AC Milan vs Inter – Match preview
AC Milan-:-
InterStadio Giuseppe Meazza
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
55%
21%
AC MilanDraw 24%Inter
1.7 – 0.9
Expected score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
Match Result
AC Milan
39%–
fair 2.57–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
25%–
fair 3.94–
Last 1020%4/20
Inter
36%–
fair 2.79–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
AC Milan
52%–
fair 1.92–
Last 1044%7/16
Inter
48%–
fair 2.09–
Last 1056%9/16
Double chance
AC Milan or draw
64%–
fair 1.56–
Last 1055%11/20
AC Milan or Inter
75%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Inter
61%–
fair 1.64–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.6 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
64%
Last 1060%12/20
AC Milan clean sheet
17%
model chance
Inter clean sheet
23%
model chance
AC Milan goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Inter goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 52%O2.5 26%
Corners
Expected 8.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 5% | 95% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
AC Milan corners
O2.5 75%O3.5 55%O4.5 35%O5.5 20%O6.5 10%O7.5 5%
Inter corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 18%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
AC Milan cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 19%
Inter cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026AC MilanInter
- 4
- League position
- 1
- WDWDD
- Last 5
- WWDWW
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 16
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
17
AC Milan wins
13
Draws
26
Inter wins
Last 56 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Over 2.5 goals
05 Aug 2026
Last meeting
AC Milan in the last 5 meetings
DWWWD
Injuries & Suspensions
AC Milan
- Alexis SaelemaekersAnkle Surgery
- Gonçalo RamosCalf Problems
- Matteo GabbiaHamstring Strain
- Samuel ChukwuezeHip Flexor Problems
Inter
- Benjamin PavardAdductor Pain
- Lautaro MartínezHamstring Injury
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonAC Milan
Top scorer
Adrien Rabiot
4 goals
Most assists
Adrien Rabiot
3 assists
Best rated
Adrien Rabiot
7.48
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike MaignanGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Strahinja PavlovićDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | ×3 |
| Gonçalo RamosAttacker | 7 (7) | 625 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.67 | |
| Koni De WinterDefender | 7 (6) | 610 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Mario GilaDefender | 7 (7) | 605 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Samuel ChukwuezeMidfielder | 7 (6) | 497 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Adrien RabiotMidfielder | 7 (5) | 486 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.48 | |
| Yunus MusahMidfielder | 7 (5) | 481 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Luka ModrićMidfielder | 7 (5) | 431 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Pervis EstupiñánMidfielder | 7 (5) | 342 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Diego MoreiraAttacker | 5 (3) | 306 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.33 | – |
| Christian PulisicMidfielder | 4 (3) | 266 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.08 | |
| Alphadjo CissèMidfielder | 5 (3) | 243 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Ruben Loftus-CheekMidfielder | 6 (3) | 226 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Alexis SaelemaekersAttacker | 4 (2) | 185 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.04 | – |
Inter
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram
4 goals
Most assists
Andy Diouf
3 assists
Best rated
Nicolò Barella
7.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josep MartínezGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Nicolò BarellaMidfielder | 6 (6) | 540 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.54 | |
| Manuel AkanjiDefender | 6 (6) | 503 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.20 | ×2 |
| Alessandro BastoniDefender | 6 (6) | 482 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | |
| Yann BisseckDefender | 6 (5) | 459 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Federico DimarcoMidfielder | 7 (6) | 458 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.24 | – |
| Andy DioufMidfielder | 6 (5) | 439 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Piotr ZielińskiMidfielder | 6 (5) | 431 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Pio EspositoAttacker | 7 (6) | 411 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.18 | |
| Marcus ThuramAttacker | 6 (4) | 369 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.15 | |
| Petar SučićMidfielder | 6 (4) | 363 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Lautaro MartínezAttacker | 5 (4) | 353 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.44 | ×2 |
| Carlos AugustoDefender | 5 (2) | 265 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.39 | |
| Hakan ÇalhanoğluMidfielder | 5 (3) | 209 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.39 | |
| Luis HenriqueAttacker | 5 (2) | 209 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |