Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva – Match preview
-:-
Stadion GazovikRound 5
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
66%
14%
OrenburgDraw 20%Rodina Moskva
Bookmaker implied
51%
23%
OrenburgDraw 26%Rodina Moskva
2.1 – 0.9
Expected score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Orenburg
42%–
fair 2.36–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
26%–
fair 3.88–
Last 1020%4/20
Rodina Moskva
32%–
fair 3.15–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Orenburg
57%–
fair 1.75–
Last 1050%8/16
Rodina Moskva
43%–
fair 2.33–
Last 1050%8/16
Double chance
Orenburg or draw
68%–
fair 1.47–
Last 1060%12/20
Orenburg or Rodina Moskva
74%–
fair 1.35–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Rodina Moskva
58%–
fair 1.74–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
62%
Last 1045%9/20
Orenburg clean sheet
20%
model chance
Rodina Moskva clean sheet
22%
model chance
Orenburg goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 19%
Rodina Moskva goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Orenburg corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Rodina Moskva corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 5.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 90% | 10% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Orenburg cards
O0.5 95%O1.5 79%O2.5 55%O3.5 33%
Rodina Moskva cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026OrenburgRodina Moskva
- 13
- League position
- 50
- WDWL
- Last 5
- LLLW
- 1.75
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.75
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Orenburg wins
1
Draws
0
Rodina Moskva wins
Last 2 meetings
4.5
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
19 Oct 2026
Last meeting
Orenburg in the last 2 meetings
DW
Injuries & Suspensions
Orenburg
- Dmitriy VasiljevUnknown Injury
- M. SavelyevUnknown Injury
- Maksim RudakovArm Injury
Rodina Moskva
- Ruslan FishchenkoYellow Card Suspension
Key Players
Russian Cup, this seasonOrenburg
Top scorer
Renat Golybin
2 goals
Most assists
Egor Nazarenko
2 assists
Best rated
Alexandre Jesus
6.60
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egor NazarenkoMidfielder | 4 (4) | 346 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.48 | |
| A. KasimovDefender | 4 (4) | 343 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.21 | – |
| Ivan IvashchenkoMidfielder | 3 (3) | 300 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.24 | – |
| Danila VedernikovDefender | 3 (3) | 300 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| A. KhodanovichGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 210 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.12 | – |
| D. KhotulevDefender | 2 (2) | 210 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.34 | |
| Ruslan KulMidfielder | 4 (2) | 195 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.40 | |
| Renat GolybinMidfielder | 3 (2) | 195 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.45 | |
| Damián PueblaMidfielder | 4 (0) | 178 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Benjamín BoschAttacker | 3 (3) | 168 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | – |
| D. RybchinskiyMidfielder | 3 (1) | 162 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.57 | – |
| M. SyshchenkoDefender | 2 (1) | 137 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.07 | – |
| Alexandre JesusAttacker | 2 (1) | 137 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Dmitriy VasiljevMidfielder | 2 (2) | 119 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | |
| Mikhail PykhcheevMidfielder | 2 (2) | 116 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
Rodina Moskva
Top scorer
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov
3 goals
Most assists
Iker Pozo
2 assists
Best rated
Artem Maksimenko
6.70
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitja KrižanAttacker | 4 (3) | 314 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.27 | – |
| Magomedkhabib AbdusalamovAttacker | 4 (3) | 303 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Dmitriy TananeevDefender | 4 (2) | 268 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.08 | – |
| Iker PozoMidfielder | 3 (3) | 217 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.48 | – |
| Kirill UshatovMidfielder | 3 (2) | 205 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Ilya DyatlovMidfielder | 3 (2) | 198 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.24 | |
| Astemir GordyushenkoMidfielder | 4 (2) | 192 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.35 | |
| Stanislav BessmertniyDefender | 3 (2) | 190 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.08 | |
| Sergey AydarovGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.53 | – |
| L. GoglichidzeDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.10 | – |
| Ruslan FishchenkoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.25 | ×2 |
| Sergey VolkovGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.94 | |
| Andrey EgorychevMidfielder | 3 (3) | 161 | 1 | 0 | – | 5.93 | |
| Artem MaksimenkoAttacker | 3 (1) | 148 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Ivan TimoshenkoAttacker | 2 (2) | 140 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.67 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 6.27 | 1.07 |
| Marathonbet | 2.60 | 1.50 |
| MelBet | 1.36 | 3.13 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.72 | 2.11 |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 5.00 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Away/Away | Away/Draw | Away/Home | Draw/Home | Home/Home | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Home/Away | Home/Draw |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 6.95 | 15.50 | 26.00 | 4.70 | 2.79 | 5.30 | 9.10 | 41.00 | 15.50 |
| Marathonbet | 6.95 | 15.75 | 26.00 | 4.70 | 2.79 | 5.30 | 9.10 | 41.00 | 15.50 |