Fiorentina vs Juventus – Match preview
Fiorentina-:-
JuventusStadio Artemio Franchi
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
16%
60%
FiorentinaDraw 24%Juventus
Bookmaker implied
21%
56%
FiorentinaDraw 23%Juventus
0.7 – 1.7
Expected score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
28%
45%
FiorentinaDraw 27%Juventus
First Half Result
23%
37%
FiorentinaDraw 40%Juventus
Team to Score First
34%
57%
FiorentinaNo goal 9%Juventus
Probability
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
Fiorentina Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Fiorentina Over 1.5 Goals
28%
Juventus Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Fiorentina Over 0.5 Goals
62%
Match Result
Fiorentina
29%3.76
model 3.42disputed
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
26%3.68
model 3.84-4%
Last 1025%5/20
Juventus
45%1.95
model 2.24-13%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Fiorentina
40%2.74
model 2.53disputed
Last 1033%5/15
Juventus
60%1.42
model 1.65-14%
Last 1067%10/15
Double chance
Fiorentina or draw
55%1.86
model 1.81+3%
Last 1050%10/20
Fiorentina or Juventus
74%1.28
model 1.35-5%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Juventus
71%1.27
model 1.41-10%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.5 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.66
Last 1060%12/20
Fiorentina clean sheet
20%
model chance
Juventus clean sheet
25%
model chance
Fiorentina goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Juventus goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Fiorentina corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Juventus corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 57%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Fiorentina cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Juventus cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Douglas Luiz Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Zeki Çelik Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Nicolò Fagioli Fiorentina | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Franco Mastantuono Fiorentina | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 20%1/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Nick Woltemade Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Randal Kolo Muani Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Francisco Conceição Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Nick Woltemade Juventus | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Federico Gatti Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Randal Kolo Muani Juventus | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Luca Ranieri Fiorentina | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Franco Mastantuono Fiorentina | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Mateo Pellegrino Fiorentina | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Daniele Rugani Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Cher Ndour Fiorentina | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Teun Koopmeiners Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Arthur Atta Fiorentina | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Randal Kolo Muani Juventus | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.87 | 2.87 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Marco Brescianini Fiorentina | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Andrea Cambiaso Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Francisco Conceição Juventus | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Edon Zhegrova Juventus | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Pierre Kalulu Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Jhon Lucumí Juventus | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026FiorentinaJuventus
- 17
- League position
- 9
- DLLLD
- Last 5
- LWLDW
- 0.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 2.31
- xG for (L5)
- 2.22
- 4.65
- xG against (L5)
- 2.27
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
4
Fiorentina wins
4
Draws
6
Juventus wins
Last 14 meetings
1.9
Goals per game
29%
Both teams scored
21%
Over 2.5 goals
17 May 2026
Last meeting
Fiorentina in the last 5 meetings
WDWDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Fiorentina
- Marin PongracicHamstring Muscle Injury
Juventus
- Arkadiusz MilikMuscle Injury
- Francisco ConceiçãoShoulder Injury
- Jeff EkhatorHamstring Strain
- Kamil GrabaraCruciate Ligament Tear
- Kenan YıldızBroken Foot
- Khéphren ThuramKnee Surgery
- Manuel LocatelliMeniscus Injury
- Nico GonzálezCalf Problems
- Zeki ÇelikHamstring Muscle Injury
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonFiorentina
Top scorer
Franco Mastantuono
3 goals
Most assists
Cher Ndour
2 assists
Best rated
Franco Mastantuono
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David de GeaGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Radu DrăgușinDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 | |
| Cher NdourMidfielder | 9 (8) | 746 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 6.91 | |
| Franco MastantuonoAttacker | 9 (9) | 700 | 3 | 0 | 0.53 | 7.21 | ×2 |
| Nicolò FagioliMidfielder | 9 (8) | 676 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 6.89 | |
| Mateo PellegrinoAttacker | 9 (7) | 639 | 2 | 0 | 0.26 | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Álex JiménezDefender | 8 (7) | 606 | 2 | 2 | 0.35 | 6.89 | |
| Alieu NjieAttacker | 7 (6) | 525 | 1 | 1 | 0.32 | 6.93 | |
| VieryDefender | 8 (5) | 492 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | ×3 |
| Víctor ValdepeñasDefender | 7 (4) | 440 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.27 | – |
| Arthur AttaMidfielder | 5 (4) | 335 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Marco BrescianiniMidfielder | 7 (4) | 328 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.49 | – |
| Luca RanieriDefender | 4 (4) | 310 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | ×2 |
| João MárioDefender | 5 (3) | 284 | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.74 | – |
| Wilfried GnontoAttacker | 7 (1) | 229 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.62 |
Juventus
Top scorer
Bremer
2 goals
Most assists
Randal Kolo Muani
1 assists
Best rated
Edon Zhegrova
7.40
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BremerDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 2 | 0 | 0.32 | 7.22 | – |
| Pierre KaluluDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 7.02 | – |
| Guglielmo VicarioGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Randal Kolo MuaniAttacker | 9 (9) | 787 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 6.61 | – |
| Douglas LuizMidfielder | 9 (9) | 736 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 7.38 | |
| Jhon LucumíDefender | 8 (8) | 661 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Zeki ÇelikDefender | 7 (7) | 565 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | |
| Weston McKennieMidfielder | 6 (6) | 491 | 1 | 0 | 0.26 | 6.88 | |
| Francisco ConceiçãoMidfielder | 7 (6) | 433 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.02 | |
| Kerim AlajbegovicAttacker | 8 (5) | 366 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.83 | – |
| Nico GonzálezMidfielder | 6 (5) | 355 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Pape Matar SarrMidfielder | 6 (3) | 311 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Manuel LocatelliMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.26 | |
| Nick WoltemadeAttacker | 7 (1) | 257 | 0 | 0 | 0.88 | 6.64 | – |
| Teun KoopmeinersMidfielder | 8 (2) | 240 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.77 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.95 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.86 | 1.91 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.92 | 1.96 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.48 | 2.66 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.93 | 1.40 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.89 | 1.96 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.94 | 1.94 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano.dk | 14.50 | 1.02 |
More on Fiorentina vs Juventus
- Fiorentina stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Juventus stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Italy) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture