last 1020%4/20
Liverpool
29%–
fair 3.42–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Nacional
59%–
fair 1.69–
Last 1056%9/16
Liverpool
41%–
fair 2.45–
Last 1044%7/16
Double chance
Nacional or draw
71%–
fair 1.41–
Last 1065%13/20
Nacional or Liverpool
72%–
fair 1.40–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Liverpool
58%–
fair 1.74–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1035%7/20
Nacional clean sheet
27%
model chance
Liverpool clean sheet
27%
model chance
Nacional goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Liverpool goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Nacional corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Liverpool corners
O2.5 80%O3.5 61%O4.5 42%O5.5 26%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%
Cards
Expected 5.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
Nacional cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 78%O2.5 55%O3.5 33%
Liverpool cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 78%O2.5 54%O3.5 32%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026NacionalLiverpool
- 3
- League position
- 6
- WWWWW
- Last 5
- WDWWD
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.20
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
7
Nacional wins
4
Draws
2
Liverpool wins
Last 13 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
69%
Over 2.5 goals
19 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Nacional in the last 5 meetings
WWDWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Nacional
- Luis MejíaLeg Injury
Liverpool
- Jean RossoCruciate Ligament Tear
- Renzo MachadoKnee Injury
Key Players
Primera Division, this seasonNacional
Top scorer
Maxi Gómez
13 goals
Most assists
Gastón Martirena
3 assists
Best rated
Julián Millán
6.76
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. BoggioMidfielder | 29 (26) | 2063 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.42 | ×4 |
| Luis MejíaGoalkeeper | 23 (22) | 1965 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | |
| Maxi GómezAttacker | 26 (22) | 1861 | 13 | 0 | – | 6.58 | ×7 |
| Lucas RodríguezMidfielder | 25 (19) | 1690 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | ×4 |
| Sebastián CoatesDefender | 19 (19) | 1555 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | ×9 |
| E. AnchetaDefender | 21 (18) | 1384 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.32 | ×4 |
| Camilo CándidoDefender | 21 (16) | 1352 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.38 | ×4 |
| Agustín RogelDefender | 17 (15) | 1286 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.28 | ×5 |
| T. VieraDefender | 18 (15) | 1215 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.21 | ×3 |
| Maximiliano SilveraAttacker | 22 (13) | 1206 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.56 | ×4 |
| Tomás Verón LupiMidfielder | 22 (16) | 998 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.53 | |
| Francisco CalvoDefender | 11 (11) | 980 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.34 | ×4 |
| Tiziano Correa ReyesAttacker | 10 (8) | 730 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Mateo Baltasar Barcia FernándezMidfielder | 15 (7) | 729 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.44 | ×3 |
| Nicolás RodríguezDefender | 12 (7) | 726 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.32 | ×2 |
Liverpool
Top scorer
Federico Martínez
11 goals
Most assists
D. Romero
2 assists
Best rated
Federico Martínez
6.60
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo CastilloDefender | 30 (30) | 2563 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.33 | ×8 |
| Santiago StrasorierDefender | 29 (29) | 2520 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.33 | ×7 |
| Nicolás GarayaldeMidfielder | 30 (26) | 2192 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.38 | ×9 |
| Federico MartínezAttacker | 32 (28) | 2176 | 11 | 1 | – | 6.60 | ×5 |
| Rubén BentancourtAttacker | 29 (25) | 2031 | 7 | 0 | – | 6.54 | ×7 |
| D. RomeroDefender | 29 (15) | 1638 | 5 | 2 | – | 6.39 | ×2 |
| Lucas AcostaMidfielder | 25 (19) | 1564 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.47 | ×6 |
| Mathias BernateneGoalkeeper | 18 (17) | 1485 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.30 | |
| Santiago LaquidaínDefender | 22 (17) | 1459 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | ×6 |
| Martín CampañaGoalkeeper | 16 (16) | 1395 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.25 | |
| Kevin AmaroMidfielder | 17 (16) | 1317 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.33 | |
| Martín RabuñalMidfielder | 18 (16) | 1277 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.48 | |
| Agustín CayetanoDefender | 18 (14) | 1254 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | ×4 |
| Kevin LewisDefender | 18 (16) | 1239 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | ×4 |
| Diego ZabalaMidfielder | 25 (14) | 1119 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.44 |