AC Milan vs Bologna – Match preview
AC Milan-:-
BolognaStadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
72%
7%
AC MilanDraw 21%Bologna
Bookmaker implied
59%
18%
AC MilanDraw 23%Bologna
1.7 – 0.3
Expected score
33%
Over 2.5 goals
22%
Both teams to score
Match Result
AC Milan
56%1.62
fair 1.80-10%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
24%4.03
fair 4.12-2%
Last 1030%6/20
Bologna
20%5.26
fair 4.99+6%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
AC Milan
74%1.22
fair 1.36-10%
Last 1064%9/14
Bologna
26%3.95
fair 3.78+5%
Last 1036%5/14
Double chance
AC Milan or draw
80%1.16
fair 1.25-7%
Last 1075%15/20
AC Milan or Bologna
76%1.24
fair 1.32-6%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Bologna
44%2.28
fair 2.25+1%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 24% | 1.26 / 3.79 | 80%16/20 | none |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | 1.84 / 2.00 | 55%11/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | 3.06 / 1.37 | 35%7/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
54%Yes 1.80
Last 1055%11/20
AC Milan clean sheet
27%
model chance
Bologna clean sheet
21%
model chance
AC Milan goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%
Bologna goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 8.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 6% | 94% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
AC Milan corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Bologna corners
O2.5 75%O3.5 56%O4.5 36%O5.5 21%O6.5 10%O7.5 5%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
AC Milan cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Bologna cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrien Rabiot AC Milan | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.50 | 2.50 | 35% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -11% |
Samuel Chukwueze AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 48% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -28% |
Alphadjo Cissè AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | 50% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -28% |
Federico Bernardeschi Bologna | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 46% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -31% |
Strahinja Pavlović AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 46% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -34% |
Gonçalo Ramos AC Milan | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83 | 1.83 | 40% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -26% |
Gonçalo Ramos AC Milan | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 41% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -39% |
Ardon Jashari AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 43% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -39% |
Koni De Winter AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 35% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -43% |
Adrien Rabiot AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 37% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -44% |
Adrien Rabiot AC Milan | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.50 | 4.50 | 22% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -3% |
Adrien Rabiot AC Milan | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.33 | 4.33 | 19% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -19% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026AC MilanBologna
- 4
- League position
- 15
- WDWDD
- Last 5
- LWDLD
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
8
AC Milan wins
3
Draws
2
Bologna wins
Last 13 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Over 2.5 goals
03 Feb 2026
Last meeting
AC Milan in the last 5 meetings
WWLWL
Injuries & Suspensions
AC Milan
- Alexis SaelemaekersAnkle Surgery
- Gonçalo RamosCalf Problems
- Matteo GabbiaHamstring Strain
- Samuel ChukwuezeHip Flexor Problems
Bologna
- Emil HolmHamstring Muscle Injury
- Riccardo OrsoliniHamstring Muscle Injury
- Roberto PiccoliMuscle Injury
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonAC Milan
Top scorer
Adrien Rabiot
4 goals
Most assists
Adrien Rabiot
3 assists
Best rated
Adrien Rabiot
7.48
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike MaignanGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Strahinja PavlovićDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | ×3 |
| Gonçalo RamosAttacker | 7 (7) | 625 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.67 | |
| Koni De WinterDefender | 7 (6) | 610 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Mario GilaDefender | 7 (7) | 605 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Samuel ChukwuezeMidfielder | 7 (6) | 497 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Adrien RabiotMidfielder | 7 (5) | 486 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.48 | |
| Yunus MusahMidfielder | 7 (5) | 481 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Luka ModrićMidfielder | 7 (5) | 431 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Pervis EstupiñánMidfielder | 7 (5) | 342 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Diego MoreiraAttacker | 5 (3) | 306 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.33 | – |
| Christian PulisicMidfielder | 4 (3) | 266 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.08 | |
| Alphadjo CissèMidfielder | 5 (3) | 243 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Ruben Loftus-CheekMidfielder | 6 (3) | 226 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Alexis SaelemaekersAttacker | 4 (2) | 185 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.04 | – |
Bologna
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi
1 goals
Most assists
Juan Miranda
3 assists
Best rated
Juan Miranda
7.08
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis FergusonMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Nicolò CambiaghiMidfielder | 7 (7) | 513 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.02 | |
| Torbjørn HeggemDefender | 6 (6) | 505 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Juan MirandaDefender | 6 (5) | 485 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.08 | |
| Federico BernardeschiAttacker | 7 (5) | 463 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.04 | |
| Lukasz SkorupskiGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Roberto PiccoliAttacker | 7 (7) | 450 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Tommaso PobegaMidfielder | 6 (6) | 362 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.97 | |
| Nadir ZorteaMidfielder | 5 (4) | 351 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Arthur TheateDefender | 4 (4) | 333 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Eivind HellandDefender | 5 (3) | 300 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Emil HolmDefender | 5 (3) | 279 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Jens OdgaardAttacker | 5 (3) | 260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | |
| Riccardo OrsoliniAttacker | 4 (2) | 184 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Nicolò CasaleDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.07 | 1.00 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 1.54 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 2.06 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.81 | 2.07 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.05 | 6.55 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.48 | 2.66 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 2.76 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.78 | 2.13 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 9.80 | 1.02 |
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano.dk | 9.75 | 1.15 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.66 | 1.53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26 | 1.45 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Draw/Away | Away/Draw | Away/Away | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Draw |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.25 | 4.25 | 26.00 | 12.00 | 18.00 | 9.50 | 17.50 | 50.00 | 6.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 4.25 | 26.00 | 12.00 | 18.00 | 9.50 | 17.50 | 51.00 | 6.05 |