Cruzeiro vs Bahia – Match preview
Cruzeiro-:-
BahiaEstádio Governador Magalhães PintoRound 34
Match Preview
Updated 30 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
46%
29%
CruzeiroDraw 25%Bahia
Bookmaker implied
53%
23%
CruzeiroDraw 24%Bahia
1.6 – 1.2
Expected score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
47%
17%
CruzeiroDraw 36%Bahia
Double Chance
60%
18%
CruzeiroDraw 22%Bahia
Half Time Result
68%
26%
CruzeiroDraw 6%Bahia
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
Over 0.5 Goals
56%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
55%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
84%
Match Result
Cruzeiro
54%1.72
fair 1.85-7%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
24%4.19
fair 4.25-1%
Last 1030%6/20
Bahia
22%4.35
fair 4.47-3%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Cruzeiro
71%1.31
fair 1.41-7%
Last 1071%10/14
Bahia
29%3.31
fair 3.42-3%
Last 1029%4/14
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw
78%1.22
fair 1.29-5%
Last 1080%16/20
Cruzeiro or Bahia
76%1.23
fair 1.31-6%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Bahia
46%2.13
fair 2.18-2%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%Yes 1.53
Last 1070%14/20
Cruzeiro clean sheet
28%
model chance
Bahia clean sheet
20%
model chance
Cruzeiro goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Bahia goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 11.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 90% | 10% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
Cruzeiro corners
O2.5 94%O3.5 85%O4.5 71%O5.5 55%O6.5 39%O7.5 26%
Bahia corners
O2.5 93%O3.5 82%O4.5 68%O5.5 51%O6.5 35%O7.5 22%
Cards
Expected 5.9 match cards · Referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein (5.0 cards a match, ×1.13)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Cruzeiro cards
O0.5 95%O1.5 80%O2.5 58%O3.5 36%
Bahia cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 77%O2.5 54%O3.5 32%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.57 | 1.57 | 48% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -25% |
Jean Lucas Bahia | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 49% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -30% |
Luciano Juba Bahia | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 36% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -34% |
Luciano Juba Bahia | Over 0.5 Goals · 5.50 | 5.50 | 17% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -5% |
Keny Arroyo Cruzeiro | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 62% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -13% |
Erick Pulga Bahia | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 49% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -31% |
Luciano Juba Bahia | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.25 | 3.25 | 20% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -34% |
Román Gómez Bahia | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 34% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -38% |
Michel Araújo Bahia | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 31% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -57% |
Erick Pulga Bahia | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | 44% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -7% |
Alejo Veliz Bahia | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 56% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -16% |
Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.10 | 2.10 | 37% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -22% |
Form Guide
Updated 30 Oct 2026CruzeiroBahia
- 3
- League position
- 6
- WWWLW
- Last 5
- WDLWL
- 2.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 2.91
- xG for (L5)
- 2.85
- 1.62
- xG against (L5)
- 2.71
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
Cruzeiro wins
2
Draws
1
Bahia wins
Last 7 meetings
3.3
Goals per game
71%
Both teams scored
86%
Over 2.5 goals
10 May 2026
Last meeting
Cruzeiro in the last 5 meetings
WWWDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Cruzeiro
- Fabrizio PeraltaCruciate Ligament Injury
- Gabriel PecBroken Tibia
- Luis SinisterraHamstring Injury
- WilliamYellow Card Suspension
Bahia
- Léo VieiraTorn Knee Ligaments
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonCruzeiro
Top scorer
Kaio Jorge
13 goals
Most assists
Matheus Pereira
8 assists
Best rated
Matheus Pereira
7.47
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus PereiraMidfielder | 30 (28) | 2522 | 9 | 8 | 0.85 | 7.47 | ×12 |
| GersonMidfielder | 29 (27) | 2233 | 0 | 4 | 0.04 | 7.01 | ×4 |
| Fabrício BrunoDefender | 28 (24) | 2202 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.87 | ×8 |
| Kaio JorgeAttacker | 26 (24) | 2042 | 13 | 2 | 0.87 | 7.10 | ×2 |
| Jonathan JesusDefender | 22 (21) | 1879 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.11 | ×5 |
| Otávio CostaGoalkeeper | 20 (20) | 1800 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Lucas RomeroMidfielder | 23 (22) | 1718 | 2 | 3 | 0.08 | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Keny ArroyoMidfielder | 28 (21) | 1695 | 5 | 5 | 0.75 | 7.06 | ×6 |
| Matheus HenriqueMidfielder | 30 (13) | 1465 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.63 | ×4 |
| KaikiDefender | 16 (16) | 1418 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.79 | |
| FagnerDefender | 21 (16) | 1369 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.80 | ×3 |
| João MarceloDefender | 17 (14) | 1262 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.97 | ×4 |
| ChristianMidfielder | 17 (15) | 1256 | 5 | 3 | – | 6.97 | |
| Lucas VillalbaDefender | 18 (13) | 1249 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | 6.77 | ×2 |
| WilliamDefender | 18 (14) | 1176 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.95 | ×4 |
Bahia
Top scorer
Luciano Juba
11 goals
Most assists
Jean Lucas
4 assists
Best rated
Ronaldo
7.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás AcevedoMidfielder | 30 (30) | 2495 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 6.93 | ×10 |
| Luciano JubaDefender | 29 (28) | 2419 | 11 | 1 | 0.04 | 7.13 | ×4 |
| Erick PulgaAttacker | 32 (31) | 2364 | 5 | 2 | 0.96 | 6.94 | ×5 |
| David DuarteDefender | 26 (26) | 2337 | 3 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.06 | ×5 |
| Santiago Ramos MingoDefender | 24 (24) | 2116 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| RonaldoGoalkeeper | 24 (24) | 2115 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.35 | ×2 |
| Jean LucasMidfielder | 28 (24) | 1964 | 4 | 4 | – | 6.79 | ×6 |
| Cristian OliveraAttacker | 25 (21) | 1685 | 1 | 2 | 0.35 | 6.89 | ×3 |
| Rodrigo NestorMidfielder | 26 (19) | 1641 | 2 | 4 | 0.17 | 7.09 | ×4 |
| ErickMidfielder | 25 (15) | 1484 | 4 | 1 | 0.13 | 6.87 | ×6 |
| Alejo VelizAttacker | 14 (14) | 1213 | 3 | 1 | 0.68 | 6.95 | – |
| Willian JoséAttacker | 24 (16) | 1210 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.70 | |
| Román GómezDefender | 16 (13) | 1206 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×3 |
| AdemirAttacker | 30 (10) | 1140 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 6.77 | ×3 |
| Everton RibeiroMidfielder | 22 (11) | 1114 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.93 |
Referee
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Referee · Brazil
- Cards per game
- 4.88
- Yellow cards per game
- 4.33
- Red cards per game
- 0.54
- Fouls per game
- 26.5
- Penalties per game
- 0.10
- Home wins
- 44%
Averages across 48 completed matches officiated by Rafael Rodrigo Klein in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 7.13 | 1.06 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.92 | 1.92 |
| Betfair | 11.00 | 1.02 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.46 | 2.46 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 1.91 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.93 | 1.93 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 7.00 | 1.04 | — | — |
| MelBet | 3.09 | 1.37 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 1.92 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 9.65 | 1.02 |
| bet365 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 1.05 |
| Marathonbet | 8.10 | 1.02 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 15.00 | 41.00 | 10.20 | 6.55 | 2.43 | 4.75 | 22.00 | 15.50 | 7.20 |
| Marathonbet | 15.25 | 41.00 | 10.25 | 6.55 | 2.43 | 4.75 | 22.00 | 15.75 | 7.20 |