Fakel vs Akhmat Grozny – Match preview
Fakel-:-
Akhmat GroznyCentral'nyi Stadion ProfsoyuzovRound 5
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
37%
20%
FakelDraw 43%Akhmat Grozny
Bookmaker implied
32%
42%
FakelDraw 26%Akhmat Grozny
0.7 – 0.4
Expected score
11%
Over 2.5 goals
18%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Fakel
46%–
fair 2.20–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.59–
Last 1040%8/20
Akhmat Grozny
27%–
fair 3.76–
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Fakel
63%–
fair 1.58–
Last 1067%8/12
Akhmat Grozny
37%–
fair 2.71–
Last 1033%4/12
Double chance
Fakel or draw
73%–
fair 1.36–
Last 1080%16/20
Fakel or Akhmat Grozny
72%–
fair 1.39–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Akhmat Grozny
54%–
fair 1.84–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1055%11/20
Fakel clean sheet
29%
model chance
Akhmat Grozny clean sheet
25%
model chance
Fakel goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Akhmat Grozny goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Fakel corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Akhmat Grozny corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.2 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Fakel cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%
Akhmat Grozny cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026FakelAkhmat Grozny
- 35
- League position
- 40
- WDLL
- Last 5
- LLWD
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
3
Fakel wins
2
Draws
1
Akhmat Grozny wins
Last 6 meetings
2.2
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
18 Aug 2026
Last meeting
Fakel in the last 5 meetings
LDDWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Fakel
No reported absences
Akhmat Grozny
- Júlio RomãoMuscle Injury
Key Players
Russian Cup, this seasonFakel
Top scorer
Abdulla Bagamaev
1 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
Belajdi Pusi
6.60
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor ObukhovGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | – |
| Abdulla BagamaevMidfielder | 3 (3) | 251 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.43 | |
| R. NetfullinDefender | 3 (2) | 211 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.27 | – |
| Anton KovalevMidfielder | 3 (2) | 205 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | |
| Belajdi PusiAttacker | 3 (3) | 197 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Igor YurganovDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.06 | – |
| Darko TodorovicDefender | 3 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Matvey BardachevDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | – |
| Aleksey SutorminMidfielder | 3 (2) | 166 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | |
| Yuriy ZhuravlevDefender | 2 (2) | 164 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.28 | – |
| Butta MagomedovMidfielder | 2 (1) | 117 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.30 | |
| Ilnur AlshinMidfielder | 3 (1) | 110 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Merabi UridiaAttacker | 2 (2) | 109 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
| H. El MhassaniDefender | 2 (1) | 105 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.28 | – |
| Albert GabaraevDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 |
Akhmat Grozny
Top scorer
Egas Cacintura
2 goals
Most assists
Ousmane N’Dong
1 assists
Best rated
Georgiy Melkadze
6.65
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klisman CakeDefender | 4 (4) | 390 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.11 | |
| Turpal-Ali IbishevDefender | 4 (4) | 390 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.11 | |
| Miroslav BogosavacDefender | 4 (4) | 390 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.11 | – |
| Maksim SidorovDefender | 4 (3) | 328 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.17 | – |
| Ismael SilvaMidfielder | 4 (2) | 301 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.31 | |
| Lechi SadulaevMidfielder | 4 (2) | 283 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.32 | – |
| Egas CacinturaMidfielder | 4 (2) | 256 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| KellianoMidfielder | 3 (3) | 243 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | |
| Georgiy MelkadzeAttacker | 3 (2) | 211 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Erald MaksutiAttacker | 3 (3) | 200 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | |
| Júlio RomãoMidfielder | 4 (2) | 198 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
| Kalidou SidibéMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.23 | – |
| Giorgiy SheliaGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.90 | – |
| Kirill ShchetininMidfielder | 3 (3) | 178 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | |
| Galymzhan KenzhebekMidfielder | 3 (3) | 162 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.67 | 1.86 |
| Marathonbet | 1.11 | 2.17 |
| MelBet | 1.69 | 2.17 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.72 | 2.19 |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 8.10 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Away/Away | Away/Draw | Away/Home | Draw/Home | Home/Home | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Home/Away | Home/Draw |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 3.46 | 15.00 | 35.00 | 7.00 | 4.70 | 5.45 | 5.60 | 29.00 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.46 | 15.00 | 35.00 | 7.00 | 4.70 | 5.45 | 5.60 | 29.00 | 15.00 |