Chapecoense vs Mirassol – Match preview
Chapecoense-:-
MirassolArena CondáRound 34
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
31%
46%
ChapecoenseDraw 23%Mirassol
Bookmaker implied
31%
43%
ChapecoenseDraw 26%Mirassol
1.4 – 1.7
Expected score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
28%
26%
ChapecoenseDraw 46%Mirassol
Double Chance
35%
37%
ChapecoenseDraw 28%Mirassol
Half Time Result
46%
46%
ChapecoenseDraw 8%Mirassol
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
34%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
70%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
69%
Match Result
Chapecoense
31%3.00
fair 3.19-6%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
27%3.50
fair 3.65-4%
Last 1015%3/20
Mirassol
41%2.20
fair 2.42-9%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw no bet
Chapecoense
43%2.14
fair 2.32-8%
Last 1035%6/17
Mirassol
57%1.57
fair 1.76-11%
Last 1065%11/17
Double chance
Chapecoense or draw
59%1.62
fair 1.70-5%
Last 1045%9/20
Chapecoense or Mirassol
73%1.27
fair 1.38-8%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Mirassol
69%1.35
fair 1.46-7%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.2–1.3 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%Yes 1.66
Last 1055%11/20
Chapecoense clean sheet
23%
model chance
Mirassol clean sheet
34%
model chance
Chapecoense goals
O0.5 66%O1.5 29%O2.5 9%
Mirassol goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 62% | 39% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Chapecoense corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Mirassol corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 5.3 match cards · Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin (5.6 cards a match, ×1.15)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 90% | 10% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Chapecoense cards
O0.5 95%O1.5 79%O2.5 56%O3.5 33%
Mirassol cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 44%O3.5 23%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yannick Bolasie Chapecoense | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | 56% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -11% |
Bruno Matias Chapecoense | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 44% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -40% |
Edson Carioca Mirassol | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 51% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -24% |
Willian Machado Mirassol | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 45% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -40% |
Yannick Bolasie Chapecoense | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 24% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -42% |
Alesson Mirassol | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 48% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -28% |
Kevin Ramírez Chapecoense | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 33% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -39% |
David Antunes Chapecoense | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 29% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -61% |
Alesson Mirassol | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 25% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -66% |
Gustavo Silva Mirassol | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61 | 1.61 | 28% | 0%0/5 | 33%3/9 | -55% |
Gustavo Silva Mirassol | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 20% | 0%0/5 | 33%3/9 | -73% |
Bruno Pacheco Chapecoense | Over 0.5 Assists · 8.50 | 8.50 | 10% | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | -18% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026ChapecoenseMirassol
- 20
- League position
- 15
- LWLLL
- Last 5
- DWLDW
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 13
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 1.24
- xG for (L5)
- 1.81
- 3.83
- xG against (L5)
- 1.51
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
0
Chapecoense wins
1
Draws
4
Mirassol wins
Last 5 meetings
1.2
Goals per game
20%
Both teams scored
0%
Over 2.5 goals
10 May 2026
Last meeting
Chapecoense in the last 5 meetings
DLLLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Chapecoense
- CarvalheiraTorn Knee Ligaments
- HeitorHamstring Injury
- Robert SantosCruciate Ligament Tear
- Vinicius BalieiroInflammation Of Ligaments In The Knee
Mirassol
- José AldoMuscle Injury
- NeguebaTorn Knee Ligaments
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonChapecoense
Top scorer
Marcinho
5 goals
Most assists
Giovanni Augusto
6 assists
Best rated
Giovanni Augusto
7.14
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DomaDefender | 29 (28) | 2497 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×6 |
| CamiloMidfielder | 26 (26) | 2223 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.84 | ×9 |
| MarcinhoAttacker | 30 (24) | 1844 | 5 | 2 | 0.06 | 6.73 | ×3 |
| Bruno PachecoDefender | 23 (19) | 1721 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.65 | ×3 |
| AndersonGoalkeeper | 18 (18) | 1620 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Yannick BolasieAttacker | 25 (17) | 1532 | 2 | 3 | 0.74 | 6.68 | ×4 |
| Giovanni AugustoMidfielder | 24 (20) | 1468 | 2 | 6 | 0.09 | 7.14 | ×2 |
| EvertonDefender | 21 (15) | 1326 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.49 | ×5 |
| Bruno LeonardoDefender | 15 (15) | 1311 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Maurício GarcezAttacker | 17 (11) | 1081 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Kauan Faria GomesDefender | 11 (11) | 984 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.70 | ×3 |
| CarvalheiraMidfielder | 14 (11) | 896 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×2 |
| Tulio EduardoAttacker | 12 (8) | 814 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.85 | |
| ÊnioMidfielder | 14 (9) | 783 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×2 |
| Yago FelipeMidfielder | 10 (10) | 772 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | ×3 |
Mirassol
Top scorer
Eduardo
7 goals
Most assists
Reinaldo
5 assists
Best rated
Negueba
7.18
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João VictorDefender | 30 (30) | 2638 | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | 6.97 | ×3 |
| ReinaldoDefender | 29 (29) | 2501 | 1 | 5 | 0.05 | 6.97 | ×4 |
| WalterGoalkeeper | 28 (28) | 2476 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×4 |
| Willian MachadoDefender | 27 (26) | 2363 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 7.11 | ×5 |
| Igor FormigaDefender | 29 (27) | 2357 | 4 | 5 | – | 7.12 | ×3 |
| AlessonAttacker | 28 (21) | 1800 | 0 | 5 | 0.31 | 6.83 | ×3 |
| DenilsonMidfielder | 23 (20) | 1491 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×6 |
| EduardoMidfielder | 24 (16) | 1406 | 7 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Neto MouraMidfielder | 20 (16) | 1304 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.82 | ×8 |
| José AldoMidfielder | 17 (14) | 1208 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.85 | ×7 |
| ShaylonMidfielder | 24 (11) | 1182 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.66 | ×2 |
| Edson CariocaAttacker | 22 (13) | 1121 | 3 | 1 | 0.39 | 6.73 | ×5 |
| Bruno SantosAttacker | 15 (14) | 1089 | 3 | 0 | 0.53 | 6.70 | – |
| NeguebaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 782 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.18 | ×3 |
| Lucas OliveiraDefender | 12 (6) | 706 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
Referee
Lucas Paulo Torezin
Referee · Brazil
- Cards per game
- 5.61
- Yellow cards per game
- 5.17
- Red cards per game
- 0.44
- Fouls per game
- 26.6
- Penalties per game
- 0.33
- Home wins
- 50%
Averages across 36 completed matches officiated by Lucas Paulo Torezin in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.00 | 11.60 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 1.01 | 8.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 2.13 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 1.89 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 3.28 | — | — |
| MelBet | 2.25 | 1.64 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.23 | 3.84 |
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano.dk | 1.80 | 2.02 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 5.20 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Away | Away/Away | Away/Draw | Away/Home | Draw/Home | Home/Home | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Home/Draw |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 28.00 | 3.36 | 14.50 | 33.00 | 7.20 | 4.85 | 5.45 | 5.50 | 14.70 |
| Marathonbet | 28.00 | 3.36 | 14.50 | 33.00 | 7.20 | 4.85 | 5.45 | 5.50 | 14.75 |