Coritiba vs Vitória – Match preview
Coritiba-:-
VitóriaEstádio Major Antônio Couto PereiraRound 33
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
59%
18%
CoritibaDraw 23%Vitória
Bookmaker implied
41%
30%
CoritibaDraw 29%Vitória
1.8 – 0.9
Expected score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Coritiba
41%2.25
fair 2.44-8%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
28%3.25
fair 3.52-8%
Last 1025%5/20
Vitória
31%3.10
fair 3.27-5%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Coritiba
57%1.56
fair 1.75-11%
Last 1047%7/15
Vitória
43%2.15
fair 2.34-8%
Last 1053%8/15
Double chance
Coritiba or draw
69%1.33
fair 1.44-8%
Last 1060%12/20
Coritiba or Vitória
72%1.30
fair 1.40-7%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Vitória
59%1.59
fair 1.69-6%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.3 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 25% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
54%Yes 1.75
Last 1055%11/20
Coritiba clean sheet
24%
model chance
Vitória clean sheet
27%
model chance
Coritiba goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 14%
Vitória goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Coritiba corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 21%O7.5 12%
Vitória corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Coritiba cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 71%O2.5 45%O3.5 24%
Vitória cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 68%O2.5 41%O3.5 21%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diego Tarzia Vitória | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72 | 1.72 | 42% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -28% |
Joaquín Lavega Coritiba | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 50% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -18% |
Fabricio Bustos Coritiba | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | 39% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -33% |
JP Chermont Coritiba | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | 28% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -52% |
Luan Cândido Vitória | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 6.00 | 6.00 | 17% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | +3% |
Diego Tarzia Vitória | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.25 | 3.25 | 21% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -31% |
Pedro Rocha Coritiba | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | 50% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -33% |
Bruno Melo Coritiba | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 33% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -40% |
Vini Paulista Coritiba | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 30% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -60% |
Tomás Pochettino Vitória | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 19% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -73% |
Brian Ocampo Coritiba | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.30 | 2.30 | 10% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -77% |
Luan Cândido Vitória | Over 0.5 Assists · 13.00 | 13.00 | 11% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | +47% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026CoritibaVitória
- 12
- League position
- 13
- LDLLD
- Last 5
- DLWLD
- 0.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 14
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
9
Coritiba wins
7
Draws
11
Vitória wins
Last 27 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
41%
Both teams scored
30%
Over 2.5 goals
02 May 2026
Last meeting
Coritiba in the last 5 meetings
LDWWD
Injuries & Suspensions
Coritiba
No reported absences
Vitória
- Nathan MendesInflammation Of Ligaments In The Knee
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonCoritiba
Top scorer
Pedro Rocha
8 goals
Most assists
Josué
11 assists
Best rated
Pedro Morisco
7.11
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro RochaAttacker | 30 (30) | 2317 | 8 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Bruno MeloDefender | 28 (28) | 2222 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.62 | ×4 |
| Sebastián GómezMidfielder | 27 (27) | 2201 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | ×4 |
| JosuéMidfielder | 28 (26) | 2121 | 1 | 11 | – | 7.10 | ×2 |
| JacyDefender | 27 (24) | 2008 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Tiago CóserDefender | 26 (21) | 1899 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×4 |
| Breno LopesMidfielder | 27 (22) | 1781 | 8 | 2 | – | 6.88 | ×3 |
| Joaquín LavegaMidfielder | 28 (20) | 1577 | 5 | 2 | – | 6.74 | ×4 |
| Pedro RangelGoalkeeper | 18 (17) | 1564 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Lucas RonierMidfielder | 18 (17) | 1413 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.04 | ×3 |
| TingaDefender | 19 (15) | 1308 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Thiago SantosMidfielder | 23 (17) | 1299 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | ×8 |
| Pedro MoriscoGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1226 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.11 | |
| MaiconDefender | 15 (12) | 1061 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| JP ChermontDefender | 17 (11) | 1045 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.60 | ×2 |
Vitória
Top scorer
Renê Sousa
10 goals
Most assists
Erick
6 assists
Best rated
Lucas Arcanjo
7.06
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas ArcanjoGoalkeeper | 27 (27) | 2430 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.06 | |
| ErickMidfielder | 29 (25) | 2090 | 5 | 6 | – | 7.04 | ×2 |
| Caíque GonçalvesMidfielder | 26 (25) | 1988 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×5 |
| CacáDefender | 23 (23) | 1973 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×6 |
| Emmanuel MartínezMidfielder | 25 (22) | 1907 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×8 |
| Luan CândidoDefender | 23 (21) | 1895 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.68 | ×2 |
| MatheuzinhoMidfielder | 28 (24) | 1788 | 5 | 4 | – | 6.98 | ×5 |
| RamonDefender | 20 (20) | 1708 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×5 |
| Renê SousaAttacker | 24 (19) | 1682 | 10 | 1 | – | 6.98 | ×3 |
| BaralhasMidfielder | 18 (18) | 1537 | 2 | 3 | – | 6.98 | ×4 |
| Zé VitorMidfielder | 21 (14) | 1341 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×4 |
| JamersonDefender | 19 (14) | 1315 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Diego TarziaDefender | 25 (11) | 1121 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.68 | ×3 |
| Nathan MendesDefender | 13 (12) | 1064 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.68 | ×3 |
| Renato KayzerAttacker | 22 (10) | 836 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×4 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.96 | 1.82 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.66 | 2.21 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| Betano.dk | 3.40 | 1.32 |