Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro – Match preview
Flamengo-:-
Atlético MineiroEstadio Jornalista Mário FilhoRound 32
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
61%
13%
FlamengoDraw 26%Atlético Mineiro
Bookmaker implied
70%
11%
FlamengoDraw 19%Atlético Mineiro
1.5 – 0.6
Expected score
35%
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Flamengo
64%1.31
fair 1.56-16%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
21%5.58
fair 4.80disputed
Last 1015%3/20
Atlético Mineiro
15%9.16
fair 6.63disputed
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Flamengo
81%1.08
fair 1.24-13%
Last 1047%8/17
Atlético Mineiro
19%7.52
fair 5.25disputed
Last 1053%9/17
Double chance
Flamengo or draw
85%1.06
fair 1.18-10%
Last 1055%11/20
Flamengo or Atlético Mineiro
79%1.15
fair 1.26-9%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Atlético Mineiro
36%3.47
fair 2.78disputed
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.0 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 91% | 9% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | 1.18 / 4.83 | 60%12/20 | Under +24% |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | 1.58 / 2.40 | 40%8/20 | Under +17% |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | 2.47 / 1.56 | 5%1/20 | Under +9% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | 4.36 / 1.22 | 0%0/20 | Under +3% |
Both teams to score
48%Yes 1.95
Last 1020%4/20
Flamengo clean sheet
33%
model chance
Atlético Mineiro clean sheet
29%
model chance
Flamengo goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Atlético Mineiro goals
O0.5 67%O1.5 31%O2.5 10%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Flamengo corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Atlético Mineiro corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Cards
Expected 6.0 match cards · Referee Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima (5.6 cards a match, ×1.23)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 51% | 49% | 2.00 / 1.72 | 50%10/20 | Over +2% |
| Over/under 6.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Flamengo cards
O0.5 93%O1.5 75%O2.5 50%O3.5 28%
Atlético Mineiro cards
O0.5 97%O1.5 85%O2.5 65%O3.5 43%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026FlamengoAtlético Mineiro
- 1
- League position
- 6
- WWDWW
- Last 5
- WWDWD
- 2.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.20
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
8
Flamengo wins
2
Draws
3
Atlético Mineiro wins
Last 13 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
38%
Both teams scored
46%
Over 2.5 goals
26 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Flamengo in the last 5 meetings
WDWLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Flamengo
- Ayrton LucasHamstring Injury
- DaniloFacial Fracture
- Evertton AraújoHamstring Injury
- Giorgian de ArrascaetaWrist Fracture
Atlético Mineiro
- AlexsanderTorn Knee Ligaments
- EversonBroken Foot
- FredHamstring Injury
- Gustavo ScarpaHamstring Injury
- Mateo CassierraHamstring Injury
- RuanHamstring Injury
- Thiago BorbasMuscle Injury
Confirmed Line-ups
Flamengo
4-2-3-1- 1Agustín RossiGoalkeeper
- 22Emerson RoyalDefender
- 3Léo OrtizDefender
- 4Léo PereiraDefender
- 26Alex SandroDefender
- 5Erick PulgarMidfielder
- 21JorginhoMidfielder
- 19Gonzalo PlataMidfielder
- 15Jorge CarrascalMidfielder
- 16Samuel LinoMidfielder
- 9PedroAttacker
Atlético Mineiro
4-2-3-1- 1Gabriel DelfimGoalkeeper
- 2NatanaelDefender
- 3Léo DuarteDefender
- 14Vitor HugoDefender
- 6Renan LodiDefender
- 25Tomás PérezMidfielder
- 21Alan FrancoMidfielder
- 28Tomás CuelloMidfielder
- 8MayconMidfielder
- 11BernardMidfielder
- 19ReinierMidfielder
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonFlamengo
Top scorer
Pedro
16 goals
Most assists
Samuel Lino
8 assists
Best rated
Samuel Lino
7.34
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín RossiGoalkeeper | 31 (31) | 2792 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| PedroAttacker | 31 (30) | 2467 | 16 | 6 | – | 7.20 | ×2 |
| Léo PereiraDefender | 26 (26) | 2259 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.20 | ×7 |
| Léo OrtizDefender | 26 (25) | 2167 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Samuel LinoMidfielder | 30 (25) | 2026 | 9 | 8 | – | 7.34 | ×3 |
| Guillermo VarelaDefender | 23 (20) | 1880 | 1 | 4 | – | 6.93 | ×3 |
| JorginhoMidfielder | 24 (20) | 1802 | 3 | 3 | – | 7.06 | ×5 |
| Erick PulgarMidfielder | 21 (19) | 1580 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×8 |
| Alex SandroDefender | 20 (17) | 1526 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×5 |
| Lucas PaquetáMidfielder | 22 (17) | 1456 | 7 | 1 | – | 7.22 | ×4 |
| Jorge CarrascalMidfielder | 25 (16) | 1408 | 6 | 8 | – | 7.26 | ×2 |
| Giorgian de ArrascaetaMidfielder | 21 (16) | 1398 | 3 | 4 | – | 7.17 | ×2 |
| Ayrton LucasDefender | 18 (13) | 1090 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Emerson RoyalDefender | 15 (12) | 1061 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | |
| Evertton AraújoMidfielder | 20 (12) | 996 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×4 |
Atlético Mineiro
Top scorer
Tomás Cuello
6 goals
Most assists
Bernard
4 assists
Best rated
Léo Duarte
7.31
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan LodiDefender | 26 (24) | 2180 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.97 | ×4 |
| EversonGoalkeeper | 23 (23) | 2070 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Tomás CuelloMidfielder | 26 (21) | 1871 | 6 | 2 | – | 7.09 | ×3 |
| NatanaelDefender | 22 (22) | 1844 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.79 | |
| RuanDefender | 20 (20) | 1753 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×7 |
| Victor HugoMidfielder | 24 (20) | 1693 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.93 | |
| Alan FrancoMidfielder | 21 (20) | 1690 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | ×6 |
| BernardMidfielder | 25 (19) | 1417 | 4 | 4 | – | 6.91 | – |
| MayconMidfielder | 19 (16) | 1348 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Vitor HugoDefender | 17 (12) | 1111 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| ReinierMidfielder | 22 (13) | 1089 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.96 | |
| Mateo CassierraAttacker | 22 (10) | 1085 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.76 | |
| Tomás PérezMidfielder | 16 (12) | 969 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×2 |
| HulkAttacker | 12 (11) | 912 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.93 | |
| Júnior AlonsoDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | ×2 |
Referee
Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima
Referee · Brazil
- Cards per game
- 5.44
- Yellow cards per game
- 5.17
- Red cards per game
- 0.28
- Fouls per game
- 28.5
- Penalties per game
- 0.25
- Home wins
- 47%
Averages across 36 completed matches officiated by Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.73 | 2.16 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.92 | 1.92 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 1.83 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.56 | 2.08 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 1.91 | — | — |
| Macauslot | 1.90 | 1.88 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.93 | 1.93 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 2.50 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.92 | 1.87 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 3.33 | 1.34 | — | — |
| Sbo | 2.05 | 1.83 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.16 | 1.04 |
| bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.33 | 1.63 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 1.22 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away | Home/Away | Home/Draw | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 4.00 | 25.00 | 23.00 | 16.50 | 65.00 | 22.00 | 19.50 | 7.90 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 4.00 | 25.00 | 23.00 | 16.50 | 67.00 | 22.00 | 19.50 | 7.90 | 1.73 |