Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro – Match preview
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Arena MRVRound 33
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
53%
26%
Atlético MineiroDraw 21%Cruzeiro
Bookmaker implied
39%
33%
Atlético MineiroDraw 28%Cruzeiro
2.1 – 1.4
Expected score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Atlético Mineiro
40%–
fair 2.49–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
29%–
fair 3.48–
Last 1030%6/20
Cruzeiro
31%–
fair 3.21–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Atlético Mineiro
56%–
fair 1.78–
Last 1050%7/14
Cruzeiro
44%–
fair 2.29–
Last 1050%7/14
Double chance
Atlético Mineiro or draw
69%–
fair 1.45–
Last 1065%13/20
Atlético Mineiro or Cruzeiro
71%–
fair 1.40–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Cruzeiro
60%–
fair 1.67–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1055%11/20
Atlético Mineiro clean sheet
26%
model chance
Cruzeiro clean sheet
28%
model chance
Atlético Mineiro goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%
Cruzeiro goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Atlético Mineiro corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Cruzeiro corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 87% | 13% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Atlético Mineiro cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 46%O3.5 25%
Cruzeiro cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
- 6
- League position
- 5
- WWDWD
- Last 5
- WLWWL
- 2.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
17
Atlético Mineiro wins
9
Draws
16
Cruzeiro wins
Last 42 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
48%
Over 2.5 goals
02 Sept 2026
Last meeting
Atlético Mineiro in the last 5 meetings
WDWDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Atlético Mineiro
- AlexsanderTorn Knee Ligaments
- EversonBroken Foot
- FredHamstring Injury
- Gustavo ScarpaHamstring Injury
- Mateo CassierraHamstring Injury
- RuanHamstring Injury
- Thiago BorbasMuscle Injury
Cruzeiro
- Fabrizio PeraltaCruciate Ligament Injury
- Gabriel PecBroken Tibia
- Lucas RomeroCalf Injury
- Luis SinisterraHamstring Injury
- Néiser VillarrealSprain
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonAtlético Mineiro
Top scorer
Tomás Cuello
6 goals
Most assists
Bernard
4 assists
Best rated
Léo Duarte
7.31
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan LodiDefender | 26 (24) | 2180 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.97 | ×4 |
| EversonGoalkeeper | 23 (23) | 2070 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Tomás CuelloMidfielder | 26 (21) | 1871 | 6 | 2 | – | 7.09 | ×3 |
| NatanaelDefender | 22 (22) | 1844 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.79 | |
| RuanDefender | 20 (20) | 1753 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×7 |
| Victor HugoMidfielder | 24 (20) | 1693 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.93 | |
| Alan FrancoMidfielder | 21 (20) | 1690 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | ×6 |
| BernardMidfielder | 25 (19) | 1417 | 4 | 4 | – | 6.91 | – |
| MayconMidfielder | 19 (16) | 1348 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Vitor HugoDefender | 17 (12) | 1111 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| ReinierMidfielder | 22 (13) | 1089 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.96 | |
| Mateo CassierraAttacker | 22 (10) | 1085 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.76 | |
| Tomás PérezMidfielder | 16 (12) | 969 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×2 |
| HulkAttacker | 12 (11) | 912 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.93 | |
| Júnior AlonsoDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | ×2 |
Cruzeiro
Top scorer
Kaio Jorge
12 goals
Most assists
Matheus Pereira
7 assists
Best rated
Matheus Pereira
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus PereiraMidfielder | 28 (26) | 2342 | 9 | 7 | – | 7.50 | ×11 |
| Fabrício BrunoDefender | 26 (23) | 2087 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | ×8 |
| GersonMidfielder | 27 (25) | 2067 | 0 | 4 | – | 7.01 | ×4 |
| Kaio JorgeAttacker | 24 (22) | 1870 | 12 | 2 | – | 7.12 | ×2 |
| Jonathan JesusDefender | 20 (19) | 1699 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | ×4 |
| Otávio CostaGoalkeeper | 18 (18) | 1620 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×2 |
| Keny ArroyoMidfielder | 26 (19) | 1579 | 5 | 4 | – | 7.05 | ×6 |
| Lucas RomeroMidfielder | 21 (20) | 1538 | 2 | 3 | – | 6.96 | ×3 |
| KaikiDefender | 16 (16) | 1418 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.79 | |
| Matheus HenriqueMidfielder | 28 (13) | 1392 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.64 | ×3 |
| FagnerDefender | 20 (16) | 1358 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| ChristianMidfielder | 17 (15) | 1256 | 5 | 3 | – | 6.97 | |
| João MarceloDefender | 16 (13) | 1197 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.98 | ×4 |
| Lucas VillalbaDefender | 16 (11) | 1094 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.68 | ×2 |
| WilliamDefender | 16 (12) | 1002 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.92 | ×3 |
Referee
Raphael Claus
Referee · Brazil
- Cards per game
- 3.88
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.70
- Red cards per game
- 0.18
- Fouls per game
- 22.2
- Penalties per game
- 0.27
- Home wins
- 58%
Averages across 56 completed matches officiated by Raphael Claus in our database.