Al Shabab vs Al Ahli – Match preview
-:-
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)Round 12
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
36%
44%
Al ShababDraw 20%Al Ahli
1.9 – 2.1
Expected score
78%
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Al Shabab
33%–
fair 3.02–
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
25%–
fair 4.00–
Last 1015%3/20
Al Ahli
42%–
fair 2.39–
Last 1065%13/20
Draw no bet
Al Shabab
44%–
fair 2.26–
Last 1024%4/17
Al Ahli
56%–
fair 1.79–
Last 1076%13/17
Double chance
Al Shabab or draw
58%–
fair 1.72–
Last 1035%7/20
Al Shabab or Al Ahli
75%–
fair 1.33–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Al Ahli
67%–
fair 1.50–
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.7 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
64%
Last 1065%13/20
Al Shabab clean sheet
14%
model chance
Al Ahli clean sheet
25%
model chance
Al Shabab goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Al Ahli goals
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 30%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Al Shabab corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Al Ahli corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Al Shabab cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Al Ahli cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Al ShababAl Ahli
- 13
- League position
- 5
- DWDLL
- Last 5
- WWWLW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 17
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
4
Al Shabab wins
4
Draws
3
Al Ahli wins
Last 11 meetings
3.5
Goals per game
73%
Both teams scored
73%
Over 2.5 goals
13 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Al Shabab in the last 5 meetings
LDWLL
Key Players
Pro League, this seasonAl Shabab
Top scorer
Josh Brownhill
3 goals
Most assists
Josh Brownhill
2 assists
Best rated
Yacine Adli
7.46
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh BrownhillMidfielder | 9 (9) | 810 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.36 | – |
| Tin JedvajDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Yacine AdliMidfielder | 9 (9) | 802 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.46 | ×3 |
| Mohamed Al-ThaniDefender | 9 (9) | 780 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Mamadou Thierno BarryDefender | 9 (8) | 767 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Yannick CarrascoMidfielder | 9 (9) | 720 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.42 | – |
| Roger MartínezAttacker | 8 (8) | 619 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Mory DiawGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Hammam Al-HammamiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 528 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Dhari Al-AnaziDefender | 6 (6) | 430 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | ×3 |
| Abdullah MatuqAttacker | 7 (2) | 290 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Mohammed Al-MahasnehGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | – |
| Ricardo MathiasAttacker | 3 (3) | 268 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Daniel PodenceMidfielder | 4 (4) | 200 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Ali Al-AsmariMidfielder | 5 (2) | 183 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
Al Ahli
Top scorer
Ivan Toney
11 goals
Most assists
Eduard Spertsyan
3 assists
Best rated
Ivan Toney
7.86
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentin AtanganaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 777 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | ×3 |
| Francisco TrincãoMidfielder | 9 (9) | 740 | 5 | 2 | – | 7.37 | – |
| Eduard SpertsyanMidfielder | 9 (8) | 725 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.25 | |
| Roger IbañezDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Ivan ToneyAttacker | 8 (8) | 684 | 11 | 1 | – | 7.86 | ×2 |
| Merih DemiralDefender | 8 (8) | 675 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Edouard MendyGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| GalenoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 472 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Saad BalobaidDefender | 7 (5) | 436 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.07 | |
| Rayan HamedDefender | 7 (5) | 407 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Firas Al-BuraikanAttacker | 9 (3) | 355 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Ziyad Al-JohaniMidfielder | 6 (5) | 350 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Zakaria HawsawiDefender | 6 (4) | 346 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | |
| Abdulrahman Al-SanbiGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Mohammed SulaimanDefender | 6 (3) | 254 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |