Fiorentina vs Atalanta – Match preview
Fiorentina-:-
AtalantaStadio Artemio Franchi
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
26%
49%
FiorentinaDraw 25%Atalanta
Bookmaker implied
41%
32%
FiorentinaDraw 27%Atalanta
1.1 – 1.6
Expected score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Fiorentina
42%2.25
fair 2.38-5%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
27%3.54
fair 3.71-5%
Last 1010%2/20
Atalanta
31%3.09
fair 3.22-4%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Fiorentina
58%1.61
fair 1.74-7%
Last 1044%8/18
Atalanta
42%2.22
fair 2.36-6%
Last 1056%10/18
Double chance
Fiorentina or draw
69%1.38
fair 1.45-5%
Last 1050%10/20
Fiorentina or Atalanta
73%1.30
fair 1.37-5%
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Atalanta
58%1.65
fair 1.73-4%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | 1.72 / 2.14 | 70%14/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | 2.74 / 1.45 | 35%7/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%Yes 1.57
Last 1065%13/20
Fiorentina clean sheet
23%
model chance
Atalanta clean sheet
25%
model chance
Fiorentina goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Atalanta goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Fiorentina corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Atalanta corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Fiorentina cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Atalanta cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jonathan Rowe Atalanta | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 50% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -25% |
Gianluca Scamacca Atalanta | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 48% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -32% |
Giacomo Raspadori Atalanta | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 25% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -67% |
Nikola Krstović Atalanta | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 56% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -22% |
Franck Kessié Atalanta | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 55% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -28% |
Gianluca Gaetano Atalanta | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 39% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -48% |
Cher Ndour Fiorentina | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.25 | 2.25 | 38% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -15% |
Kamaldeen Sulemana Atalanta | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72 | 1.72 | 42% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -28% |
Luca Ranieri Fiorentina | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | 38% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -32% |
Cher Ndour Fiorentina | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | 39% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -32% |
Nikola Krstović Atalanta | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | 29% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -51% |
Lazar Samardžić Atalanta | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 23% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -64% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026FiorentinaAtalanta
- 18
- League position
- 11
- LLDWL
- Last 5
- LWLLL
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
7
Fiorentina wins
2
Draws
6
Atalanta wins
Last 15 meetings
3.1
Goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
53%
Over 2.5 goals
22 May 2026
Last meeting
Fiorentina in the last 5 meetings
DLWLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Fiorentina
- Arthur AttaStress Reaction Of The Bone
- Luca RanieriFoot Injury
Atalanta
- Giacomo RaspadoriHamstring Muscle Injury
- Isak HienThigh Problems
- Odilon KossounouHamstring Injury
- Sead KolasinacHamstring Strain
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonFiorentina
Top scorer
Franco Mastantuono
3 goals
Most assists
Cher Ndour
2 assists
Best rated
Franco Mastantuono
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radu DrăgușinDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.70 | |
| David de GeaGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Cher NdourMidfielder | 7 (6) | 566 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.94 | |
| Nicolò FagioliMidfielder | 7 (6) | 541 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Franco MastantuonoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 536 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.21 | ×2 |
| Mateo PellegrinoAttacker | 7 (5) | 467 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Álex JiménezDefender | 6 (5) | 441 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.61 | |
| Alieu NjieAttacker | 5 (4) | 373 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| VieryDefender | 6 (4) | 363 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.33 | |
| Víctor ValdepeñasDefender | 6 (3) | 350 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.40 | – |
| Arthur AttaMidfielder | 5 (4) | 335 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Luca RanieriDefender | 4 (4) | 310 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | ×2 |
| Wilfried GnontoAttacker | 5 (1) | 193 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| João MárioDefender | 3 (2) | 176 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| BetoAttacker | 5 (2) | 174 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.51 | – |
Atalanta
Top scorer
Nikola Krstović
4 goals
Most assists
Nicola Zalewski
2 assists
Best rated
Marco Carnesecchi
7.20
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco CarnesecchiGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.20 | – |
| ÉdersonMidfielder | 7 (7) | 597 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | |
| Giorgio ScalviniDefender | 6 (6) | 517 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Charles De KetelaereAttacker | 7 (6) | 505 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Raoul BellanovaDefender | 6 (5) | 439 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.80 | |
| Nikola KrstovićAttacker | 7 (3) | 370 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.05 | |
| Lazar SamardžićMidfielder | 7 (4) | 362 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Odilon KossounouDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Gianluca GaetanoMidfielder | 6 (3) | 333 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.78 | |
| Jonathan RoweAttacker | 4 (4) | 309 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Davide ZappacostaDefender | 5 (3) | 302 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Lorenzo BernasconiDefender | 5 (3) | 281 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Sead KolasinacDefender | 6 (4) | 281 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Gianluca ScamaccaAttacker | 6 (4) | 275 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Thomas KristensenDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.04 | 1.54 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.21 | 3.35 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.87 | 1.98 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.89 | 1.99 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 1.27 | — | — |
| MelBet | 2.15 | 1.69 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 3.06 | 1.27 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.89 | 2.01 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.00 | 11.60 |
| bet365 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| Betano.dk | 8.75 | 1.07 |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 1.32 |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32 | 1.45 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 5.55 | 3.58 | 5.75 | 26.00 | 14.00 | 4.75 | 14.00 | 29.00 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 5.55 | 3.58 | 5.75 | 26.00 | 14.00 | 4.75 | 14.00 | 29.00 | 7.00 |