Genoa vs AC Milan – Match preview
Genoa-:-
AC MilanStadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
20%
52%
GenoaDraw 28%AC Milan
Bookmaker implied
19%
54%
GenoaDraw 27%AC Milan
0.7 – 1.4
Expected score
35%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
28%
46%
GenoaDraw 26%AC Milan
First Half Result
22%
34%
GenoaDraw 44%AC Milan
Team to Score First
36%
58%
GenoaNo goal 6%AC Milan
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
Genoa Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Genoa Over 1.5 Goals
32%
AC Milan Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Genoa Over 0.5 Goals
65%
Match Result
Genoa
26%4.66
model 3.89disputed
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
26%3.68
model 3.80-3%
Last 1015%3/20
AC Milan
48%1.77
model 2.09-15%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Genoa
35%3.39
model 2.86disputed
Last 1041%7/17
AC Milan
65%1.29
model 1.54-16%
Last 1059%10/17
Double chance
Genoa or draw
52%2.06
model 1.92disputed
Last 1050%10/20
Genoa or AC Milan
74%1.28
model 1.36-6%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or AC Milan
74%1.20
model 1.35-11%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%
Last 1045%9/20
Genoa clean sheet
22%
model chance
AC Milan clean sheet
27%
model chance
Genoa goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
AC Milan goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 9.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Genoa corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 51%O5.5 33%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
AC Milan corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Genoa cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
AC Milan cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026GenoaAC Milan
- 13
- League position
- 4
- WWLWL
- Last 5
- WLWWD
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- 1.61
- xG for (L5)
- 4.39
- 3.18
- xG against (L5)
- 3.54
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
Genoa wins
4
Draws
7
AC Milan wins
Last 11 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Over 2.5 goals
17 May 2026
Last meeting
Genoa in the last 5 meetings
LDLDD
Injuries & Suspensions
Genoa
No reported absences
AC Milan
- Alexis SaelemaekersAnkle Surgery
- Diego MoreiraMuscle Fatigue
- Fikayo TomoriHamstring Strain
- Mario GilaAnkle Problems
- Matteo GabbiaHamstring Strain
- Pietro TerraccianoShoulder Injury
- Samuel ChukwuezeHip Flexor Problems
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonGenoa
Top scorer
Milutin Osmajic
3 goals
Most assists
Lorenzo Colombo
2 assists
Best rated
Leo Østigård
7.14
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin BijlowGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Leo ØstigårdDefender | 9 (9) | 786 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 7.14 | ×4 |
| Mikael Egill EllertssonMidfielder | 9 (9) | 743 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Morten FrendrupMidfielder | 9 (8) | 741 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.81 | – |
| Johan VásquezDefender | 8 (8) | 701 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Alessandro MarcandalliDefender | 9 (7) | 665 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.56 | |
| Milutin OsmajicAttacker | 8 (7) | 649 | 3 | 1 | 0.10 | 7.04 | – |
| Junior MessiasAttacker | 9 (4) | 432 | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 7.08 | – |
| Tommaso BaldanziMidfielder | 6 (6) | 394 | 1 | 1 | 0.38 | 6.84 | – |
| VitinhaAttacker | 8 (3) | 370 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.53 | |
| Lorenzo ColomboAttacker | 7 (4) | 357 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 6.73 | – |
| Djibril SowMidfielder | 5 (4) | 312 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | |
| Kingsley EhizibueMidfielder | 5 (4) | 294 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.63 | |
| Stephan El ShaarawyAttacker | 5 (3) | 244 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Sebastian OtoaDefender | 4 (3) | 220 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | ×2 |
AC Milan
Top scorer
Adrien Rabiot
5 goals
Most assists
Adrien Rabiot
3 assists
Best rated
Diego Moreira
7.51
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike MaignanGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Strahinja PavlovićDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Gonçalo RamosAttacker | 10 (10) | 890 | 2 | 1 | 0.29 | 6.58 | ×2 |
| Koni De WinterDefender | 10 (9) | 880 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Mario GilaDefender | 8 (8) | 695 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| Yunus MusahMidfielder | 10 (7) | 670 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Luka ModrićMidfielder | 10 (7) | 656 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 7.00 | |
| Adrien RabiotMidfielder | 8 (6) | 576 | 5 | 3 | 0.10 | 7.43 | |
| Samuel ChukwuezeMidfielder | 7 (6) | 497 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Christian PulisicAttacker | 7 (5) | 470 | 3 | 1 | 0.77 | 7.13 | |
| Pervis EstupiñánDefender | 8 (6) | 400 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Diego MoreiraMidfielder | 6 (4) | 395 | 4 | 3 | 0.06 | 7.51 | |
| Alphadjo CissèMidfielder | 8 (4) | 350 | 4 | 0 | 0.84 | 6.95 | |
| Ardon JashariMidfielder | 8 (3) | 295 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.68 | – |
| Davide BartesaghiDefender | 6 (3) | 285 | 0 | 0 | 0.78 | 6.52 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 2.00 |
| MansionBet | 1.83 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 2.43 |
| MelBet | 3.31 | 1.31 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 2.01 |
| Sbo | 1.83 | 2.07 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |
More on Genoa vs AC Milan
- Genoa stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- AC Milan stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Italy) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture