Grêmio vs Athletico PR – Match preview
Grêmio-:-
Athletico PRArena do GrêmioRound 33
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
34%
43%
GrêmioDraw 23%Athletico PR
Bookmaker implied
40%
32%
GrêmioDraw 28%Athletico PR
1.5 – 1.7
Expected score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Grêmio
43%–
fair 2.34–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
29%–
fair 3.45–
Last 1035%7/20
Athletico PR
28%–
fair 3.54–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Grêmio
60%–
fair 1.66–
Last 1054%7/13
Athletico PR
40%–
fair 2.51–
Last 1046%6/13
Double chance
Grêmio or draw
72%–
fair 1.39–
Last 1070%14/20
Grêmio or Athletico PR
71%–
fair 1.41–
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Athletico PR
57%–
fair 1.75–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 72% | 29% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
51%
Last 1040%8/20
Grêmio clean sheet
29%
model chance
Athletico PR clean sheet
28%
model chance
Grêmio goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Athletico PR goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Grêmio corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 64%O4.5 44%O5.5 28%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Athletico PR corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 42%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 5.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 91% | 9% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 32% | 69% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
Grêmio cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 78%O2.5 55%O3.5 33%
Athletico PR cards
O0.5 93%O1.5 74%O2.5 49%O3.5 27%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026GrêmioAthletico PR
- 18
- League position
- 3
- LDDDL
- Last 5
- LWDWD
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
22
Grêmio wins
8
Draws
11
Athletico PR wins
Last 41 meetings
2.1
Goals per game
32%
Both teams scored
34%
Over 2.5 goals
02 May 2026
Last meeting
Grêmio in the last 5 meetings
DWWLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Grêmio
- Jovane CabralHamstring Injury
- Juan Ignacio NardoniHamstring Injury
- Luis EduardoHamstring Injury
- Matheus NascimentoAnkle Injury
Athletico PR
- Alejandro GarcíaPubic Bone Bruise
- DantasHamstring Injury
- Gastón Américo BenavídezMuscle Injury
- Kerwin VargasShoulder Injury
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonGrêmio
Top scorer
Carlos Vinícius
11 goals
Most assists
Cristian Pavón
4 assists
Best rated
Wallace
7.29
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WevertonGoalkeeper | 29 (29) | 2610 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.07 | ×2 |
| Carlos ViníciusAttacker | 30 (28) | 2348 | 11 | 1 | – | 6.84 | ×5 |
| Cristian PavónDefender | 28 (25) | 2128 | 3 | 4 | – | 7.17 | ×7 |
| Francis AmuzuMidfielder | 26 (21) | 1733 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.87 | |
| Gustavo MartinsDefender | 21 (18) | 1662 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.05 | ×6 |
| Erick NoriegaMidfielder | 22 (19) | 1625 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.89 | ×5 |
| VieryDefender | 13 (13) | 1169 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×4 |
| TetêAttacker | 25 (13) | 1113 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.81 | |
| Juan Ignacio NardoniMidfielder | 18 (14) | 1090 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.60 | ×2 |
| José EnamoradoAttacker | 26 (11) | 1088 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.62 | ×4 |
| Mathías VillasantiMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1015 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×3 |
| MarlonDefender | 12 (12) | 1009 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.03 | ×3 |
| WallaceDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.29 | ×3 |
| Arthur MeloMidfielder | 10 (8) | 807 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Wagner LeonardoDefender | 10 (9) | 774 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | ×2 |
Athletico PR
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros
21 goals
Most assists
Gastón Américo Benavídez
5 assists
Best rated
Kerwin Vargas
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stiven MendozaMidfielder | 31 (31) | 2602 | 5 | 1 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Kevin ViverosAttacker | 29 (29) | 2555 | 21 | 3 | – | 7.12 | ×6 |
| Arthur DiasDefender | 29 (29) | 2442 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×7 |
| SantosGoalkeeper | 24 (24) | 2160 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | ×3 |
| Juan Felipe AguirreDefender | 26 (24) | 2101 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×3 |
| Luiz GustavoMidfielder | 25 (24) | 2000 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×4 |
| Gastón Américo BenavídezMidfielder | 22 (21) | 1855 | 1 | 5 | – | 6.98 | ×6 |
| JádsonMidfielder | 25 (21) | 1800 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.73 | ×5 |
| Lucas EsquivelDefender | 21 (20) | 1661 | 2 | 5 | – | 7.19 | |
| Carlos TeránDefender | 17 (13) | 1107 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| João CruzMidfielder | 24 (13) | 1096 | 2 | 5 | – | 6.99 | ×3 |
| Juan PortillaMidfielder | 21 (12) | 989 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×4 |
| GilbertoMidfielder | 11 (10) | 831 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.05 | ×2 |
| LeozinhoAttacker | 17 (11) | 815 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.03 | ×2 |
| DuduMidfielder | 21 (7) | 814 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.69 | – |
Referee
Alex Gomes Stefano
Referee · Brazil
- Cards per game
- 5.63
- Yellow cards per game
- 5.29
- Red cards per game
- 0.34
- Fouls per game
- 30.2
- Penalties per game
- 0.37
- Home wins
- 52%
Averages across 38 completed matches officiated by Alex Gomes Stefano in our database.